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re: Who beats Bama this year in football?

Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:49 pm to
Posted by JayAg
Member since Jun 2021
10282 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:49 pm to
I think we got a shot, but it comes down to which red shirt freshman QB makes the most plays. But I got A&M with a shot, Ole Miss offense with a better shot, and if they meet Georgia in the SECCG, Georgia will have an edge on offense it rarely has, and can match defense.

I’d put LSU and Auburn with the discussion if I knew what Auburns new offense is gonna looke like bc I like Tank, and I’d say LSU but I don’t know who their QB is going to be, or if their OL was solid enough to score over 30 points an outing. Last year, that OL cost them games.
Posted by CrimsonClover
Member since Oct 2020
1063 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Why does Ole Miss have a shot?

They don't. This is a "hot take"
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:50 pm to
quote:

Why does Ole Miss have a shot? Their defense won't be stopping anyone, much less a team with Alabama's run game.



Because we will be breaking in new offense and against a team with an offense that explosive we could have a bad quarter, look up and be down 28-7.

I wouldn't say it's likely but it's definitely possible. It's happened before. We still win most of the time, but a lot of the games we've lost against great offensive teams follow that same script.
This post was edited on 6/23/21 at 12:51 pm
Posted by SammyTiger
Baton Rouge, LA
Member since Feb 2009
66481 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:50 pm to
Why?
Posted by TheGusBus34
New Orleans, LA
Member since Oct 2014
1635 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:50 pm to
The last team to beat BAMA was a 'Homefield Auburn' team, Saban is 3-7 alltime in JHS.

Auburn plays Bama at home this year.
Posted by geauxtigahs87
Louisiana
Member since Dec 2008
26267 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:51 pm to
quote:

A&M is sooooo overrated it isn't even funny

Defense should be legit

We'll know if the "Mond was holding us back" argument was bullshite or not by mid October.
Posted by njimbo39
Navasota
Member since Mar 2021
397 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:51 pm to
Auburn is not gonna do it man
Posted by Marktastic86
Pismo Beach, CA
Member since Dec 2020
12538 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Auburn plays Bama at home this year.


When your only hope this year is home field advantage, it may be a rough season.
Posted by TheGusBus34
New Orleans, LA
Member since Oct 2014
1635 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:53 pm to
quote:

Auburn is not gonna do it man


Auburn wasnt supposed to beat Bama at all during the Saban era, every Auburn team has been less talented since he arrived, but somehow....

This post was edited on 6/23/21 at 12:54 pm
Posted by Leto II
Arrakis
Member since Dec 2018
21282 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

Auburn is not gonna do it man


Only thing they have in common with A&M then.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

Auburn wasnt supposed to beat Bama at all during the Saban era, every Auburn team has been less talented since he arrived, but somehow....



If Auburn goes into the Alabama game with the West on the line and ranked in the Top 10 then we'll probably lose.

If Auburn goes into the game sitting at 7-4 or 6-5 then we'll win.
Posted by TheGusBus34
New Orleans, LA
Member since Oct 2014
1635 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:55 pm to
quote:

When your only hope this year is home field advantage, it may be a rough season.


Auburn has only lost 1 home game in the last 2 years...
Posted by Marktastic86
Pismo Beach, CA
Member since Dec 2020
12538 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

Because we will be breaking in new offense and against a team with an offense that explosive we could have a bad quarter, look up and be down 28-7.


This is also assuming the Bama defense won't be legit this season. All signs point to this being one of the deepest and most talented defensive rosters Saban has fielded. There's a lot of experience on the Dline, an actual reliable pass rush, a talented secondary and a stacked ILB rotation.

They could be average,but I highly doubt it.
Posted by TheGusBus34
New Orleans, LA
Member since Oct 2014
1635 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:57 pm to
accurate, Saban has trouble with auburn teams win 8 plus wins. not sure if he has ever a beaten a 8 plus win auburn team
Posted by JohnnyRebel
Colorado
Member since Sep 2014
7186 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:59 pm to
Southern Miss is on the schedule. They have 6 wins vs Bama in football. Upset alert
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22666 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 12:59 pm to
A&M maybe on paper, but Ole Miss I think is the more likely choice.

I think Kiffin wants nothing more in life than to be the first former assistant to beat Saban, and knows how to abuse Saban's tendencies.

I suppose you could say LSU has the talent, but they have a long way to go as a team.
Posted by TheGusBus34
New Orleans, LA
Member since Oct 2014
1635 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

Auburn is not gonna do it man


Texas A&M has beaten Bama once since entering the SEC, you must mean A&M is not gonna do it.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

This is also assuming the Bama defense won't be legit this season. All signs point to this being one of the deepest and most talented defensive rosters Saban has fielded. There's a lot of experience on the Dline, an actual reliable pass rush, a talented secondary and a stacked ILB rotation.

They could be average,but I highly doubt it.



No it doesn't assume that. We've had great defenses get whiplashed for a quarter......even specifically against Ole Miss. 2016 is one of the greatest Alabama defenses I've ever seen. They gave up 17 points and 243 yards in the 1st half in Oxford and the offense gave up another 7.

IMHO, the most likely loss will be a game in which we struggle on offense relative to how well we have to play to win the game. Against Ole Miss it could be not scoring enough combined with some bad turnovers. Against A&M it could be just not scoring enough because we have too many empty drives and then can't find answers late.

Doesn't mean it will happen, but if we lose that's how I'm guessing we lose a game.
This post was edited on 6/23/21 at 1:02 pm
Posted by Marktastic86
Pismo Beach, CA
Member since Dec 2020
12538 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

Auburn has only lost 1 home game in the last 2 years...


And go back one more year, and they choked to a horrible Tennessee team at home. So, no need to act like they're unbeatable when playing there.
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22666 posts
Posted on 6/23/21 at 1:01 pm to
quote:

The last team to beat BAMA was a 'Homefield Auburn' team, Saban is 3-7 alltime in JHS.

Auburn plays Bama at home this year.





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