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re: Texas Aggies vs luckiest team ever Tennessee discussion and predictions
Posted on 10/2/16 at 2:14 pm to Old Sarge
Posted on 10/2/16 at 2:14 pm to Old Sarge
Tough to say until we know if Myles Garrett, Ricky Seals-Jones, Speedy Noil, Jermaine Eluemunor, Trayveon Williams, and Keith Ford can play or not.
It would be extremely tough to overcome missing five major contributors on offense and Miles is absolutely be needed to contain Dobbs.
It would be extremely tough to overcome missing five major contributors on offense and Miles is absolutely be needed to contain Dobbs.
This post was edited on 10/2/16 at 2:15 pm
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Posted on 10/2/16 at 2:14 pm to tmc94
tmc, of Rogers inner voice or "sources" are correct and RSJ is out this weekend, can speedy be counted on to fill his role. Did you also see that it was RSJ's missing blocking and threat as a receiver that kept our offense from being able to break big running plays?
Posted on 10/2/16 at 2:34 pm to Old Sarge
I thought Nacho did a pretty good job in his place
Posted on 10/2/16 at 2:35 pm to Old Sarge
My serious assessment.
A&M football has a HUGE case of stage fright. When we get on the big stage like this, we curl up in the fetal and shite our pants.
I just don't see us getting over the pants-shitting this season. This game is the perfect place for us to commence said shitting and I don't expect it to be any different.
No matchup analysis or scheme comparisons. This is simple hoodoo voodoo, Aggy shits the bed when it matters.
A&M football has a HUGE case of stage fright. When we get on the big stage like this, we curl up in the fetal and shite our pants.
I just don't see us getting over the pants-shitting this season. This game is the perfect place for us to commence said shitting and I don't expect it to be any different.
No matchup analysis or scheme comparisons. This is simple hoodoo voodoo, Aggy shits the bed when it matters.
Posted on 10/2/16 at 2:48 pm to Old Sarge
For those worried about Myles, he practiced this past week and even teammates didn't know he wasn't playing til he didn't travel. I dunno on RSJ.
And our run game averaged 5.5 yards per carry this week. That's below our season average but certainly not bad by any stretch of the imagination.
For comparisons sake, UGA with Chubb/Michel are 4.4 ypc on the season. UT with Hurd/Dobbs/etc are 4.1 ypc.
Our offense struggled because our passing game struggled and we tried to lean on that too much
And our run game averaged 5.5 yards per carry this week. That's below our season average but certainly not bad by any stretch of the imagination.
For comparisons sake, UGA with Chubb/Michel are 4.4 ypc on the season. UT with Hurd/Dobbs/etc are 4.1 ypc.
Our offense struggled because our passing game struggled and we tried to lean on that too much
Posted on 10/2/16 at 3:52 pm to Old Sarge
Well I don't know what to think this week as I thought we'd handle SC easily and didn't. I know that's the definition of a trap game but I thought we'd be better prepared than we were.
We've got the potential to win this one, but not if our offense plays like it did yesterday. Unfortunately I do agree with whoever mentioned it, we do have a bad tendency to shite the bed in big time games.
All that to say I'm just calling this one a coin flip, 50-50 we win/lose. All depends on what offense shows up for us and if tennessee's ridiculous luck comes into play again.
We've got the potential to win this one, but not if our offense plays like it did yesterday. Unfortunately I do agree with whoever mentioned it, we do have a bad tendency to shite the bed in big time games.
All that to say I'm just calling this one a coin flip, 50-50 we win/lose. All depends on what offense shows up for us and if tennessee's ridiculous luck comes into play again.
Posted on 10/2/16 at 4:59 pm to tmc94
quote:
Our offense struggled because our passing game struggled and we tried to lean on that too much
That tends to happen when you are missing 2 WRs, the RT, and an RB for nearly the entire game.
Considering the injuries, it being on the road after a big win vs a physical Arky, and SC actually playing fairly well on D this year I'm pleased that the Ags were able to pull out a double digit win.
