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re: 11/23 Opening Lines

Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:50 pm to
Posted by Quicksilver
Poker Room
Member since Jan 2013
11685 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:50 pm to
quote:

the computers loooove Ole Miss but the line seems high to me, too. I think a Lagway-led offense can score enough points to at least keep up.


I think the key to a gator cover/victory is to stop the Ole Miss offense. Same thing UK and LSU did.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105102 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:50 pm to
SOG+ has

Ole Miss 35 (cover -10)
Florida 22


Georgia 51 (cover -42)
Umass 7


Tennessee 42
UTEP 6 (cover +41)


Texas 29 (cover -20.5)
Kentucky 8


Arkansas 34
La Tech 15 (cover +22)


Missouri 36 (cover -7.5)
Miss St 26


Alabama 28
Oklahoma 17 (cover +14)


LSU 34 (cover -8)
Vanderbilt 23


Texas A&M 25 (cover -2.5)
Auburn 21
This post was edited on 11/18/24 at 5:53 pm
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84678 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:52 pm to
Projected score is OM 41-22

Trends

Mississippi are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Mississippi's last 9 games.
Mississippi are 11-2 SU in their last 13 games.
Mississippi are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games against Florida.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 5 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Mississippi's last 7 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.

Florida are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Florida's last 18 games.
Florida are 5-10 SU in their last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 6 games against Mississippi.
Florida are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Florida's last 14 games against an opponent in the Southeastern conference.
Posted by Quicksilver
Poker Room
Member since Jan 2013
11685 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:54 pm to
SOG+ does not like A&M I see
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84678 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:54 pm to
quote:

I think the key to a gator cover/victory is to stop the Ole Miss offense. Same thing UK and LSU did.


Correct. Iirc, those were your games with the least amt of yards. Did you guys have injuries or key players out against UK or LSU? Or was it just bad games for Dart?
Posted by Quicksilver
Poker Room
Member since Jan 2013
11685 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:55 pm to
quote:

Did you guys have injuries or key players out against UK or LSU? Or was it just bad games for Dart?



It took about half the year for our offensive line to find a healthy rotation. Tre Harris was tearing LSU up but got hurt at the half and hasn't played since.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105102 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:56 pm to
quote:

SOG+ does not like A&M I see


Thinks they are a very solid team, but not great at anything

#18 overall
#24 offense
#20 defense
#19 special teams
Posted by Carter
Member since Nov 2003
2870 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:57 pm to
LSU -8

Pavia is going run for 150
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105102 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:57 pm to
Of the possible playoff teams from the SEC

#2 Ole Miss (3 off, 5 def)
#3 Texas (9, 1)
#5 Alabama (6, 10)
#6 Georgia (10, 4)
#10 Tennessee (32, 6)
#12 South Carolina (30, 9)
#18 Texas A&M (24, 20)
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105102 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 5:58 pm to
quote:

Pavia is going run for 150


Depends how they come out of the bye week health wise. He looked absolutely beat to hell the Auburn and Carolina games. Had no juice at all.
Posted by Carter
Member since Nov 2003
2870 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Depends how they come out of the bye week health wise.


With the way LSU has been going they'll make him a Heisman contender.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84678 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

Thinks they are a very solid team, but not great at anything


They were +3.5 against Mizzou and lost by 4. I remember when I saw that one it was weird too.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105102 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:00 pm to
quote:

They were +3.5 against Mizzou and lost by 4. I remember when I saw that one it was weird too.


Who? A&M hammered Mizzou.

Vandy maybe?
This post was edited on 11/18/24 at 6:01 pm
Posted by Trumansfangs
Town & Country
Member since Sep 2018
7654 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:01 pm to
quote:

So is your mom, but at least she is affordable.



Now now... I'm as much into vocal milfs as the next guy, but I don't think we cover. I don't think we win. Jmo.
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84678 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:02 pm to
Auburn/Mizzou
Posted by BrerTiger
Valley of the Long Grey Cloud
Member since Sep 2011
21627 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

A&M -2.5 @AUBURN
LSU -8 VANDY


Both of these are quite surprising.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105102 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:03 pm to
quote:

Auburn/Mizzou


Ah got ya. Yea, Auburn keeps getting favorable lines (and playing close games) because their overall stats (yards per play) are Top 25 worthy. But then they turn it over a ton and can't score in the red zone, so they find ways to lose all these close games.

Posted by Golfer1
Naples, FL
Member since Jan 2021
4928 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:11 pm to
Mizzou should be the lock of the week. Even Arkansas beat State bad. State is awful right now
Posted by momentoftruth87
Your mom
Member since Oct 2013
84678 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:22 pm to
quote:

Mizzou should be the lock of the week. Even Arkansas beat State bad. State is awful right now


Mizzou is projected 29-19 against MSU.

Arkansas is projected losing to LA TECH 31-27.

Posted by DownSouthJukin
1x tRant Poster of the Millennium
Member since Jan 2014
29939 posts
Posted on 11/18/24 at 6:25 pm to
quote:

Bet the trailer upgrade to a McMansion


Hugh always wins one he’s not supposed to. He’s due.
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