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Posted on 10/28/21 at 7:21 pm to Avante
Stephen Davis is close to the top 50. I think the big surprise might be ECU who has 2 backs. Earnest Byner and Chris Johnson
Posted on 10/28/21 at 7:22 pm to Avante
He had mental illness
Posted on 10/28/21 at 7:47 pm to dukkbill
quote:
Tre mason was pro bowl and all pro. Done in 2 years
Posted on 10/28/21 at 8:57 pm to dukkbill
quote:
Tre mason was pro bowl and all pro.
He never made a pro bowl or all pro team
Posted on 10/28/21 at 9:01 pm to 1BamaRTR
Not even close.
Posted on 10/28/21 at 9:56 pm to dukkbill
Davis is 25 yards short of making the list, whoa!
East Carolina power!
Pitt has Dorsett, Martin and McCoy.
East Carolina power!
Pitt has Dorsett, Martin and McCoy.
Posted on 10/28/21 at 10:01 pm to dukkbill
Actually he had three seasons of pro ball.
Posted on 10/28/21 at 10:59 pm to Avante
Surprised Neil Anderson is not on the list for Florida. He was a beast for the Bears in the late 80s and early 90s.
He and Barry Sanders were my starting running backs in my very first fantasy football league.
He and Barry Sanders were my starting running backs in my very first fantasy football league.
Posted on 10/28/21 at 11:12 pm to BhamTigah
Anderson had over 6000 yards, yeah great runner.
Posted on 10/29/21 at 3:19 am to Avante
Looking at the 2012-2019 NFL drafts 197 running backs have been drafted, 55 in rounds 1-3 (14 in round 1)
I discounted the 2020 and 2021 drafts because those players have had less than 2 years in the League
No RB drafted in 2012 is still in the League, that’s the most recent class for which all round 1-3 RBs are out of the NFL
David Wilson, Montee Ball, Dri Archer, Tre Mason, Bishop Sankey, Derrius Guice - played 2 seasons or less (6 player)
32/55 are still playing
You have to go back to 2015 to find a class with at least 1/2 out of the NFL but it drops off pretty fast past that, only 4 out of 20 round 1-3 picks from 2012-2014 are still playing
Since most round 1-3 picks from 2016-2019 are still playing (24/27) average career length is skewed low at 4.6 years. If you look 2012-2015 (the most recent year with at least 1/2 the round 1-3 picks gone) it’s 5.1 years.
- I’d say the NFL career of a RB picked in the first 3 rounds is around 5 years
- I didn’t track the data but you can visualize a drop off in production and starts around year 4
- RBs are undervalued in the early rounds (by 34% in 1-3 and by 50% in round 1. By this I mean 34% fewer RBs drafted rounds 1-3 than statistically expected) this may just be due to QBs, EDGE rushers, OTs etc being deemed more valuable or may be a hidden indicator that RBs aren’t considered as durable / are more disposable and should be taken with later round picks. There may be pressure to keep round 1-3 RBs at least through their first contract
I discounted the 2020 and 2021 drafts because those players have had less than 2 years in the League
No RB drafted in 2012 is still in the League, that’s the most recent class for which all round 1-3 RBs are out of the NFL
David Wilson, Montee Ball, Dri Archer, Tre Mason, Bishop Sankey, Derrius Guice - played 2 seasons or less (6 player)
32/55 are still playing
You have to go back to 2015 to find a class with at least 1/2 out of the NFL but it drops off pretty fast past that, only 4 out of 20 round 1-3 picks from 2012-2014 are still playing
Since most round 1-3 picks from 2016-2019 are still playing (24/27) average career length is skewed low at 4.6 years. If you look 2012-2015 (the most recent year with at least 1/2 the round 1-3 picks gone) it’s 5.1 years.
- I’d say the NFL career of a RB picked in the first 3 rounds is around 5 years
- I didn’t track the data but you can visualize a drop off in production and starts around year 4
- RBs are undervalued in the early rounds (by 34% in 1-3 and by 50% in round 1. By this I mean 34% fewer RBs drafted rounds 1-3 than statistically expected) this may just be due to QBs, EDGE rushers, OTs etc being deemed more valuable or may be a hidden indicator that RBs aren’t considered as durable / are more disposable and should be taken with later round picks. There may be pressure to keep round 1-3 RBs at least through their first contract
Posted on 10/29/21 at 3:30 am to kyrik92
And that sounds ok, just not cats taken in the first few rounds done in two seasons, that ain't true.
I would never pay a RB, there are simply too many of them out there. After that rookie contract I let them go, get another one.
Any RB who gets as far as a draft has been a star all his life, most will produce.
I do put a lot in that 40 time, have to have a guy with a burst. Sub 4.55 a must.
I would never pay a RB, there are simply too many of them out there. After that rookie contract I let them go, get another one.
Any RB who gets as far as a draft has been a star all his life, most will produce.
I do put a lot in that 40 time, have to have a guy with a burst. Sub 4.55 a must.
This post was edited on 10/29/21 at 3:34 am
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