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Updated Net Rankings

Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:32 am
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:32 am
I truly don’t understand these, but here you go

Posted by Lemonpuppy
Mississippi
Member since May 2020
2709 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:32 am to
Tennessee is confusing. They haven’t been impressive in SEC play.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:34 am to
Yea I truly don't get how Missouri is #23. Their "bad" loss is still a Q2 loss, they have 5 Q1 wins and 6 Q1/Q2 wins combined. Only 1 Q4 game.

Tennessee, on the other hand, is ranked #12 with 2 Q1 wins, 4 Q1/Q2 wins and 5 Q4 games. All 3 of their losses are Q1 losses, but does 1 Q2 loss really plummet you that much? I just don't get it.

You guys must have truly hit some sort of sweet spot for the NET to fvck you, cause I can't see it.
This post was edited on 1/26/21 at 9:37 am
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:34 am to
Mizzou moved up one spot after a road win vs (then) #6 Tennessee
Posted by ElDawgHawg
L.A. (lower Arkansas)
Member since Nov 2012
2973 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:35 am to
Arkansas is confusing too.... we either look like a final four team or we get blown out...... only outlier is the Tennessee game really.
Even the second Auburn game we had a half of each. SOOOOOO confusing... but that's life with a young team sometimes.
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
15960 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:36 am to
Kenpom also hates us.
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
15960 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:38 am to
I do understand Saturdays movement a little. Net dropped Tennessee pretty good, and Oregon and Wichita state both lost. All three thing happening is why we hardly moved.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:40 am to
quote:

Kenpom also hates us.



I at least kind of get this one - his formulas basically see Missouri as 3 different teams depending on the night - #10 team when they play well, #30 team when they play mediocre, #75 team when they play like arse. You net all that together and you get that rating.

JMHO
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
15960 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:43 am to
My biggest kicker is for the first few weeks his #1 measurer is experience. Idk where mizzou actually ranks in this, but Id guess maybe top 10 in experience.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30851 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:44 am to
As an Alabama fan, when it comes to basketball my default is either "cautiously optimistic" or "constantly expecting the floor to collapse."
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:45 am to
quote:

My biggest kicker is for the first few weeks his #1 measurer is experience. Idk where mizzou actually ranks in this, but Id guess maybe top 10 in experience.



Yep - 7th. You guys finished #97 last year and started #59 this year, so there was a pretty substantial bump with what was essentially the same roster.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:47 am to
KenPom has a lot of preseason data points in the calculation.

I’m not even sure what goes into the Net rankings
Posted by mizslu314
Dirty STL
Member since Sep 2013
15960 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:48 am to
Net takes in a lot of things but the biggest thing is how your competition is doing. Kenpom is more about your team stats and net wants to know how the teams you played are doing currently.
Posted by Lemonpuppy
Mississippi
Member since May 2020
2709 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:50 am to
That makes sense. So a combo of the 2 would be a really good poll.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30851 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:50 am to
quote:

Net takes in a lot of things but the biggest thing is how your competition is doing. Kenpom is more about your team stats and net wants to know how the teams you played are doing currently.


Very true.

I've seen teams win their games and drop in Net because their opponents had really bad weeks.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:51 am to
quote:

KenPom has a lot of preseason data points in the calculation.



It's mostly phased out by this point

quote:

I’m not even sure what goes into the Net rankings


It's just a formula to calculate based on wins and losses and who you beat and where. The difference in it and RPI is that it adds in a lot more weight to home/road/neutral - which is why a win over #33 at home is a Q2 win while a win over #67 on the road is a Q1 win.

The thing about Missouri is their resume seems to check all the boxes for a high NET ranking. I can't figure out where the math formula docks Mizzou out of a Top 15 spot. They seem to literally check all the boxes more so than a lot of the #15-20 teams.
This post was edited on 1/26/21 at 9:52 am
Posted by wm72
Brooklyn
Member since Mar 2010
7797 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:54 am to
quote:

I do understand Saturdays movement a little. Net dropped Tennessee pretty good, and Oregon and Wichita state both lost. All three thing happening is why we hardly moved.


Yeah, the specific movement last week seems to make some sense.

Still, it's odd just looking at the way NET and PRI has Q1/Q2 wins that Missouri wouldn't really have a better NET. Missouri is 5-1 and 1-1 in NET Q1/Q2. They are 2-0 and 2-2 in RPI.

Otherwise, RPI is the system which seems to have a lot more outliers than NET so far: Georgia State #12, Navy #13, Army #29, Pacific #37, Iowa #43, St Louis #60, Texas Tech #71. . .

This post was edited on 1/26/21 at 10:02 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:56 am to
quote:

Still, it's odd just looking at the way NET and PRI has Q1/Q2 wins that Missouri wouldn't really have a better NET. Missouri is 5-1 and 1-1 in how NET has Q1/Q2 records and 3-0 and 2-2 in RPI.


I really am completely confused by it. What are we missing?
Posted by Lemonpuppy
Mississippi
Member since May 2020
2709 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 9:58 am to
Some guy just ranks the teams how he wants and makes up a bullshite formula for how he got there.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30851 posts
Posted on 1/26/21 at 10:00 am to
quote:

I really am completely confused by it. What are we missing?



Does margin of loss play a factor?

They only have the two, but lost one by 20 and the other by 15.

Just grasping here. They have a solid OOC win (Oregon) and a really good one (Illinois). So no clue.
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