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re: ESPN FPI: LSU 2018

Posted on 7/20/18 at 12:32 pm to
Posted by soleckma
Member since Nov 2013
994 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 12:32 pm to
I think LSU does better than people expect. They’ll get a win during that tough stretch
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 12:39 pm to
quote:

Does nobody see that LSU is as talented, and maybe more talented then we were last year?


Ole Miss was talented by the end of O's tenure. That's why when he was fired and Houston Nutt took his place, they were able to go from 4 wins to 9 wins. It was like a weight vest had been taken off the team.
Posted by azcatiger
somewhere
Member since Mar 2011
4481 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 1:58 pm to
34.3% chance of winning vs Miami?

No need to keep reading anything that stupid.
Posted by Aggiehoss04
Arkansas
Member since Oct 2017
885 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 2:08 pm to
quote:

Miami - L 
SE Louisiana - W 
at Auburn - L 
LA Tech - W 
Ole Miss - W 
at Florida - L 
Georgia - L 
Mississippi St - W 
Alabama - L 
at Arkansas - L 
Rice - W 
at Texas A&M - W 


Miami W (the U was exposed their last 3 games)
SE LA W
@ Aub L
LA Tech W
Ole Miss W
@ FL W (Florida is finding their QB, they haven't found him yet
Georgia L (this could easily be a W)
Miss St W (home game)
Bama L
@ AR W
Rice W
@ A&M W

Miami lost their last 3 games after the level of competition stepped up. I'm not sold on FL rebounding that quickly, though Mullen was a good hire. They could beat UGA at home. I think they split their SEC East games. Bama will be a low scoring game, and A&M hasn't shown up for home games in a while. Now if they blow an easy game or two it could all fall apart, but they have equal or superior talent and depth against everyone but Bama and maybe UGA, both they get at home. They have equal talent with Auburn but they are on the rd. They have more talent than A&M, FL, MSU and Miami
Posted by Goldrush25
San Diego, CA
Member since Oct 2012
33794 posts
Posted on 7/20/18 at 2:40 pm to
quote:

34.3%- Miami
98.6%- SE Louisiana
17.4%- at Auburn
85.7%- LA Tech
69.5%- Ole Miss
35.0%- at Florida
22.8%- Georgia
40.4%- Mississippi St
22.2%- Alabama
55.0%- at Arkansas
98.7%- Rice
34.8%- at Texas A&M


I think this is fair.

A good coach wins when his team isn't favored to win. We should win at least three of those bolded games if Orgeron is the coach for this team. UF is the only one of those I'm counting as a L.
This post was edited on 7/20/18 at 2:41 pm
Posted by OldPete
Georgia
Member since Oct 2013
2804 posts
Posted on 7/21/18 at 7:24 am to
quote:

quote:

Ever heard of Julio Jones?
Falcons reportedly let Julio Jones know he's not getting new contract
Browns WR Jarvis Landry signs five-year extension

Dude, do you even read the articles or just the headlines? That's apples and oranges...Julio's not getting a new contract because he's still got three years left on his contract and the Falcons just payed Ryan and have other guys in their last year they still have to sign. They can't afford a new contract for him now...

Landry was in a totally different situation...he was in the last year and could've been franchise tagged...the Browns wanted to wrap him up long term...

Landry's a good WR but, are you telling me NFL teams/coaches, given a choice, would rather have him than Julio?
Posted by olgoi khorkhoi
priapism survivor
Member since May 2011
14851 posts
Posted on 7/21/18 at 8:10 am to
quote:

It doesn't matter how talented lsu is or will be. You have Mongo coaching your team.




Mongo beat Auburn when Saban couldn't get within single digits
Posted by IAmNERD
Member since May 2017
19210 posts
Posted on 7/21/18 at 11:03 am to
I wonder what their win probability % was just before halftime of the Auburn game last year?



frick you Gus. Still not over that one.
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