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Week 1 College Football Lines aka The Offseason is Over No More Shatty Offseason Threads
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:19 am
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:19 am
Alright, it's football season, no more rankings of fanbases or stadiums or who has the best bathrooms. The time for that shite is OVAH.
Week 1 Lines - SEC Games
Alabama (-35) vs Duke (Atlanta)
Texas A&M (-33.5) vs Texas State (Thursday)
LSU (-28) vs Georgia Southern
Tennessee (-26) vs Georgia St
Georgia (-21) @ Vanderbilt
Mississippi St (-20.5) vs ULL
Missouri (-17.5) @ Wyoming
Kentucky (-11.5) vs Toledo
South Carolina (-8) vs North Carolina (Charlotte)
Auburn (-3.5) vs Oregon (Dallas)
Ole Miss (+5.5) @ Memphis
Other Games of Interest
Clemson (-36) vs Georgia Tech (Thursday)
Utah (-5) @ BYU (Thursday)
Colorado (-13) vs Colorado State (Denver) (Friday)
Oklahoma State (-15) @ Oregon State (Friday)
Stanford (-6.5) vs Northwestern
Florida St (-5.5) vs Boise St (Jacksonville)
Oklahoma (-24.5) vs Houston (Sunday)
Notre Dame (-20.5) @ Louisville (Monday)
Week 1 Lines - SEC Games
Alabama (-35) vs Duke (Atlanta)
Texas A&M (-33.5) vs Texas State (Thursday)
LSU (-28) vs Georgia Southern
Tennessee (-26) vs Georgia St
Georgia (-21) @ Vanderbilt
Mississippi St (-20.5) vs ULL
Missouri (-17.5) @ Wyoming
Kentucky (-11.5) vs Toledo
South Carolina (-8) vs North Carolina (Charlotte)
Auburn (-3.5) vs Oregon (Dallas)
Ole Miss (+5.5) @ Memphis
Other Games of Interest
Clemson (-36) vs Georgia Tech (Thursday)
Utah (-5) @ BYU (Thursday)
Colorado (-13) vs Colorado State (Denver) (Friday)
Oklahoma State (-15) @ Oregon State (Friday)
Stanford (-6.5) vs Northwestern
Florida St (-5.5) vs Boise St (Jacksonville)
Oklahoma (-24.5) vs Houston (Sunday)
Notre Dame (-20.5) @ Louisville (Monday)
This post was edited on 8/26/19 at 9:22 am
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Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:23 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
The Offseason is Over No More Shatty Offseason Threads
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:24 am to SummerOfGeorge
I hope we cover that 28. But im not sure.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:25 am to GeauxTigerNation
quote:
I hope we cover that 28. But im not sure.
But you are a Texas fan, I'm so confused!
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:27 am to SummerOfGeorge
Me too !!! 
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:31 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
South Carolina (-8) vs North Carolina (Charlotte)
Nothing against South Carolina, but how bad is North Carolina? I wouldn't expect the number to be that high.
ETA: I just looked up their results from last year. They went 2-9. Never mind, I understand that 8-point line now.
This post was edited on 8/26/19 at 9:33 am
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:34 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
SummerOfGeorge
My disguise was thwarted.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:35 am to TeddyWestside
quote:
Nothing against South Carolina, but how bad is North Carolina? I wouldn't expect the number to be that high.
ETA: I just looked up their results from last year. They went 2-9. Never mind, I understand that 8-point line now.
Starting a true freshman QB as well - without much proven around him.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:38 am to SummerOfGeorge
I think cfb is going to have to move to a P5 division and a Group of 5 division with better scheduling. There are just too many uninteresting games in cfb. I know it will hurt lower divisions, but P5 needs to only play other P5 schools.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 9:42 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Alabama (-35) vs Duke (Atlanta)
South Carolina (-8) vs North Carolina (Charlotte)
Clemson (-36) vs Georgia Tech (Thursday)
Notre Dame (-20.5) @ Louisville (Monday)
Show me another P5 conference with three 20+ spreads against them .... two of them 35 or more.
Is the ACC favored un any games vs P5 opponents other than against themselves?
We know Duke, UNC, Ga Tech and Louisville, as well as Miami, are underdogs .... three of them bug underdogs.
I dunno. The ACC .... oh wait, I see FSU is less than a TD fav vs BSU. The ACC is pretty weak this season, once again.
A couple of years ago I would have thought they were making a move, but they're not. They're still a one trick pony even if we count Notre Dame .... and that is a joke in and of itself.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:07 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Ole Miss (+5.5) @ Memphis
jfc
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:21 am to PearlJam
quote:
I know it will hurt lower divisions, but P5 needs to only play other P5 schools.
