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Posted on 8/1/19 at 2:54 pm to RatRodDawg
For the OP, he was surprised it was not:
August 31: vs. Duke (Atlanta): 99.99999999963 percent win probability
September 7: New Mexico State: 99.99999997 percent
September 14: at South Carolina: 99.999999999825 percent
September 21: Southern Miss: 99.999999999999983 percent
September 28: Ole Miss: 99.9999999999999991 percent
October 12: at Texas A&M: 99.9999999999999999974 percent
October 19: Tennessee: 99.9999999884 percent
October 26: Arkansas: 99.999999999 percent
November 9: LSU: 99.99999999748 percent
November 16: at Mississippi State: 99.99999999779 percent
November 23: Western Carolina: 99.99999999999999999 percent
November 30: at Auburn: 99.99999999973.6 percent
August 31: vs. Duke (Atlanta): 99.99999999963 percent win probability
September 7: New Mexico State: 99.99999997 percent
September 14: at South Carolina: 99.999999999825 percent
September 21: Southern Miss: 99.999999999999983 percent
September 28: Ole Miss: 99.9999999999999991 percent
October 12: at Texas A&M: 99.9999999999999999974 percent
October 19: Tennessee: 99.9999999884 percent
October 26: Arkansas: 99.999999999 percent
November 9: LSU: 99.99999999748 percent
November 16: at Mississippi State: 99.99999999779 percent
November 23: Western Carolina: 99.99999999999999999 percent
November 30: at Auburn: 99.99999999973.6 percent
Posted on 8/1/19 at 2:58 pm to tmjones2
quote:
That gives Bama a 20.3% chance of going 12-0 which is obviously too low
How many times has Alabama gone undefeated in the last 10 years?
Posted on 8/1/19 at 3:52 pm to RatRodDawg
Posted on 8/1/19 at 4:09 pm to HailToTheChiz
quote:Just shows how weak their schedule is.
Big 3
Posted on 8/1/19 at 5:52 pm to borotiger
quote:
How many times has Alabama gone undefeated in the last 10 years?
Since the subject of the thread is the regular season, the answer is 3 of the last 10 (2009, 2016, 2018) and two of the last three.
So, if you're trying to suggest that the odds are out of line with the historical record you'd be correct but probably not in the way you intended.
Posted on 8/1/19 at 6:05 pm to JustGetItRight
quote:
So, if you're trying to suggest that the odds are out of line with the historical record you'd be correct but probably not in the way you intended.
I didn't suggest anything but the bammer I was responding to did.
Posted on 8/1/19 at 7:46 pm to borotiger
quote:
How many times has Alabama gone undefeated in the last 10 years?
12-0?
2008
2009
2016
2018
This post was edited on 8/1/19 at 7:47 pm
Posted on 8/1/19 at 7:51 pm to HailToTheChiz
quote:
Big 3
According to this there is a 59% chance they lose to at least one of those teams. tDecline is real.
Posted on 8/1/19 at 7:56 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
47.0%- Alabama
24.8%- Georgia
12.3%- LSU
5.5%- Florida
2.4%- Texas A&M
2.1%- Auburn
Big Six
This post was edited on 8/1/19 at 7:57 pm
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