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Why I think A&M will win tomorrow.

Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:02 pm
Posted by Grovewater
Member since Jul 2015
249 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:02 pm
Saban has consistently had a massive Achilles heel at Bama, spread offenses. When the game is slowed down, and Alabama can just out talent everybody, they win almost every time. When you spread them out, go fast to keep them from rotating personnel, the talent gap becomes less of an issue. Bama's defensive line amazing, but they're also heavy(average of 315 lb) when you go quickly, that advantage can be almost completely negated after a few series. Additionally, makes it more difficult to adjust Defensive play calling.
The biggest reason why I think A&M gets this one, is that while Bama's LB corp is 2nd to none, the secondary is pretty weak. And I would argue that TAMU is just as good if not better at the pure passing game than Ole Miss. The combination of Kyle Allen with those massive Aggie receivers up against that Bama secondary is a mismatch.

A&M will score, and Myles Garrett will get his against Cam Robinson(who has struggled this year). The question is whether Bama's offense will be able to keep up, and I don't have faith in Jake Coker or Derek Henry.

A&M is a match up nightmare for Alabama, because they're a fast paced spread offense with a good quarterback and massive receivers. Which in addition to playing on the road just screams "upset", if you can call it that.
This post was edited on 10/16/15 at 8:03 pm
Posted by MrGrind
Member since Oct 2015
513 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:03 pm to
You thought ol miss would beat UF. Analysis fail.
Posted by transcend
Austin, TX
Member since Aug 2013
4166 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:04 pm to
But will Bama fumble 1456 times again?
Posted by PorkRoast
Louisiana
Member since Sep 2015
6047 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:04 pm to
Until proven otherwise, I'll take a pissed off Bama team that has a chip on their shoulder.
Posted by higgs_boson
State College, PA
Member since Sep 2014
22456 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:05 pm to
This will definitely be their first serious test to the secondary since Ole Miss.
Posted by Grovewater
Member since Jul 2015
249 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:05 pm to
quote:

You thought Ole Miss would beat Florida


I did up until about Thursday of that week when I found out 3 of our 5 starting OLmen were out. I wasn't shocked by Florida winning at all.
Posted by geauxturbo
Baton Rouge
Member since Aug 2007
4169 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:06 pm to
I'm by no means a fan of Bama and I hope the insufferable aggies win. But, no one is a match-up "nightmare" for Bama. Please show me the last time they lost by 4+ touchdowns.
Posted by greenbastard
Parts Unkown
Member since Feb 2014
2740 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:07 pm to
I guess this means Bama will win.
Posted by Glorious
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
24528 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:07 pm to
The spread offense thing is way overblown. They score more on mostly everybody. Nobody ever talks about how Saban scores more against spread teams. Of course the team that runs more plays scores more often. The D gave up 28 against AU in 2013, 29 vs. A&M 2012, 20ish vs. West Virginia last year, and 0 vs A&M last year
Posted by Tyler9258
Auburn
Member since Dec 2013
4204 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:07 pm to
Grove water has spoken. Aggie don't show up to Kyle
Posted by Landsharks
Shreveport, louisana
Member since Jan 2013
8032 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:08 pm to
Sabans worst lost at home since 2007 was 7 points to Louisiana Monroe...
Posted by OMLandshark
Member since Apr 2009
108735 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:09 pm to
I doubt it will happen, but I'm rooting for A&M. Takes a lot of heat off of us on Bama winning the West, plus it will assure that Gameday comes to Oxford next week (considering we don't shite the bed vs Memphis).
Posted by CCTider
Member since Dec 2014
24179 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:11 pm to
It isn't spread offenses that give Bama trouble, it's hunh with a disk threat QB. Aggies have a good air attack. But they aren't setup to run on Bama.
Posted by Kashmir
Member since Dec 2014
7706 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:11 pm to
you may be right. you may be crazy.

the biggest reason bama wins is because they have to.
Posted by Minkah Magic
Member since Oct 2015
560 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:14 pm to
quote:

massive achilles heel


quote:

against spread offenses and hurry up bullshite offenses that aren't man enough to come right at you like real football was meant to be


quote:

but yet....59-0


Doesn't compute.
Posted by Minkah Magic
Member since Oct 2015
560 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:16 pm to
So I guess my question is, where was this massive achilles heel during 59-0?

Doesn't make a lot sense does it?

That's because you're a frickin idiot with no clue about football. Thanks.
Posted by Whiskey Man
St Somewhere
Member since Nov 2012
910 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:19 pm to
They won't need to run. bama's secondary is garbage.
Posted by Nguyening
SEMO
Member since Jun 2013
9057 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:19 pm to
59-0 was an outlier and had nothing to do with Bama.
Posted by TOKEN
Member since Feb 2014
11990 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:20 pm to
Spread offenses with a mobile Quaterback are what gives Bama trouble.

Also, the defense of A&M is meh. Bama by 2 Touchdowns.
Posted by Minkah Magic
Member since Oct 2015
560 posts
Posted on 10/16/15 at 8:22 pm to
quote:

59-0 was an outlier and had nothing to do with Bama.


Ahh right. Makes sense. Cool.
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