re: Big 12 Stuff

Yeah I would definitely want KU over Ok State. I think Texas wants the PAC and OU wants the SEC and thus the B1G would make a strong play for KU. Who knows though.

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I think BYU to the PAC makes too much sense for them to not do it at that point.

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It makes RATIONAL sense. It doesn't make IRRATIONAL sense though, and this problem is an irrational one. The PAC, being conference made up of west coast, leftist institutions, will not tolerate a Mormon school with strict conservative rules among them.

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Here's a question for the board: let's say when the GOR ends and everyone jumps ship, will a school like OU really stay out in the cold if a conference says "we will take you, but not OSU"? Conferences like the B1G or SEC can afford to be choosy, if OU gets an offer that says, "we want you and KU, no riders, take it or leave it" will they really follow OSU into the mountain west?

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Only really Texas and OU have options. Some of the other programs might end up in other Power 5 conferences, but only OU and Texas have the prestige to "conference shop" as it were.

Texas won't make the first move at the end of the GOR. The GOR ends in 2024 and the LHN contract goes through 2030. The brand new Texas leadership has made it clear the LHN is still a priority for them for some reason ("only WE have one!") so I don't see Texas making the first move. ESPN isn't going to cancel the LHN because realignment means even more money across the board for rights fees and they are going broke as it is.

Therefore if OU makes a move it won't be because "everyone jumps ship." It would be OU jumping ship to escape the marginalization of the Big 12. They would be a first mover, the one who would be blamed for the death of the Big 12.

In that case suddenly the OSU problem is much bigger, because politically OU can't destroy the Big 12 and screw over OSU just to get the extra brand value of the SEC or B1G (for example). If everyone was jumping ship then the Oklahoma politicians won't get in the way of letting OU do what it needs to do. But striking first to kill a (somewhat) viable conference just because the SEC has been cleaning their clock in recruiting? That won't fly.

The only way the Big 12 goes into a full blown Mexican standoff is if Texas changes its mind about the LHN (very unlikely) or Kansas gets an invite to the B1G it decides to take (even though then THEY have a KSU problem). Most likely OU will be made to see the reality of this situation, and might even sign a GOR until 2030 to maximize revenue in the conference championship negotiations with networks.

I don't see anything significant happening in realignment until the 2030s, and by then maybe TV changes so much (and ratings decline so much) that all of college football makes sensible moves (like the NFL-like super conference Longhorns dream of) to maximize the post-bubble value. If the playoffs go to 8 games (VERY likely) the Big 12 can easily survive.

Has anyone seen proposed yearly scheduling with pods? Would you have three permanents in the others and then rotate one from each for 9 games?

It would be ridiculous if we go to 16 team conferences and still play 8 conference games but I guess it wouldn't be surprising the non power four teams would basically become FCS schools so OOC games would just be a disaster

And just go all in with a 11 game conference schedule where you play your own division plus 2 other divisions. In this scenario I would want all the SEC champ and runner up automatically given a CFB berth. You'd have to expand to 8 or 6 in the CFP.

The supporters view is 100% correct IMO and Charlie should stay

The next round of realignment is going to be a clusterfrick. But one thing is for sure; Iowa State, Kansas State, TCU, and Baylor are all fricked. They either bring no TV markets or their fan base is too small.

Until they realize those schools are very regional within the state (nobody in Houston or San Antonio cares for Baylor or TCU) and that their ratings are non existent when they suck. The same applies for SMU and Houston. The schools can achieve decent ratings in the markets they are in, but only when they are winning. When they lose a game or two, fans don't watch or show up. Just look at how many empty seats there were this weekend at TCU and at Houston.

The ACC would have a hard time selling a network to Texas cable companies with TCU and Baylor on their portfolio. They aren't A&M or Texas.