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re: Living up to the hype - how teams finish compared to preseason rankings

Posted on 3/13/13 at 1:34 pm to
Posted by Bench McElroy
Member since Nov 2009
33926 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 1:34 pm to
It doesn't mean anything. You need to have a history of proven success to be ranked high in the preseason anyway. I would much rather be "overrated" like Florida, Georgia and LSU than be "underrated" like Mississippi State, South Carolina and Ole Mass.
Posted by genro
Member since Nov 2011
61788 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 1:35 pm to
So we have 2 greatly underrated, and 1 somewhat underrated. What other SEC team has been underrated as much as that during that time span?
Posted by BrerTiger
Valley of the Long Grey Cloud
Member since Sep 2011
21506 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 1:41 pm to
I'm gonna add some context...

quote:

03- start 23, finish UR. Overrated slightly

Unranked that year meant finishing with zero votes in the AP poll. The equivalent of #36 (best case) in the final poll, not #26 -- which is how their scheme weights "unranked".

quote:

04- start UR, finish UR. Ranked correctly

Again Bama finished with zero votes in the AP poll -- the equivalent of #38. They started the season with 12 votes -- good enough for #37 presason. So yeah, it was a wash.

quote:

06- start UR, finish UR. Ranked correctly

Bama was preseason #26, just barely missed being #25. Again, they finished with zero votes. But no penalty in this scheme for receiving 141 votes in the preseason and then zero after the season is finished.

quote:

07- start UR, finish UR. Ranked correctly.

Started the season with no votes. Ended the season with no votes. Expectations met.

I don't really give a shite but just pointing out one of the flaws with the way they calculated this. Likewise, their scheme would reward Team A the same for starting #26 and finishing #1 as it would Team B for starting out with zero votes and finishing #1 (unpossible in reality but you get my drift).
This post was edited on 3/13/13 at 1:44 pm
Posted by BrerTiger
Valley of the Long Grey Cloud
Member since Sep 2011
21506 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 1:43 pm to
quote:

You need to have a history of proven success to be ranked high in the preseason anyway. I would much rather be "overrated" like Florida, Georgia and LSU than be "underrated" like Mississippi State, South Carolina and Ole Mass.


Precisely.

LSU, Florida and Georgia are on top of that list because we've been rated ever preseason for 10 years (or more) running.

Overrated? Sure. But ranked for a reason.
Posted by gatordmb89
Member since Dec 2009
30458 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 1:45 pm to
Herp..... Derp.....

Preseason rankings are a joke. You should have used the 1st and last BCS rankings or something.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24884 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 1:49 pm to
quote:

Herp..... Derp.....

Preseason rankings are a joke. You should have used the 1st and last BCS rankings or something.


Not really for the purpose of this exercise, which is to roughly show whether teams meet preseason expectations. Part of the exercise is also to show that preseason rankings are a joke. I think you missed the whole point. Using first and last BCS rankings doesn't really test the scenario of meeting / failing preseason expectations.
Posted by lightbulbz
Austin, TX
Member since Jun 2012
908 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 2:17 pm to
I remember us consistently being horribly overrated early on, especially with fran. Looks like one year of JFF has balanced it
Posted by Hogwall Jackson
Denver
Member since Feb 2013
5052 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 2:42 pm to
Posted by sorantable
Member since Dec 2008
48716 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 2:43 pm to
I always knew that Ole Miss was underrated.
Posted by BrerTiger
Valley of the Long Grey Cloud
Member since Sep 2011
21506 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 2:53 pm to
quote:

I always knew that Ole Miss was underrated.


Speaking of underrated, just how long has it been since Ole Miss cracked the top 25?

Ole Miss sure does seems to underrated a lot since Eli flew the coop. 2 top 25 finishes since he left. 8 top 25 finishes in the 41 years since Archie left.

How much longer do your people have to wander the desert until the next Manning-siah delivers you?
Posted by Crompdaddy8
Jimmy Rustler
Member since Nov 2009
10569 posts
Posted on 3/13/13 at 2:54 pm to
#1

suck it
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