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re: Joe Burrow Vs. Trevor Lawrence isn't a fair matchup

Posted on 1/9/20 at 10:12 am to
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19126 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 10:12 am to
quote:

250/370 65.2% completion 3280 Passing yards 36 TDs 8 INTs
514 yards rushing 8 TDs

371/478 77.6% completion 5208 passing yards 55 TDs 6 INTs
310 yards rushing 4 TDs

So Burrow has passed for 1900 more yards, 19 more TDs, 12% higher completion, and fewer interceptions than Lawrence against tougher competition. There's no scenario where Burrow loses this game unless he gets injured.


Since we did this in the RB post...here are the opponents pass defensive rankings (based on YPG).

LSU:
Ga Southern - 78
Texas - 125
Vandy - 86
Utah St - 91
Florida - 36
Miss St - 92
Auburn - 60
Alabama - 16
Ole Miss - 113
Arkansas - 74
aTm - 49
Georgia - 19
Oklahoma - 46
Average = 68.1

Clemson:
Georgia Tech - 56
aTm - 49
Syracuse - 114
Charlotte - 21
UNC - 72
Florida St - 115
Louisville - 96
Boston Col - 127
NC State 111
Wake For - 109
USCe - 79
Virginia - 83
Ohio St - 2
Average = 79.5
Posted by Alex_Jones
Member since Dec 2019
340 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 10:19 am to
quote:

Good thing you left out attempts as well. One guy rarely played in the 4th quarter during blowouts and the other guy did.


I posted the number of attempts. But it's kind of irrelevant when the completion percentage is still a lot higher for Burrow.
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19126 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 10:20 am to
Here are opponent pass defense rankings based on completion percentage.

LSU:
Ga Southern - 78
Texas - 93
Vandy - 88
Utah St - 75
Florida - 61
Miss St - 72
Auburn - 40
Alabama - 24
Ole Miss - 124
Arkansas - 129
aTm - 22
Georgia - 21
Oklahoma - 41
Average = 66.8

Clemson:
Georgia Tech - 68
aTm - 22
Syracuse - 16
Charlotte - 100
UNC - 60
Florida St - 69
Louisville - 58
Boston Col - 108
NC State 111
Wake For - 86
USCe - 53
Virginia - 29
Ohio St - 2
Average = 60.15
Posted by 19
Flux Capacitor, Fluxing
Member since Nov 2007
33182 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 10:21 am to
quote:

defense and Burrow against theirs.


Posted by DCtiger1
Panama City Beach
Member since Jul 2009
8766 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 10:45 am to
Do you not see the flaw in these rankings?
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19126 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 11:24 am to
quote:

Do you not see the flaw in these rankings?




Sure I do...but there are three types of lies:

Lies, Damn Lies and Statistics
Posted by DCtiger1
Panama City Beach
Member since Jul 2009
8766 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 12:18 pm to
Statistics that include teams that played a QB completing 77% of his passes?

Surely that doesn’t affect the data
This post was edited on 1/9/20 at 12:19 pm
Posted by madmaxvol
Infinity + 1 Posts
Member since Oct 2011
19126 posts
Posted on 1/9/20 at 12:26 pm to
quote:

Can we have an Over 25 board?



How about an over 45 board?
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