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Alabama vs Georgia: The Transitive Property Analysis

Posted on 11/21/21 at 12:58 pm
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63859 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 12:58 pm
These two teams have three common opponents at this point, and after next week, will have four common opponents for analysis.

The transitive property is debunked, in general, but when you have a large body of common opponents, the transitive property becomes more legitimate.


Common opponents-

Florida
Tennessee
Arkansas
Auburn (after next week).

Against common opponents so far-

UGA has given up 24 points.
Bama has given up 88 points.

UGA has scored 112 points.
Bama has scored 125 points.


Initial conclusion is both offenses are on par with each other. The defenses are the big difference.

Discuss.
Posted by BamaGradinTn
Murfreesboro
Member since Dec 2008
26954 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 12:59 pm to
quote:

Discuss


No.
Posted by 3down10
Member since Sep 2014
22539 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:00 pm to
quote:

Transitive Property Analysis


Oxymoron

Posted by NashvilleTider
Your Mom
Member since Jan 2007
11351 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:00 pm to
None of that matters - Bama about to bust Uga in the mouth -
They have no idea wants about to be unleashed on them….. twice
Posted by deeprig9
Unincorporated Ozora, Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
63859 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:02 pm to
You are feeling pretty damn good about that big time win over Arkansas, eh?
Posted by 4Ghost
Member since Sep 2016
8518 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:02 pm to
Bama is doing a mindphuckk on uGa.
Posted by gothamdawg
NYC
Member since Nov 2015
948 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

None of that matters - Bama about to bust Uga in the mouth -
They have no idea wants about to be unleashed on them….. twice


True. Bama can't lose.
Posted by GoldenDawg
Dawg in Exile
Member since Oct 2013
19077 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:03 pm to
Solid.

Let me add that Georgia's offense didn't have more points because we blew teams out and we could shut our offense down early, bring in scrubs, etc.

Same with the defense. Due to blowouts, we could take our starters out. This ended up adding about 4-5 TDs scored late in games that would not have happened had we been in tight games and kept our starters in.

Posted by samson73103
Krypton
Member since Nov 2008
8108 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:03 pm to
Bama offense > Georgia offense by significant margin. Georgia defense > Bama defense by a significant margin. If both teams play their "A" game then Georgia wins. But Bama is capable of pulling the upset if Georgia has an off day. And I'm not sure Bama isn't in Georgia's head just a bit. So we have to play the game.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:03 pm to
In averages UGA is a TD better than Alabama.

At Alabama's best they are pretty even.

At Alabama's worst Georgia is 17-21 pts better.

Georgia doesn't really have a best and worst because they've pretty much the same team all year long on both sides of the ball, so they are the constant. Alabama is the yo-yo - some games the defense is elite, some games the offense is elite, not many if any games so far where they've both done it (Ole Miss the only possible one).
This post was edited on 11/21/21 at 1:05 pm
Posted by SmokeTide
Gulf Coast Alabama
Member since Nov 2015
5287 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:07 pm to
quote:

Initial conclusion is both offenses are on par with each other. The defenses are the big difference.



Shite doesn't matter, UGA has been defensively better than Alabama for awhile now.

It's all about if Bennett keeps UGA ahead of the chains. If has a great game UGA wins going away. If he struggles then Bama will have more possessions. We have seen this before with elite Bama defenses just pile plays on them until they break.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 1:10 pm to
Yea, the 3 biggest things in that game to me are

- Does UGA get 2-3 yards on their runs or 4-5. If it's the latter, Bennett will get easy throws for 1st downs and move the ball like they have most of the year.

- Can Bryce make throws down the field. It had been kind of his sole issue in the 1st half of the season, but he's gotten better as of late and was downright incredible yesterday. If he can make some big throws to Williams behind the defense it completely changes our offensive ceiling in this game.

- Does Alabama do stupid fvck up stuff like we have in some of our games?

Some things are just known - Georgia's front 7 will mostly get the best of our O-line, we will struggle to run the football, our defense will probably bust once or twice, etc. The top 3 things are what will decide if Alabama is Georgia's equal or if Georgia controls the entire game.

Alabama has a whole lot more "what ifs" than Georgia, and because of that they are rightfully the underdog. But they've shown the ability on both sides of the ball to be good enough to compete and win against anybody in America - they just haven't done it all at once. It's been 11 games, so it'd be foolish to "expect" them to do that over the last 2, but it's possible.
This post was edited on 11/21/21 at 1:13 pm
Posted by RollTideRandall
USA / FL / T-Town / NOLA
Member since Nov 2014
204 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 2:11 pm to
This Bama team is flakey. But bet your arse they will be ready to bring it against the dogs. Once that game starts no previous game matters. At kickoff it’s a clean slate and those stats are null. Bama has the experience of winning that game. Any honest bulldog knows it too. Bama comin’
This post was edited on 11/21/21 at 2:16 pm
Posted by Cheer
Member since Sep 2021
5254 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 2:14 pm to
quote:

BamaGradinTn


quote:

No.


I don't blame you.
Posted by Dawg4Life47
Beach
Member since Sep 2013
8427 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 2:37 pm to
LOL gave up 35 pts to Arky and is feeling tough…
Posted by memphis tiger
Memphis, TN
Member since Feb 2006
20720 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 2:40 pm to
Georgia is the better team and should win.

But until you actually play the game and NOT shite the bed, UGA should probably tone down the hubris
Posted by crimson_one
Member since Oct 2012
1136 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 2:41 pm to
No math needed
Bama oline = not good
Bama dbacks = not good
Bama tackling = not good (exception #31)
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24857 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 2:42 pm to
quote:

Discuss.



Georgia should be solidly favored and will be solidly favored. We will see if they can beat the bogey man.
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
30851 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 2:45 pm to
quote:

Initial conclusion is both offenses are on par with each other.


Eh.
This post was edited on 11/21/21 at 2:49 pm
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
16977 posts
Posted on 11/21/21 at 2:55 pm to
I think you guys are better than we are. However, given the pressure of the game and the fact we have survived to this point, let’s play the game.
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