re: SOG Prediction Model - SEC Week 7

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Score Prediction
Florida - 45
LSU - 37

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It will take massive improvement on defense for LSU to hold Florida to only 45.

Arky/OM

AM/State, VOLS/UK added

A&M-State is all over the place because of State's insanely different performances. If you take out the State/LSU game it has TAMU winning by 10.

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What if you take out the other outlier: A&M/Vanderbilt?

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It really isn't that huge an outlier for A&M when you just look at yardage and yards per play. The biggest difference is points due to the turnovers, so it hurts their Yards Per Point number.

I mean, honestly, the outlier for A&M in the numbers (especially on offense) is Florida. They had less than the opponents average vs Vandy/Bama, 1.5 YPP more than average vs Florida.

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Score Prediction
Mississippi State - 28
Texas A&M - 23

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THIS is why we aren't completely confident.

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Score Prediction
Auburn - 26
South Carolina - 24

Auburn: 366 yards on 63 plays (5.81 YPP)
South Carolina: 384 yards on 73 plays (5.26 YPP)

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let me guess, USC led at the half 21-9. because that would be about right for Muschamp football.

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Can't wait for the total on this one...~80?

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I've got it at 78, obviously, and the O/U is 70.5.

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Score Prediction
Arkansas - 38.7
Ole Miss - 38.6

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I'll take it