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Only eleven teams can realistically win the national championship this year

Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:04 pm
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
64930 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:04 pm
Since 1996 (roughly the time recruiting rankings began to be tracked), only one team has won a national title without at least two Top 10 recruiting classes in the four years prior to their national championship (2000 Oklahoma being the lone exception).

As it stands right now, only 11 teams in the FBS have had at least two Top 10 recruiting classes in the last four years:

Alabama (4-for-4)
Ohio State (4-for-4)
Florida State (4-for-4)
LSU (4-for-4)
Auburn (3-for-4)
Georgia (3-for-4)
USC (3-for-4)
Texas A&M (3-for-4)
Tennessee (2-for-4)
Michigan (2-for-4)
Clemson (2-for-4)

It can almost be 100% guaranteed that your national champion will come from one of these eleven teams.



This post was edited on 8/30/17 at 2:06 pm
Posted by DBU
Member since Mar 2014
19059 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:05 pm to
So you're saying there's a chance?
Posted by pioneerbasketball
Team Bunchie
Member since Oct 2005
132188 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:07 pm to
Actually, it's only one.

Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
28897 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

Tennessee

Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:11 pm to
quote:

Alabama (4-for-4)
Ohio State (4-for-4)
Florida State (4-for-4)
LSU (4-for-4)
Auburn (3-for-4)
Georgia (3-for-4)
USC (3-for-4)
Texas A&M (3-for-4)
Tennessee (2-for-4)
Michigan (2-for-4)
Clemson (2-for-4)

It can almost be 100% guaranteed that your national champion will come from one of these eleven teams.

You can definitely take A&M, Tenn, and Michigan off that list.
Posted by FearlessFreep
Baja Alabama
Member since Nov 2009
17270 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:12 pm to
quote:

Since 1996 (roughly the time recruiting rankings began to be tracked), only one team has won a national title without at least two Top 10 recruiting classes in the four years prior to their national championship (2000 Oklahoma being the lone exception).
Where did you read this?I'd be interested to see how many teams that were the NC game losers those years that didn't meet that criteria.

I can only think of a couple offhand, 1999 VA Tech and 2010 Oregon.
This post was edited on 8/30/17 at 2:12 pm
Posted by RollTide1987
Augusta, GA
Member since Nov 2009
64930 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

Where did you read this?


Rivals recruiting data goes all the way back to 2002. From there you have to google. Anything past 1993 is non-existent.

Clay Travis had an article on it this week as well.
This post was edited on 8/30/17 at 2:16 pm
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:16 pm to
quote:

You can definitely take A&M, Tenn, and Michigan off that list.


you can definitely eat a dick
Posted by Bratwurst83
Hog Hollow TN
Member since Aug 2017
24 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:19 pm to
Yeah boiiieee!
Posted by bamasgot13
Birmingham
Member since Feb 2010
13619 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:22 pm to
bruh...no way even you expect Tenn, A&M, or Michigan to win the natty this year
Posted by Bratwurst83
Hog Hollow TN
Member since Aug 2017
24 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:24 pm to
The Vols are Champions of Life. All other champions pale in comparison.
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:24 pm to
Posted by WG_Dawg
Hoover
Member since Jun 2004
86434 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:25 pm to
LSU/AU/aTm don't have a chance, simply by virtue of being in the same division as bama. Lol at UT having a chance. There's really only like 5 or 6 teams with a realistic shot.
Posted by NorthGwinnettTiger
Member since Jun 2006
51809 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:28 pm to
quote:

realistically win the national championship
quote:

Georgia










































Posted by Roger Wilco
Xenon
Member since Aug 2017
268 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:30 pm to
quote:

Texas A&M


quote:

Georgia


lol
Posted by Tigerpaul1969
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Jan 2010
4445 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:36 pm to
An interesting spin off would be what teams not in that list could you see having a chance. I would say someone like Wisconsin who plays in a really weak division could get to the Big 10 title game, slip by whoever shows up from the other division (who's probably been battered and bruised) and then, once you're in the playoff, anything might just happen. Wisconsin plays a physical enough brand of football to knock off a team or two in the playoffs. Even if Oklahoma State made it from the Big 12, I don't see them having a chance once they get there.

ETA: Stanford is another one. Possibly Washington because Chris Petersen seems to get the most out of the least amount of talent.
This post was edited on 8/30/17 at 2:39 pm
Posted by Tigerpaul1969
The Woodlands, TX
Member since Jan 2010
4445 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:41 pm to
One other note: How are teams like Texas and Florida not on that list? They haven't mustered just two top 10 classes in four years?
Posted by Evolved Simian
Bushwood Country Club
Member since Sep 2010
20467 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:54 pm to
quote:

LSU (4-for-4)


No excuses. They should be in the playoff.
Posted by Serraneaux
South of 30a
Member since Mar 2014
19591 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:55 pm to
quote:

Georgia (3-for-4)


quote:

national champion


LOL
Posted by EKG
Houston, TX
Member since Jun 2010
43977 posts
Posted on 8/30/17 at 2:56 pm to
quote:

LSU/AU/aTm don't have a chance, simply by virtue of being in the same division as bama

Oh we have a chance.
We're just not likely to pull it off.
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