Started By
Message
re: 2016 LSU Football Season Prediction Thread
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:43 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:43 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:Really?
How did you come to the conclusion that LSU's players are better than Arkansas'? Did you use past history of performance to determine this? How did you determine that LSU has a better coaching staff than Arkansas. Did you use their past performance and record?
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:43 pm to southeasttiger113
You've gone from full-blown stupid to full-blown rustled between your last 2 posts and didn't even read what I posted other than past performance weighing in on something. You might need to step outside and take a breather, I feel like your forehead veins are probably popping out right now. Even posters from your own fanbase, as well as several other casual observers, have popped into the discussion to tell you how dense you're being here.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:44 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
And none of ya'll will respond with specifically why I'm wrong about it not being applicable because you can't
Yes, we have but you are just to ignorant to understand playing a game of football is not flipping a coin
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:44 pm to Nissanmaxima
quote:
Losing to Bama will be plenty enough to get that ball rolling
Why? LSU is clearly not on the same level as Alabama anymore. Losses to UA should be assumed and accepted at this point. Definitely not worthy of getting any ball rolling.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:44 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
Really? if you're too stupid to figure out that our players are more physically talented than theirs then I'm not sure what to tell you
He's asking how you came to that conclusion.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:45 pm to southeasttiger113
1-2...the rest are probably pretty close actually getting PT
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:48 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
Again, the fallacy is the belief that the "universe" somehow carries a memory of past results which tend to favor or disfavor future outcomes.
THE ENTIRE PREMISE OF GAMBLER'S FALLACY IS BASED IN A WORLD WHERE THERE THE GAME IS A GAME OF CHANCE, BOTH SIDES HAVE AN EQUAL CHANCE OF WINNING. FOOTBALL IS NOT A GAME OF CHANCE.
MY GOSHHHHHHH
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:49 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
Really? if you're too stupid to figure out that our players are more physically talented than theirs then I'm not sure what to tell you
How did you come to that conclusion?
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:50 pm to texag7
Nice, we've been arguing with the Kurt Kobain of SECr all day.
One good thing that's come of this - it's united like 5 different fanbases on the rant, which is usually next to impossible.
One good thing that's come of this - it's united like 5 different fanbases on the rant, which is usually next to impossible.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:50 pm to RazorBroncs
quote:Do you disagree? I mean human beings being bigger, faster, stronger, more coordinated, etc. isn't really something that's subjective like predicting the outcome of a football game. Why don't you ask the people at 247 who do it for a living and rated our players much higher than yours on average?
He's asking how you came to that conclusion.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:51 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
No, the point of our excitement is that our most physically talented players are returning.
Oh, you mean the players that have performed well in the past thereby giving you reason to believe they will perform well in the future, maybe even better than in the past?
Interesting.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:Predicting the outcome of a football game over a year in advance is though. Which is why betting on football games is called "gambling" and not "free money"
FOOTBALL IS NOT A GAME OF CHANCE.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:52 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
Why don't you ask the people at 247 who do it for a living and rated our players much higher than yours on average?
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:53 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:No, I mean the players who experience that success because they're bigger, faster, stronger, and more athletic than the competition. I mean are you really that stupid? Physical talent isn't intangible moron, it's a real thing that currently exists in the real world unlike past performances
Oh, you mean the players that have performed well in the past thereby giving you reason to believe they will perform well in the future, maybe even better than in the past?
This post was edited on 1/19/16 at 2:54 pm
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:53 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
Why don't you ask the people at 247 who do it for a living and rated our players much higher than yours on average?
The players from LSU's team were ranked higher than 46 of their last 50 opponents. They have 14 losses over that time period. LSU was "physically better" than all but 4 of their last 50 opponents and they lost 14 times. That means they lost 10 times in the last 4 years when they were physically the better team, or roughly 2-3 times a year.
That would tell me that the odds say that LSU will lose 1-2 games this year where they are the more physically talented team.
This post was edited on 1/19/16 at 2:57 pm
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:53 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
Do you disagree? I mean human beings being bigger, faster, stronger, more coordinated, etc. isn't really something that's subjective like predicting the outcome of a football game. Why don't you ask the people at 247 who do it for a living and rated our players much higher than yours on average?
But none of that matters, right? Just like past performance, coaching, location, game prep, anything; it's all just a game of chance, gambler's fallacy, etc.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:55 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
Physical talent isn't intangible moron, it's a real thing that exists in the real world unlike past performances
But how do you judge who has great physical talent? Is there some machine they go stand in that spits out the results or do we watch them do things on a football field to see how their physical attributes transition to the game they are playing? And in that light, how do we know how their physical talent stacks up against other players physical talent until we watch them compete against eachother?
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:55 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:Which means that we also have 32 wins. Which means that using 247 as a barometer of physical talent to predict who's going to win a game is, in fact, reliable. What was your point there?
The players from LSU's team were ranked higher than 46 of their last 50 opponents. They have 14 losses over that time period.
Posted on 1/19/16 at 2:56 pm to southeasttiger113
quote:
it's a real thing that exists in the real world unlike past performances
Lolwut
Is the only response I can even think to muster to that completely, utterly insane sentence you strung together there. So "talent" is a real, tangible thing that exists, but past performances do not. Does this even make sense in your own head?
This post was edited on 1/19/16 at 3:00 pm
Popular
Back to top


3






