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SportSource Analytics: Simulating the SEC football games for Week 1
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:25 pm
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:25 pm
quote:
SportSource Analytics
[Official analytics platform of the CFB Playoff]
@SportSourceA
Simulating this weekend's seven SEC Football games. Results in the thread below.
NOTE: Format is pretty simple. We are simulating 10 games and posting the results. We are also posting a box score of the game most similar to the average score of the 10 simulated games (link above).
#Florida vs. #OleMiss
Florida wins 8 out of 10. Average score 40-24.
Final: 51-35
#Kentucky vs. #Auburn
Auburn wins 7 out of 10. Average score 23-14. Low scoring battle.
Final: 29-13
#MississippiState vs. #LSU
#GoTigers win 8 out of 10. Lots of throwing by MSU. Average score 36-16.
Final: 34-44 incorrect pick
#Georgia vs. #Arkansas
#Bulldogs win 10 out of 10 games. Average score 38-6.
Final: 37-10
#Alabama vs. #Mizzou
#Bama takes 9 out of 10. Average score 39-18.
Final: 38-19
#TexasAM vs. #Vanderbilt
#Aggies win 10 out of 10. Average score 33-5. Not a single close game.
Final: 17-12
#Tennessee vs. #SouthCarolina
#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.
Final: 31-27
This post was edited on 9/27/20 at 9:44 am
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:26 pm to paperwasp
quote:
Bama takes 9 out of 10. Average score 39-18
Everything is pretty normal except this. How did this happen?
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:27 pm to paperwasp
quote:
#Bulldogs win 10 out of 10 games.
So you’re saying there’s a chance...for me to say
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:29 pm to GeauxTigerNation
quote:
How did this happen?
Interesting that half of their simulations had Mizzou scoring 20+ points and keeping it relatively close.
This post was edited on 9/25/20 at 2:39 pm
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:30 pm to paperwasp
Mizzou fans would burn this board down if they not only won but won like that.
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:32 pm to GeauxTigerNation
quote:
Everything is pretty normal except this. How did this happen?
This is how
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:33 pm to paperwasp
Looking at those scores, it almost gives the impression that Alabama's virtual team was getting bored playing Mizzou so much.
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:33 pm to WilliamTaylor21
quote:
Oo0oOf!
#36-29
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:34 pm to paperwasp
quote:Clearly these cocksuckers don’t realize that tFlagship’s mast is up and about to sell on Kirbys arse
Bulldogs win 10 out of 10 games
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:35 pm to paperwasp
quote:yikes
#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:39 pm to Gamecock Steve
quote:
quote:
#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.
yikes
Kinda hard to simulate an offense where only 1 skill position has actually played for Carolina
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:41 pm to paperwasp
quote:
#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.
You goddamned right we winning
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:48 pm to GeauxTigerNation
quote:
Bama takes 9 out of 10. Everything is pretty normal except this. How did this happen?
Our FG kicker was in mid-season form.
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:54 pm to paperwasp
quote:
Average score 33-5. Not a single close game.
That doesn't cover the spread.
Posted on 9/25/20 at 2:55 pm to paperwasp
quote:
Tennessee vs. #SouthCarolina
#Vols win 8 out of 10. Average score 29-21.
V, B
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:09 pm to paperwasp
36-29 seems about right. Late Bama score to make it seem closer than it actually was
Posted on 9/25/20 at 4:45 pm to paperwasp
I would say USC/TN is more 50/50...
Posted on 9/27/20 at 9:50 am to paperwasp
Updated with actual scores.
Missing only MSU/LSU, the system went 6-1 SU.
Aside from A&M, I think the predicted scores were quite good for Week 1, with ALA/MIZ being almost exact.
Missing only MSU/LSU, the system went 6-1 SU.
Aside from A&M, I think the predicted scores were quite good for Week 1, with ALA/MIZ being almost exact.
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