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First two defensive players drafted tonight as recruits
Posted on 5/8/14 at 11:48 pm
Posted on 5/8/14 at 11:48 pm
#stargazing
This post was edited on 5/8/14 at 11:49 pm
Posted on 5/9/14 at 12:15 am to hawgfaninc
Outliers happen. On the whole though, how many first rounders aren't 4 or 5 star recruits?
Posted on 5/9/14 at 12:18 am to hawgfaninc
quote:
@RivalsWoody: Final 1st round #NFLDraft breakdown: four 5-stars, 13 4-stars, 12 3-stars, three 2-stars. 14 former #Rivals250 members.
Posted on 5/9/14 at 1:14 am to Crimson G
Posted on 5/9/14 at 8:05 am to Crimson G
quote:
Outliers happen
its not even really an outlier. Recruiting rankings/Stars are about probability. And its a fact, the more stars, the higher the probability that they will do great in college, which in turn usually means higher draft pick
Posted on 5/9/14 at 8:22 am to Crimson G
quote:
Outliers happen. On the whole though, how many first rounders aren't 4 or 5 star recruits?
Usually about half
Posted on 5/9/14 at 9:57 am to hawgfaninc
So the unanimous #1 overall rated HS player just went #1 overall in the NFL draft 3 years later and youre using this as proof that rankings dont matter?

Posted on 5/9/14 at 10:55 am to MMB5DAP
Huh? He is showing how the top two varied coming out of high school.
Posted on 5/9/14 at 10:59 am to nebraskafaninwi
quote:
Huh? He is showing how the top two varied coming out of high school
No, it's a cherry picked stat and one that shows the recruiting services got it EXACTLY correct no less. 46% of the first round was made up of 4/5 stars when they only make up 10% of high school recruits.
4/5 stars are 10 times more likely to be drafted in the first round than a 3 star or lower.
Posted on 5/9/14 at 12:10 pm to MMB5DAP
Going by Rivals, there are 2000+ two stars, 1,200-1,500 three stars, 320-340 four stars, and 30-40 five stars. A five star is much more probable to be a high draft pick than four star. A four star is much more probable to be a higher draft pick than a three star. A three star is much more probable to be a high draft pick than a two star.
Posted on 5/9/14 at 6:12 pm to hawgfaninc
Two star means you haven't been scouted by the service (all they know is your name). Every un-scouted player is a 2 star. It's the default designation the services use. Services can't rate every recruit out there and usually won't rate a recruit unless he's got big time offers.
Posted on 5/9/14 at 7:23 pm to hawgfaninc
Tennessee fans tried to act like stars didn't matter when Dooley was here, too.

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