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re: Annual Opponents Predictions

Posted on 8/21/25 at 4:52 pm to
Posted by jangalang
Member since Dec 2014
51926 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 4:52 pm to
quote:

There is no way the SEC office will let the schedules be this lopsided… especially at the expense of Alabama.

Leave it to an Auburn fan to find a piddling scheduling injustice at Bama's expense.
Posted by Old Hellen Yeller
New Orleans
Member since Jan 2014
9955 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 4:59 pm to
Alabama

Should be - Auburn, Tennessee, MSU
Will be - Auburn, Tennessee, LSU

It will be imbalanced for Bama but that LSU game has been big for TV
Posted by NobodyImportant
Montana
Member since Nov 2024
1821 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 4:59 pm to
Snakey has a new favorite these days. It will be lop-sided
Posted by Lsuhoohoo
Member since Sep 2007
102090 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:00 pm to
All of this is driven by TV and driving weekly matchups that people want to tune in for. I.E. eliminating your November game against Southwest Directional State Technical College. ESPN isn't paying for that.


ESPN and SEC aren't giving the axe to one of their highest viewed games in LSU/Bama. There's zero chance that's happening.
Posted by Sooner a Reb
Maryland
Member since Jan 2017
2339 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:03 pm to
quote:

Why not? Tennessee / Auburn are locks, and LSU vs Bama is one of the most viewed TV games every year.


That game won't be going forward. My guess is Alabama gets: Auburn/Tennessee/Miss State.
Posted by Saunson69
Stephen the Pirate
Member since May 2023
8230 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:09 pm to
LSU needs an easier SOS. LSU has always, always had a Top 10 SOS in the 136 team FBS. I have never once seen LSU not have a Top 10 SOS. It's time we get an easy Missou or Texas or Ole Miss this year type schedule.
Posted by DaleGribblesMower
Member since Dec 2013
8022 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:10 pm to
LSU should get Bama, Ole Miss, and Florida. The only one that should negotiable is Ole Miss
Posted by TX Tea
Member since Sep 2023
670 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:15 pm to
Texas - "Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Arkansas"

There is zero chance it's anything but this for TX
Posted by SouthernInsanity
Shadows of Death Valley
Member since Nov 2012
26241 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:18 pm to
bama will get Vandy as a permanent opponent..... WITHOUT QUESTION!
Posted by G&P
Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Member since Aug 2013
2403 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:21 pm to
I doubt ABC/ESPN will agree to drop the annual LSU vs. Bama game. Big winner the last 20 years in TV ratings… But Bama loves/needs them some State cowbells.
Posted by G&P
Baton Rouge, Louisiana
Member since Aug 2013
2403 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:31 pm to
AI:


### All-Time Series Overview (All Years)

The site **mcubed.net** provides a helpful breakdown of the complete series:

* **All-time against Mississippi State** (not limited to any timeframe):

* **Points For per Game (Alabama)**: 23.7
* **Points Against per Game**: 9.4
* **Average margin**: \~**+14.3 points** in Alabama’s favor ([Mcubed][1]).

---

### Since 1990 – Estimate Using Recent Decades

While detailed, year-by-year data since 1990 isn’t tabulated online, we can approximate using the decade data that includes much of that era:

* **2010s** (10 games):

* Alabama scored an average of **31.2 points per game** against MSU
* Allowed **9.1 per game**
* **Average margin**: \~**+22.1 points** ([Mcubed][1]).

* **2020s** (through 4 games):

* Alabama scored an average of **40.0 points**
* Allowed **8.0 per game**
* **Average margin**: \~**+32.0 points** ([Mcubed][1]).

These recent decades show a **clear upward trend** in the average margin of victory, likely influenced by Alabama's increasing dominance under Coach Nick Saban.

---

### Approximation: Alabama vs. MSU Since 1990

From the data available:

* **Pre-2010 (1990–2009)** likely had narrower margins—especially in MSU victory years.
* But **from 2010 onward**, Alabama's average win margins have been hefty:

* **\~22 points** in the 2010s
* **\~32 points** in the early 2020s

If we blend these with some narrower wins in the 1990s and early 2000s, a **reasonable estimate** for the average margin of Alabama victories over MSU since 1990 is likely in the **+20 to +25 points** range.

---

### Final Estimate

| Time Frame | Avg. Margin (Alabama over MSU) |
| ----------------------- | ------------------------------ |
| All-time | ˜ +14.3 pts |
| 2010s (2010–2019) | ˜ +22.1 pts |
| Early 2020s (2020–2023) | ˜ +32.0 pts |
| Since 1990 (estimate) | **˜ +20 to +25 pts** |

---

**Bottom Line**:
Since **1990**, Alabama has likely averaged around a **20- to 25-point margin of victory** over Mississippi State, with recent years skewing much higher especially in the 2010s and early 2020s.

Let me know if you’d like help digging into exact game-by-game numbers or how this margin compares to other key rivalries!


Posted by SouthernInsanity
Shadows of Death Valley
Member since Nov 2012
26241 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:33 pm to
TLDR..... but your vote is at least bama and moo state.
Posted by Sooner a Reb
Maryland
Member since Jan 2017
2339 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:35 pm to
Being an OU fan,

What I think: Texass, Texas A&M, Missouri

What I'd rather have: Texass, Missouri, Arkansas (I think this should be a rivalry).

Wild card: Texass, Missouri, LSU/Florida
Posted by Daowna
Member since Dec 2010
1811 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 5:57 pm to
I hope this is what they go with. Solid list.
Posted by BZ504
Texas
Member since Oct 2005
13245 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 6:40 pm to
I won’t be surprised if the SEC forces OU-LSU on Thanksgiving weekend. Mizzou-Arkansas has been doing that lately. It’ll either be that or Mizzou-OU and LSU-Arkansas.
Posted by llfshoals
Member since Nov 2010
20796 posts
Posted on 8/21/25 at 7:00 pm to
quote:

I like yours a whole lot.
Me too, solid list
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