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re: NIT Watch 2014 (artist formerly known as Bubble Watch)

Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:03 am to
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
43501 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:03 am to
You are correct, I've blocked out the Heath/Pelphrey decade from memory, or I'm trying too anyway.

There seems to be a difference when you win in that scenario, UGA 2008 and Arkansas in 2000 had a different attitude directed towards them than the teams that lost "allowing" them in.
Posted by Larry
Collierville, TN
Member since Jul 2004
5497 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:04 am to
quote:

If we somehow squeak in, drinks are on me.

That goes for the whole board.


I think Arkansas may be in just for the fact that they are going to take 4 teams from the SEC. If someone other than Florida wins the tournament than maybe not, but I would think the Hawgs are still in.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
32428 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:05 am to
If they take 4 from our league, we are in unless Mizzou beats UF today
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
43501 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:06 am to
quote:

I won't be surprised if we are in and, I won't be surprised if we aren't.



If we make it in, Great!

If we are "only" a #1 seed in the NIT, Great!

This program hasn't seen any post season play since Heath's last squad exhausted their eligibility, improvement is all I'm wanting and seeing, this team should be better next year as well.
Posted by piggilicious
Member since Jan 2011
37310 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:07 am to
quote:

If we make it in, Great! If we are "only" a #1 seed in the NIT, Great! This program hasn't seen any post season play since Heath's last squad exhausted their eligibility, improvement is all I'm wanting and seeing, this team should be better next year as well.


my feelings exactly.

Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
32428 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:16 am to
Lest look at Florida State. Who, for some reason people also have in

9-9 conference record
3-8 vs. top 50
6-11 vs. top 100
6-6 last 12
Best win UMass at home
19 wins
13 wins over 100+ RPI teams
Posted by DMagic
#ChowderPosse
Member since Aug 2010
49899 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:18 am to
ACC perception brah
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33912 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:20 am to
quote:

the Heath/Pelphrey decade


Never forget.
Posted by Hawgeye
tFlagship Brothel
Member since Jun 2009
32428 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:29 am to
ACC is a mirage

Look at Pitt

24-8 record

0-6 vs RPI top 25
1-6 vs RPI top 50
6-8 vs RPI top 100
18 wins over RPI 100+ teams
4 wins over RPI 70-100 teams

22 wins over teams with RPI rating of 72-326


Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
43501 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:29 am to
quote:

ACC perception brah



The perception of the leagues, Big12, ACC, A10, is driving the bubble talk in the media.

It won't necessarily have the same effect on the committee, meaning I do not believe OkST, etc. to be "locks" like many are portraying them to be.

As far as the brackets, the NIT is going to be far more interesting for the SEC, only 22 spots remain open, roughly 16 bubble spots for the NCAAs will go to the NIT, that means it will be interesting to see how UGA, Ole Miss, and LSU fair against teams from the other conferences.

As of right now, Florida, Kentucky, Tennessee, Arkansas, and Mizzou are the only teams I would consider to be "locks" for a tourney. UGA should be, but they are going to get hammered for their non-con record, while teams like BYU will get a pass for losing to equal/worse competition in conference.
Posted by Stonehog
Platinum Rewards Club
Member since Aug 2011
33912 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:30 am to
Pitt making it in would be some serious bullshite.

But so would BYU and they seem like a lock now.
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
43501 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:30 am to
Pitt's OOC schedule strength was 250+ (IIRC).
Posted by DMagic
#ChowderPosse
Member since Aug 2010
49899 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:33 am to
I agree but that narrative doesn't get viewers
Posted by Al Bundy Bulldog
The Grindfather
Member since Dec 2010
36293 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:34 am to
Southern Miss is now 27-5 just saying they should be mentioned.
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
43501 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:35 am to
quote:

Southern Miss is now 27-5 just saying they should be mentioned.



CUSA is looking to be a one bid league this year.

LaTech is the favorite.

I believe either would have to win their tourney to get in with the other being NIT bound.
Posted by Feral
Member since Mar 2012
12675 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:38 am to
quote:

You are correct, I've blocked out the Heath/Pelphrey decade from memory, or I'm trying too anyway.


No kidding. It's like that Family Guy line about German tour guides:

Brian: why does your brochure leave out the years 1939 through 1945?
Tour Guide: Everyone was on vacation!!
Posted by DaleDenton
Member since Jun 2010
43501 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:48 am to
BTW: I missed the CUSA tourney bracket so an updated list and added to the key games of the day:

3/14 update

No 1. seeds to lose in conference Tourney (NIT auto qualifiers)

Vermont - American East
Atlantic Sun- Florida Gulf Coast
Big South - High Point
Horizon - Green Bay
MAAC - Iona
NEC - Robert Morris
OVC - Belmont
Southern - Davidson
Boston U - Patriot
Southern - SWAC

In the tourney:

Harvard - Ivy
Eastern Kentucky - OVC
Coastal Carolina - Big South
Mercer - Atlantic Sun
Wichita St. - MVC
Delaware - CAA
Manhattan - MAAC
Wofford - Southern
Mount St. Mary's - NEC
Milwaukee - Horizon
North Dakota St. - Summit League
Gonzaga - WCC
American U - Patriot

Remaining #1 seeds still in their conference tourney from one-three bid leagues:

Weber St. - Big Sky
UC-Irvine - Big West
WMU - MAC
UNC-Central - MEAC
SFA - Southland
Georgia St. - Sunbelt
Utah Valley - WAC
LaTech - CUSA

Key Games Today:

MWC:
SDSU vs UNLV, New Mexico vs Boise st.

CUSA:
LaTech vs USM, MTSU vs Tulsa.

ACC:
FSU vs Virginia, Pitt vs UNC, NC State vs Cuse, Clemson vs Duke

SEC:
Mizzou vs Florida, Carolina vs Tennessee

Pac12:
Colorado vs Arizona, Stanford vs UCLA

B1G:
Ohio St. vs Nebraska, Minnesota vs Wisconsin

A10:
Dayton vs St. Joes

Big East:
Seton Hall vs Providence, Xavier vs Creighton

Early Round Bubble Team exits:
3/14
Utah
Oklahoma St.
Kansas St.
Maryland
Arkansas
Iowa
St. Johns
Cal
Oregon
Arizona St.

3/13
Georgetown

Ranked team early exits:
Oklahoma
Memphis
SMU
Villanova
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
52984 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:50 am to
Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
52984 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:51 am to
quote:

No kidding. It's like that Family Guy line about German tour guides:

Brian: why does your brochure leave out the years 1939 through 1945?
Tour Guide: Everyone was on vacation!!

Posted by hawgfaninc
https://youtu.be/torc9P4-k5A
Member since Nov 2011
52984 posts
Posted on 3/14/14 at 10:53 am to
quote:

If we make it in, Great!

If we are "only" a #1 seed in the NIT, Great!

This program hasn't seen any post season play since Heath's last squad exhausted their eligibility, improvement is all I'm wanting and seeing, this team should be better next year as well.

this
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