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re: How #1 Alabama compares to 16th ranked LSU

Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:06 am to
Posted by lsu711
Member since Sep 2003
13029 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:06 am to
quote:

Bama is the superior team. Bama is the superior team no matter who they're playing honestly.


This plus LSU has an interim coach in a "throwaway" season. LSU has little to lose and Bama has everything to lose.

No pressure, gumps.
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:07 am to
quote:

As fast as Alabama's defense takes it away from the other team, Jalen Hurts gives it right back. The only difference is that Alabama scores of their take-aways, the other team doesn't. But Alabama in general and Hurts in particular seem more than happy to give it away.


It isn't Hurts all of the time. Sometimes receivers and Bo Scar has fumbled also.
Posted by GregAl
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
3659 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:07 am to
quote:

Penalty yards
1. Navy 19.3/game
32. LSU 47.3
36. Alabama 49.5


This can't be true. It doesn't fit the narrative.
This post was edited on 10/24/16 at 8:08 am
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:08 am to
quote:

No pressure, gumps.



just another divisional game to us
Posted by BugaPainTrain7
Oxford, MS
Member since Nov 2014
11567 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:09 am to
quote:

take it up with al.com


Makes sense
Posted by c on z
Zamunda
Member since Mar 2009
127384 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:09 am to
quote:

The most stunning stat he mentioned in all that is that BAMA is only +0.5 turnovers per game.

Not really.

They at times have had a propensity of taking and giving away the football.
Posted by Dire Wolf
bawcomville
Member since Sep 2008
36588 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:10 am to
quote:

As a Bama fan... I have all the respect in the world for LSU. F the stats, Bama better come in ready to play... because LSU will.


This is kind of what I am thinking. In t-town, bama rolls and does their thing. However, tiger stadium is going to be a blood thirsty
Posted by GregAl
Mobile
Member since Aug 2014
3659 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:10 am to
[img]To get a better barometer of LSU you just might want to take the last 3 games....[/img]

Missouri, Southern Miss, and Ole Miss.

Okay, we'll take USC, Kent State, and Kentucky.
Posted by asphinctersayswhat
Parts Unknown
Member since Nov 2011
3360 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:12 am to
quote:

Why don't you used S&P stats big boy?




Don't be lazy and do it yourself.
Posted by AllBamaDoesIsWin
Member since Dec 2011
26725 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:12 am to
quote:

3rd down offense

1. Texas Tech 59.3%

11. Alabama 49.1%

75. LSU 38.7%

3rd down defense

1. Michigan 12.2 %

12. Alabama 29.7 %

43. LSU 43.2 %


Key stats for any team. Nice to see Alabama near the top 10 in both categories. Hard to win a title if you can't win 3rd down.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30857 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:12 am to
quote:

To get a better barometer of LSU you just might want to take the last 3 games....


Maybe. I'm sure it doesn't hurt that the three defenses you faced in those games were abysmal.

Missouri - 109th
Ole Miss - 107th

Only Southern Miss is highly ranked on D, but that's smoke and mirrors - take out the 41 yards vs Savannah State (WHO?) and their ranking plummets. This team gave up 400+ yards to Kentucky and 532 yards and 55 points to UTSA - a team averaging 29 points and 391 yards per game.

So, yes, LSU is improved... but they've demonstrated that against three completely horrible defenses. They've got Alabama, Florida and Texas A&M - all with above average defenses - to prove that these improvements are legit, and not just the benefit of playing horrid defenses.
Posted by LSUwag
Florida man
Member since Jan 2007
17319 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:13 am to
I'm one who pays a lot of attention to the NCAA statistics and rankings. I would normally agree with you however, this year with the coaching change, it is much closer in my opinion.

LSU did a better job against OM than Alabama did. The improvements at LSU are hard to quantify because they haven't peaked yet.

Bama just losing your defensive player to a broken leg is a massive loss.

I see this game being very very close. Maybe a slight advantage to LSU.
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:14 am to
quote:

Key stats for any team. Nice to see Alabama near the top 10 in both categories. Hard to win a title if you can't win 3rd down.



nevermind
This post was edited on 10/24/16 at 8:15 am
Posted by viceman
Huntsville, AL
Member since Aug 2016
30688 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:18 am to
quote:

To get a better barometer of LSU you just might want to take the last 3 games....which are of course since Les was fired and Etling has been Quarterback. If you think this is the same team then you haven't watched the games.



sure, let's manipulate them to where Bama and LSU is number 1 and 2 in all of the stats. Let's not count the Bama's offense turnovers and penalties. We can omit the games that LSU lost and just pretend they didn't happen
Posted by Doc John
The Cave
Member since Nov 2010
410 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:21 am to
Your 3rd down numbers for LSU are wrong.

3rd down conv. %

43. LSU 43.2%

3rd down conv. Defense %

17. LSU 31.3%

Stats from NCAA
Posted by Brageous
Member since Jul 2008
107724 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:21 am to
quote:


sure, let's manipulate them to where Bama and LSU is number 1 and 2 in all of the stats. Let's not count the Bama's offense turnovers and penalties. We can omit the games that LSU lost and just pretend they didn't happen


I'd normally agree, but Miles vs Orgeron coached LSU team have been night and day. Stats are fun and all, but it's not painting the real picture here.
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
38373 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:23 am to
quote:

Maybe a slight advantage to LSU.


I'm sorry, what? Based on talent, coaches...what?

Or just based on Tiger Stadium, where Alabama is 26-9-2. Where does the advantage lie? Call it close all you want and I don't think you'll find an argument from anyone, but I'm very curious about this advantage

quote:

The improvements at LSU are hard to quantify because they haven't peaked yet.


No way to really know this. As has already been mentioned, the 3 under Orgeron have looked a lot better offensively than the 3 under Miles, but Etling has faced 3 of the most porous defenses in the country, and Auburn. So that could be legit, or it could be fools gold. We'll find out how good (and tough) he is against Alabama.
Posted by UpToPar
Baton Rouge
Member since Sep 2008
22151 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:25 am to
quote:

They've got Alabama, Florida and Texas A&M - all with above average defenses


A&Ms defense is not above average.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30857 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:29 am to
quote:

A&Ms defense is not above average.


Well, it is in scoring, but you're right. Their rush D will likely make for a feast day for LF.
Posted by labamafan
Prairieville
Member since Jan 2007
24263 posts
Posted on 10/24/16 at 8:31 am to
Yeah no defense that allows that much running between the tackles is average. I think this will be the best defense Alabama and obviously LSU has faced this season I think Auburn may have the best defense in the SEC.
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