Couldn't agree more and if youre a G5 school that cant afford to have football without P5 support maybe you shouldnt have football
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:29 am to SummerOfGeorge
Week 1 Lines - SEC Games
Alabama (-35) vs Duke (Atlanta) UNDER
Texas A&M (-33.5) vs Texas State UNDER
LSU (-28) vs Georgia Southern OVER
Tennessee (-26) vs Georgia St UNDER
Georgia (-21) @ Vanderbilt UNDER
Mississippi St (-20.5) vs ULL OVER
Missouri (-17.5) @ Wyoming OVER
Kentucky (-11.5) vs Toledo OVER
South Carolina (-8) vs North Carolina OVER
Auburn (-3.5) vs Oregon (Dallas) OVER
Ole Miss (+5.5) @ Memphis UNDER
Other Games of Interest
Clemson (-36) vs Georgia Tech UNDER
Utah (-5) @ BYU (Thursday) OVER
Colorado (-13) vs Colorado State (Denver) UNDER
Oklahoma State (-15) @ Oregon State OVER
Stanford (-6.5) vs Northwestern OVER
Florida St (-5.5) vs Boise St UNDER
Oklahoma (-24.5) vs Houston UNDER
Notre Dame (-20.5) @ Louisville OVER
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:32 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Ole Miss (+5.5) @ Memphis
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:33 am to TeddyWestside
quote:
ETA: I just looked up their results from last year. They went 2-9. Never mind, I understand that 8-point line now.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 10:44 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
Mississippi St (-20.5) vs ULL
Posted on 8/26/19 at 11:03 am to SummerOfGeorge
My thoughts on the A&M line:
PROJECTION: Texas State 17 – (12) Texas A&M 36
Vegas sees this as Aggies -33.5 and a total of 57.5. The under seems like the play here, and I’d lean toward A&M minus 33.5 but can’t stomach that large of a number. The only thing I am confident in pointing out is that Texas State’s offense was revoltingly bad, as in ranking in the 100’s in each of the 8 offensive categories I measure. Texas A&M’s defense is also strangely bipolar in that they ranked 4th and 6th in opponent adjusted rush yards per game and per play, but ranked 90th and 91st in those metrics versus the pass. I could see this ending up in the range of 45 – 7 with a 3/5 confidence in the under.
Thoughts on other lines for Thursday games:
LINK
PROJECTION: Texas State 17 – (12) Texas A&M 36
Vegas sees this as Aggies -33.5 and a total of 57.5. The under seems like the play here, and I’d lean toward A&M minus 33.5 but can’t stomach that large of a number. The only thing I am confident in pointing out is that Texas State’s offense was revoltingly bad, as in ranking in the 100’s in each of the 8 offensive categories I measure. Texas A&M’s defense is also strangely bipolar in that they ranked 4th and 6th in opponent adjusted rush yards per game and per play, but ranked 90th and 91st in those metrics versus the pass. I could see this ending up in the range of 45 – 7 with a 3/5 confidence in the under.
Thoughts on other lines for Thursday games:
LINK
Posted on 8/26/19 at 11:10 am to scrooster
quote:
Is the ACC favored un any games vs P5 opponents other than against themselves?
Coming from the school that is 23.5 point dogs to an ACC team this year.
Stop riding coattails.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 11:21 am to TeddyWestside
quote:
Nothing against South Carolina, but how bad is North Carolina? I wouldn't expect the number to be that high.
ETA: I just looked up their results from last year. They went 2-9. Never mind, I understand that 8-point line now.
That line has grown, as I predicted, from -6.5 to -8 and it will go another half point to a full point by kickoff. -9 is where it should have been from the get-go.
SC will cover by double digits.
Now you'll have assclown sheep humping sister bangers claiming a big spread over SC three months in advance (see just above this post) which only proves their ignorance and hubris. They don't understand the betting game because they've lost touch with reality playing a weak ACC schedule during their little run.
Eventually they'll be slapped back into reality. The ACC is a one trick pony. It's the biggest joke of a football conference among all P5 conferences.
Conference power ratings have proven that during the course of the past twenty years. The ACC is a one trick pony.
Posted on 8/26/19 at 11:24 am to SummerOfGeorge
quote:Mark Stoops coached team against a small conference opponent. Never take the over. If we don't come out flat enough Kentucky will take a knee on every series to protect the over. Might even be unwise to pick KY to cover.
Kentucky (-11.5) vs Toledo
This post was edited on 8/26/19 at 11:25 am
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