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Who Gets In Under This Scenario?
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:15 pm
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:15 pm
Six teams finish 10-2, Aggies beats Alabama in the SECCG giving Texas A&M the auto spot
Georgia 10-2 (34-3 vs Clemson, 30-15 @ Texas, 31-17 vs Tennessee)
Ole Miss 10-2 (28-10 vs Georgia)
Tennessee 10-2 (24-17 vs Alabama)
Texas 10-2 (31-12 @ Michigan)
Alabama 10-3 (41-34 vs Georgia, 42-13 @ LSU)
Georgia 10-2 (34-3 vs Clemson, 30-15 @ Texas, 31-17 vs Tennessee)
Ole Miss 10-2 (28-10 vs Georgia)
Tennessee 10-2 (24-17 vs Alabama)
Texas 10-2 (31-12 @ Michigan)
Alabama 10-3 (41-34 vs Georgia, 42-13 @ LSU)
12
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:16 pm to dawgfan24348
None of us are on the committee
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:16 pm to dawgfan24348
A&M and Alabama for sure.
The rest is just a total mess. Texas wouldn't deserve to get in, but they'd be in.
The rest is just a total mess. Texas wouldn't deserve to get in, but they'd be in.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:21 pm to dawgfan24348
In that scenario Texas and/or bama should be out
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:21 pm to dawgfan24348
You forgot 27-3 @ USCe
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:21 pm to dawgfan24348
Texas would get left out. And possibly ole miss due to who they lost to.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:22 pm to dawgfan24348
A&M>Bama>OleMiss>Uga>UT>Texas
In this order.
In this order.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:25 pm to volinktown
Texas hasn't beaten a team with a winning SEC record. 6-4 Vandy they beat by 3 points is their best conference win. .. 
Worst losses might be more telling than good wins...
Worst losses might be more telling than good wins...
This post was edited on 11/18/24 at 2:27 pm
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:25 pm to dawgfan24348
Texas would clearly be out imo. A&M would have an auto bid. Beyond those two, I think OM and UGA would feel pretty good about things. Tennessee and Bama likely sweating out selection Sunday and hoping for chaos in other conferences. Of those two, I think Bama would have a slightly better case than Tennessee and doubt the committee would want to clearly punish a conference CG loser in year 1 of the new format.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:27 pm to volinktown
quote:
A&M>Bama>OleMiss>Uga>UT>Texas
Texas & Tennessee have 7 comparable games
Texas (5-1) +83 + Kentucky
Tennessee (4-2) +26 + Vanderbilt
Texas & Ole Miss have 6 comparable games
Texas (4-1) +80 + Kentucky
Ole Miss (3-1) +59 + Florida + Miss State
Texas & Ole Miss will probably be pretty close, and right or wrong, Texas probably gets that spot. Tennessee is low man on the totem pole imo.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:28 pm to dawgfan24348
In that scenario, it’s likely that Aggies, OM, Texas & Georgia get in along with Oregon, tOSU, Penn State, Indiana, Notre Dame, Miami/SMU, Boise & Colorado.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:41 pm to BevoBucks
I’m not sure what justification there could be for putting a 10-2 Texas in with zero notable wins.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:42 pm to Crowknowsbest
How does Alabama have a better case than Tenn?
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:44 pm to RandySavage
quote:
How does Alabama have a better case than Tenn?
They don’t really, but I don’t think the committee will want to be seen as punishing a CG loser. Optics would be bad.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:44 pm to Crowknowsbest
quote:
I’m not sure what justification there could be for putting a 10-2 Texas in with zero notable wins.
Texas & Tennessee have 7 comparable games
Texas (5-1) +83 + Kentucky
Tennessee (4-2) +26 + Vanderbilt
Texas & Ole Miss have 6 comparable games
Texas (4-1) +80 + Kentucky
Ole Miss (3-1) +59 + Florida + Miss State
Idk how the committee will look at it, but this would be argument for Texas, assuming all teams win out.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:47 pm to BigBro
quote:
Idk how the committee will look at it, but this would be argument for Texas, assuming all teams win out.
That is a very weak argument. Neither UTs will have great resumes, but beating unranked teams by 21 vs 14 isn’t going to make a difference. At least it shouldn’t.
OM has two wins of significantly higher quality than anything Texas would have in this scenario.
This post was edited on 11/18/24 at 2:49 pm
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:49 pm to Crowknowsbest
quote:
That is a very weak argument. Neither UTs will have great resumes, but beating unranked teams by 21 vs 14 isn’t going to make a difference. At least it shouldn’t.
How else do you compare two teams who haven't played?
Texas 2 L's to playoff teams, no wins vs playoff team
Ole Miss 2 L's to unranked teams, one win vs playoff team
Tennessee 1 L to playoff team, 1 L to unranked team, one win vs playoff team
It's a mess no matter how you slice it. Comparable games is the only thing that makes logical sense to me. Even if Texas beats A&M, Ole Miss and Tennessee should be compared this way imo.
quote:
OM has two wins of significantly higher quality than anything Texas would have in this scenario.
and two bad losses, one against a winless Kentucky team outside of that game
They may leave all 3 of us out in that situation.
A&M, Alabama & Georgia would be in imo.
This post was edited on 11/18/24 at 2:52 pm
Posted on 11/18/24 at 2:56 pm to dawgfan24348
Your premise is void based on your initial statement which will not happen.
quote:
aggy in the SECCG
Posted on 11/18/24 at 3:14 pm to Crowknowsbest
quote:
They don’t really, but I don’t think the committee will want to be seen as punishing a CG loser. Optics would be bad.
Simple solution, don't have them in the top 12 before the championship game. Then it will be seen as an opportunity rather than a punishment. Alabama doesn't have a better case than UTenn now and certainly wouldn't with another loss.
Posted on 11/18/24 at 3:20 pm to Crowknowsbest
quote:I’m not saying we deserve to be in over TN at that point. But, the reality is that ESPN runs this sport & UT helps maximize their ROI.
I’m not sure what justification there could be for putting a 10-2 Texas in with zero notable wins.
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