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re: DraftKings has Tennessee +350 to Win the CWS.

Posted on 5/24/22 at 10:14 pm to
Posted by cubsfan5150
Member since Nov 2007
15758 posts
Posted on 5/24/22 at 10:14 pm to
They likely played roughly 76% of their games at home
Posted by Blutarsky
112th Congress
Member since Jan 2004
9580 posts
Posted on 5/25/22 at 9:43 am to
quote:

They likely played roughly 76% of their games at home


For reference, they hit 40 at home and 28 away during SEC play. 64 at home in OOC games and 5 at a neutral site.
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 5/25/22 at 1:12 pm to
I was curious, so I ran the numbers:

56 total games - 137 HR

Home (37 games) - 106 HR
Neutral (4 games) - 5 HR
Away (15 games) - 26 HR

HR per home game: 2.86
HR per non-home game: 1.63
HR per away game: 1.73
HR per neutral game: 1.25

% of games played at home: 66%
% of HRs hit at home: 77%

Number presented without comment. Is an 11% difference statistically significant considering the data set? I have no idea, I slept through stat class.
This post was edited on 5/25/22 at 1:20 pm
Posted by Vandyrone
Nashville, TN
Member since Dec 2012
6960 posts
Posted on 5/25/22 at 1:23 pm to
The more relevant comparison would be SEC games home/away since almost all of the weaker, non conference opponents are at home.
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64549 posts
Posted on 5/25/22 at 1:25 pm to
quote:

Number presented without comment. Is an 11% difference statistically significant considering the data set? I have no idea, I slept through stat class.



quote:

HR per home game: 2.86
HR per non-home game: 1.63
HR per away game: 1.73
HR per neutral game: 1.25


This is significant, yes. It would honestly be cool if college baseball had park adjusted stats to look at like you can for the major leagues
This post was edited on 5/25/22 at 1:27 pm
Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 5/25/22 at 1:26 pm to
You're a lawyer not a stat guy GTFOh

Posted by VFL1800FPD
Nashville, TN
Member since Aug 2012
9056 posts
Posted on 5/25/22 at 1:28 pm to
quote:

The more relevant comparison would be SEC games home/away since almost all of the weaker, non conference opponents are at home.


That's a good point, maybe i'll get around to that this afternoon
This post was edited on 5/25/22 at 1:31 pm
Posted by lsufball19
Franklin, TN
Member since Sep 2008
64549 posts
Posted on 5/25/22 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

That's a good point, maybe i'll get around to that this afternoon


someone already did it ITT

quote:

For reference, they hit 40 at home and 28 away during SEC play.


So 2.66 HRs/gm at home in league play and 1.86 HRs/gm on the road. Not a ton of difference in the numbers for all games.

For comparison, LSU is second in HRs in SEC play with 63. They have hit 31 HRs at home and 32 on the road in league play, so roughly 2 HRs/gm at home and away
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Atlanta GA - ITP
Member since Sep 2012
24933 posts
Posted on 5/25/22 at 1:42 pm to
I think they will go 2 and LSU in Omaha.
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