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re: Stat Model - #1 Bama vs #3 OSU (Title) (7 PM CST) (Jan 11)
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:12 am to SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:12 am to SummerOfGeorge
#1 ALABAMA (-8.0) vs #3 OHIO STATE (O/U 75.5)
VEGAS PREDICTION
Alabama - 42
Ohio State - 34
MODEL PREDICTION (CORRECTED)
ALABAMA - 45
OHIO STATE - 38
Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 485 yds (7.22 YPP on 68 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 339 yds (9.98 YPA on 34 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 146 yds (4.30 YPA on 34 plays)
Ohio State Total Yards (YPP): 480 yds (6.67 YPP on 72 plays)
Ohio State Pass Yards (YPA): 271 yds (9.35 YPA on 29 plays)
Ohio State Rush Yards (YPA): 209 yds (4.86 YPA on 43 plays)
VEGAS PREDICTION
Alabama - 42
Ohio State - 34
MODEL PREDICTION (CORRECTED)
ALABAMA - 45
OHIO STATE - 38
Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 485 yds (7.22 YPP on 68 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 339 yds (9.98 YPA on 34 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 146 yds (4.30 YPA on 34 plays)
Ohio State Total Yards (YPP): 480 yds (6.67 YPP on 72 plays)
Ohio State Pass Yards (YPA): 271 yds (9.35 YPA on 29 plays)
Ohio State Rush Yards (YPA): 209 yds (4.86 YPA on 43 plays)
This post was edited on 1/4/21 at 8:56 am
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:18 am to SummerOfGeorge
Will the fact OSU hasn't played that many games effect the prediction because the data is possibly "incomplete"?
Posted on 1/3/21 at 12:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
This post was edited on 1/4/21 at 9:18 am
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:46 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
MODEL PREDICTION
ALABAMA - 41
OHIO STATE - 38
Well suck me sideways.
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:51 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 441 yds (6.48 YPP on 68 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 300 yds (8.57 YPA on 35 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 141 yds (4.27 YPA on 33 plays)
I'd be extremely disappointed if we only gained 441 yards on their defense.
quote:
Ohio State Total Yards (YPP): 471 yds (6.53 YPP on 72 plays)
Ohio State Pass Yards (YPA): 262 yds (8.73 YPA on 30 plays)
Ohio State Rush Yards (YPA): 208 yds (4.96 YPA on 42 plays)
I like to think our offense would make it impossible for them to run 42 times. Score early, score often and get off the field on 3rd down.
This post was edited on 1/3/21 at 11:52 pm
Posted on 1/3/21 at 11:56 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
MODEL PREDICTION
ALABAMA - 41
OHIO STATE - 38
I can definitely see this. Like I said, this appears to be a really even matchup. We’ll need to put on our big boy pants and have the bourbon ready for this one.
Posted on 1/4/21 at 8:20 am to SummerOfGeorge
Justin Fields play outside of the NW game seems to be pretty consistent...
He does not rush as much as I thought he did, and did not seem that explosive in the Clemson game. Obviously though he suffered the injury early and that is what I saw.
He does not rush as much as I thought he did, and did not seem that explosive in the Clemson game. Obviously though he suffered the injury early and that is what I saw.
Posted on 1/4/21 at 11:56 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
MODEL PREDICTION (CORRECTED)
ALABAMA - 45
OHIO STATE - 38
Alabama Total Yards (YPP): 485 yds (7.22 YPP on 68 plays)
Alabama Pass Yards (YPA): 339 yds (9.98 YPA on 34 plays)
Alabama Rush Yards (YPA): 146 yds (4.30 YPA on 34 plays)
Ohio State Total Yards (YPP): 480 yds (6.67 YPP on 72 plays)
Ohio State Pass Yards (YPA): 271 yds (9.35 YPA on 29 plays)
Ohio State Rush Yards (YPA): 209 yds (4.86 YPA on 43 plays)
That's more like it.
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