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re: Bama v. FSU Early Prediction Thread
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:01 pm to Al Bundy Bulldog
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:01 pm to Al Bundy Bulldog
quote:
Bama v. FSU Early Prediction Thread by Al Bundy Bulldog
quote:
Until LSU shows they can do more than run the ball I'm going with Bama.
quote:
Bama v. FSU
quote:
FSU
0
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:02 pm to DeltaDoc
FSU 24 Bama 21. Frick, someone has to beat them in the regular season. Lord knows we can't, except maybe...this year.
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:04 pm to remaster916
Too early ... way too early.
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:08 pm to DeltaDoc
Bama 34
FSU 20
It's close for a while but Bama opens it up in the the 4thq.
FSU 20
It's close for a while but Bama opens it up in the the 4thq.
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:11 pm to DeltaDoc
28-23 somebody don't really care already dreading the amount of drooling the winner will receive from espn
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:12 pm to DeltaDoc
Bama by 21
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:29 pm to BowlJackson
quote:
Francois>>>>Hurts
Based on?
And even if you are correct (which I don't think Francois is >>>> Hurts, though he may be slightly better), you are forgetting the other 21 players on the field, specifically, the lines.
Bama 31
FSU 20
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:43 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:Well, that seems cherry picky
I mean, maybe, but Francois was a mediocre mostly volume passer against good defenses
@ Louisville : 7/18 (39%), 101 yards, 1 TD/1 INT
@ Miami : 20/31 (65%), 234 yards, 2 TD/0 INT
vs Clemson : 17/35 (49%), 286 yards, 1 TD/1 INT
@ NC State : 22/39 (56%), 330 yards, 1 TD/0 INT
vs Florida : 15/26 (58%), 138 yards, 1 TD/1 INT
vs Michigan : 9/27 (33%), 222 yards, 2 TD/1 INT
Total Passing : 51%, 219 yards per game, 8 TD/4 INT
Here is Hurts vs what you call good defenses
LSU: 10/19(52%), 107 yards, 0 TD/1 INT
Auburn: 27/36 (75%), 286 yards. 2TD/2INT
Florida: 11/20 (55%), 138 yards, 1TD/ 0 INT
Washington: 7/14 (50%), 57 yards, 0TD/O INT
Clemson: 13/31 (42%), 131 yards, 1TD/ 0 INT
So
Francois
51%, 219 yards per game, 8 TD/4 INT
vs
Hurts
56%, 144 yards per game, 4tds/3 ints
So yeh, Francois looks better like he said
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:51 pm to lsupride87
quote:
Well, that seems cherry picky Here is Hurts vs what you call good defenses
I agree, and I wouldn't argue that Hurts passing will win us this football game. But the point of the post I was responding to was that Francois was really good and would win the ballgame, and my point was he really wasn't a ton better than Hurts last year.
And they lose Dalvin Cook and we return roughly 5 All-Conference caliber backs. So, Francois will be the key to their offense and Hurts will once again (and hopefully moreso) be playing off our run game. Also - Hurts run numbers were a huge part of his game and aren't included in those numbers. Francois really didn't do much running (except getting sacked).
Everyone knows Hurts wasn't great last year, but neither was Francois was kind of my point.
Total YPG in the games above : Hurts 197, Francois 220
Total TD Per Game in the games above : Hurts 1.4 TD per game, Francois 1.7 TD per game
This post was edited on 4/19/17 at 3:57 pm
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:52 pm to Al Bundy Bulldog
FSU
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:52 pm to lsupride87
Now do rushing
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:58 pm to Glorious
quote:Hurts will have more rushing yards by alot.
Now do rushing
And Summer will admit, those stats are heavily skewed as sacks count in college, and Francois line was fricking atrocious
Posted on 4/19/17 at 3:59 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:IMHO, you need to take out sack yardage for both players
Total YPG in the games above : Hurts 197, Francois 220
Posted on 4/19/17 at 4:00 pm to lsupride87
quote:
And Summer will admit, those stats are heavily skewed as sacks count in college, and Francois line was fricking atrocious
Yep - but also kind of plays in to the point that his line won't be much better next year, and we're half decent at decapitating QBs with bad O-lines.
It'll be a fun game with NFL studs everywhere (much like Bama-LSU always is), but I don't think FSU matches up real well with us next year. That is of course unless Francois gets better this offseason and is really accurate, which is totally possible.
This post was edited on 4/19/17 at 4:00 pm
Posted on 4/19/17 at 4:00 pm to lsupride87
Also skewed in DFs favor as FSU had to throw the ball more often than bama. Hurts would have significantly more passing yards if Bama was in more close games
Posted on 4/19/17 at 4:01 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
I mean, maybe, but Francois was a mediocre mostly volume passer against good defenses
He was also a freshman and Jimbo is a very good QB coach. I expect Francois to have a huge season.
Posted on 4/19/17 at 4:02 pm to lsupride87
quote:
IMHO, you need to take out sack yardage for both players
If we were comparing them to figure out who is the better player and has better personal stats, I agree. But we're looking at them in the context of a game between Alabama and FSU, and sack numbers matter because they will most likely happen again in the first game of 2017 against us, IMHO.
Posted on 4/19/17 at 4:02 pm to VADawg
quote:
He was also a freshman and Jimbo is a very good QB coach. I expect Francois to have a huge season.
Redshirt freshman but yea, he was. He was definitely be improved and be the key to their offense.
Posted on 4/19/17 at 4:03 pm to Glorious
quote:
Also skewed in DFs favor as FSU had to throw the ball more often than bama. Hurts would have significantly more passing yards if Bama was in more close games
Hurts attempted 27 passes a game
Francois attempted 30 passes a game
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