It's a little surprising to me that people seem to be ignoring how big it was to not have all those guys playing and still play well enough to win on the road. It's not like this was a game against Kansas that they struggled in. USCe is still an SEC team w/quite a bit of talent.
This post was edited on 10/2/16 at 5:02 pm
Posted on 10/2/16 at 5:26 pm to Old Sarge
Copied from the other thread since this one is probably more appropriate:
Based on national rankings:
Tenn. Scoring Offense: #56 (33 pts/gm)
A&M Scoring Offense: #32 (39 pts/gm)
Tenn Scoring Defense: #45 (23 pts/gm)
A&M Scoring Defense: #12 (15.4 pts/gm)
Tenn Yards Per Play: #85 (5.47 yd/ply)
A&M Yards Per Play: #20 (6.77 yd/ply)
Tenn Yards Per Game: #88 (381.6/gm)
A&M Yards Per Game: #13 (521/gm)
Tenn FG %: #81 (66.7%)
A&M FG %: #48 (78.6%)
Tenn Sacks Allowed: #65 (10)
A&M Sacks Allowed: #22 (5)
Tenn Interceptions: #79 (.6/gm)
A&M Interceptions: #31 (1/gm)
Tenn Turnover Margin: #47 (Margin of 1)
A&M Turnover Margin: #39 (Margin of 2)
Tenn Third Down Conversions: #46 (44%)
A&M Third Down Conversions: #64 (40.26%)
Tenn Red Zone Conversion: #62 (85%)
A&M Red Zone Conversion: #67 (82%)
Basically, if we can keep from turning the ball over to them and limit them on 3rd down to below their average, there is no reason we can't win the game by 10 pts. or more.
And top it off, but we have better offensive production than Tennessee despite playing much better defenses in general except for Florida. Just in scoring defense alone:
Tennessee has played on avg. the #44.8th ranked scoring defense so far this year: App State (#44), VTech (#25), Ohio (#62), Florida (#4), Georgia (#89)
A&M has played on average the 31st ranked scoring defense in the country: A&M has played UCLA (#42), PVAMU (nr), Auburn (#15), Arkansas (#47), South Carolina (#23)
They played two good defenses in Florida and VTech, and two defenses that are well outside the national top 50. A&M has played 4 defenses inside the national top 50, one top 25, and one top 15, and PVAMU does not have stats registered to compare but I'm sure would be outside top 100.
Based on national rankings:
Tenn. Scoring Offense: #56 (33 pts/gm)
A&M Scoring Offense: #32 (39 pts/gm)
Tenn Scoring Defense: #45 (23 pts/gm)
A&M Scoring Defense: #12 (15.4 pts/gm)
Tenn Yards Per Play: #85 (5.47 yd/ply)
A&M Yards Per Play: #20 (6.77 yd/ply)
Tenn Yards Per Game: #88 (381.6/gm)
A&M Yards Per Game: #13 (521/gm)
Tenn FG %: #81 (66.7%)
A&M FG %: #48 (78.6%)
Tenn Sacks Allowed: #65 (10)
A&M Sacks Allowed: #22 (5)
Tenn Interceptions: #79 (.6/gm)
A&M Interceptions: #31 (1/gm)
Tenn Turnover Margin: #47 (Margin of 1)
A&M Turnover Margin: #39 (Margin of 2)
Tenn Third Down Conversions: #46 (44%)
A&M Third Down Conversions: #64 (40.26%)
Tenn Red Zone Conversion: #62 (85%)
A&M Red Zone Conversion: #67 (82%)
Basically, if we can keep from turning the ball over to them and limit them on 3rd down to below their average, there is no reason we can't win the game by 10 pts. or more.
