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Projecting the rest of the SEC BBall Season
Posted on 1/20/20 at 4:55 pm
Posted on 1/20/20 at 4:55 pm
According to ESPN BPI, here is how many SEC wins each team is projected to finish with:
LSU- 13.5
Florida- 13.4
Kentucky- 12.5
Auburn- 12.0
Arkansas- 10.6
Miss St.- 10.3
Alabama- 10.2
Tennessee- 9.6
Missouri- 8.1
S. Carolina- 7.8
Georgia- 6.3
Ole Miss- 4.4
Texas A&M- 4.2
Vanderbilt- 3.1
I think that might be a bit bullish for Vandy to get to 3 wins. If the above were to play out, we get 5 teams into the Big Dance.
I would project Florida a 5-seed
Kentucky and Auburn would likely be 6-seeds
LSU probably a 7 seed
Arkansas a 9 or 10-seed
Alabama would be one of the first 4 out, however 1 or 2 wins in the SEC Tournament might put them in.
LSU- 13.5
Florida- 13.4
Kentucky- 12.5
Auburn- 12.0
Arkansas- 10.6
Miss St.- 10.3
Alabama- 10.2
Tennessee- 9.6
Missouri- 8.1
S. Carolina- 7.8
Georgia- 6.3
Ole Miss- 4.4
Texas A&M- 4.2
Vanderbilt- 3.1
I think that might be a bit bullish for Vandy to get to 3 wins. If the above were to play out, we get 5 teams into the Big Dance.
I would project Florida a 5-seed
Kentucky and Auburn would likely be 6-seeds
LSU probably a 7 seed
Arkansas a 9 or 10-seed
Alabama would be one of the first 4 out, however 1 or 2 wins in the SEC Tournament might put them in.
5
Posted on 1/20/20 at 4:57 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
LSU probably a 7 seed
So the projection has LSU winning the SEC, and based on that you would have LSU as a 7 seed?
Posted on 1/20/20 at 5:16 pm to BHMKyle
quote:
LSU probably a 7 seed
In the penal league tourney.
Posted on 1/20/20 at 5:17 pm to ForeverLSU5
quote:
So the projection has LSU winning the SEC, and based on that you would have LSU as a 7 seed?
Yeah. In a year like this, it's entirely possible.
LSU is 5-0 in SEC play, and 13-4 overall.... yet LSU is also just 1-0 against teams currently projected in the Field as an at-large according to Joe Lunardi.... and that's the win over Arkansas.
Liberty is projected in by virtue of winning their conference. That's another win, albeit if Liberty drops one or two games between now and then and don't win their Conference tournament, they won't be making the Dance.
You've got a win over USC... currently projected as a "First Four Out". You've got a loss to VCU.... also currently projected in the "First Four Out"
And you have a loss to Utah State which is looking worse and worse by the day.
The SEC just doesn't offer enough opportunity to rack up big wins. If LSU loses 4 or 5 SEC games between now and the end of the year, what part of LSU's resume would warrant anything better than a 6 or a 7 seed?
This post was edited on 1/20/20 at 5:18 pm
Posted on 1/20/20 at 5:21 pm to BHMKyle
Tennessee will not get there but if it plays out like you listed in the OP they would have a 49% chance of making the field with 18 wins according to TeamRankings probability.
Posted on 1/20/20 at 5:45 pm to BHMKyle
As long as we don't get the dreaded 7-8 seed death sentence in a game a brisk ten minute walk from the 1 seed's home campus.
Posted on 1/20/20 at 5:49 pm to Arksulli
None of the 1 seeds can really play this year either. 10 teams had a more efficient offense last season than the most efficient offense (Gonzaga) this season.
There will be a couple 8/9 seeds that beat 1s this year.
There will be a couple 8/9 seeds that beat 1s this year.
Posted on 1/20/20 at 5:53 pm to Arksulli
I'll take 10-12 seeds than the dreaded 8 or 9 any day.
Posted on 1/20/20 at 6:06 pm to dchog
We need to pull some upsets saturday
Posted on 1/20/20 at 6:18 pm to BHMKyle
South Carolina will beat all top 50 teams and lose to all teams ranked 150th or higher.
Posted on 1/20/20 at 6:22 pm to volfan30
Dayton is winning it all this season
Posted on 1/20/20 at 6:30 pm to ForeverLSU5
quote:The SEC isn't good this year. Yes, an SEC winner might get a mediocre seed depending on their record and resume.
So the projection has LSU winning the SEC, and based on that you would have LSU as a 7 seed?
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