And top it off, but we have better offensive production than Tennessee despite playing much better defenses in general except for Florida. Just in scoring defense alone:
Tennessee has played on avg. the #44.8th ranked scoring defense so far this year: App State (#44), VTech (#25), Ohio (#62), Florida (#4), Georgia (#89)
A&M has played on average the 31st ranked scoring defense in the country: A&M has played UCLA (#42), PVAMU (nr), Auburn (#15), Arkansas (#47), South Carolina (#23)
They played two good defenses in Florida and VTech, and two defenses that are well outside the national top 50. A&M has played 4 defenses inside the national top 50, one top 25, and one top 15, and PVAMU does not have stats registered to compare but I'm sure would be outside top 100.
Posted on 10/2/16 at 8:13 pm to Warrior Poet
Those stats make me hard...
Posted on 10/2/16 at 9:07 pm to Old Sarge
If it stays that way more than 4 hours, go see a doctor, old man.
Posted on 10/2/16 at 9:10 pm to Texas Gentleman
quote:
If it stays that way more than 4 hours, It's a sure sign we'll beat Tennessee
Posted on 10/3/16 at 4:29 pm to Old Sarge
What does a Tennessee Volunteer do on Halloween?
Pump kin
Pump kin
Posted on 10/3/16 at 4:32 pm to Old Sarge
Why are there so many unsolved murders in Tennessee?
There are no dental records and everyone has the same DNA.
There are no dental records and everyone has the same DNA.
This post was edited on 10/3/16 at 4:35 pm
Posted on 10/3/16 at 4:34 pm to Old Sarge
What's 20 feet long and has 5 teeth?
The funnel cake line at the Tennessee state Fair.
The funnel cake line at the Tennessee state Fair.
Posted on 10/3/16 at 4:46 pm to AggieDub14
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:43 pm to Warrior Poet
quote:
Tenn Third Down Conversions: #46 (44%)
A&M Third Down Conversions: #64 (40.26%)
Tenn Red Zone Conversion: #62 (85%)
A&M Red Zone Conversion: #67 (82%)
i know the actual percents are negligible, but those two scare me.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:47 pm to Warrior Poet
quote:
Tennessee has played on avg. the #44.8th ranked scoring defense so far this year: App State (#44), VTech (#25), Ohio (#62), Florida (#4), Georgia (#89)
quote:
A&M has played on average the 31st ranked scoring defense in the country: A&M has played UCLA (#42), PVAMU (nr), Auburn (#15), Arkansas (#47), South Carolina (#23)
PVAMU is #87 in FCS. Average giving up 33.8 points per game.
FCS Scoring Defense Rankings
If you look at the FBS rankings, 33.8 points per game would put them ranked #102 (right behind UL Lafayette @ 33.6 points per game). So, if you replace the nr with 102, A&M's opponent's average ranking would be #45.8.
FBS Scoring Defense Rankings
Posted on 10/5/16 at 1:52 pm to Texas Gentleman
I wouldn't make much out of the USC game. USC actually has played close games all year with their D and a ball control O. They are hard to put a ton of points on but not good enough to win. That doesn't even account for the injuries and natural letdown of a long road trip game between 2 very difficult SECW games. We won and the game really wasn't in doubt, that's all that was needed.
We definitely need to step it up this week but there is no reason to think we won't. Take care of the football and be disciplined on defense. If we give up a score don't panic, just make corrections and play our game. In the end I think if we stick with the run and mix in some passing we will wear then out and pull away in the 2nd half, their weakness is those injured LB's being out and their DB's are nothing special. I feel good about this game but we need to come to play.
We definitely need to step it up this week but there is no reason to think we won't. Take care of the football and be disciplined on defense. If we give up a score don't panic, just make corrections and play our game. In the end I think if we stick with the run and mix in some passing we will wear then out and pull away in the 2nd half, their weakness is those injured LB's being out and their DB's are nothing special. I feel good about this game but we need to come to play.
Posted on 10/5/16 at 2:26 pm to 3nOut
quote:
i know the actual percents are negligible, but those two scare me.
Pretty sure Arkansas' red zone conversion rate was outstanding, too.
Then they played the AGGIES.
Posted on 10/6/16 at 11:27 pm to TbirdSpur2010
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