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S&P+ Unit Matchups : #1 Alabama vs #4 Georgia, SEC Championship Game

Posted on 11/27/18 at 1:11 pm
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 1:11 pm
Below is a comparison of Alabama and Georgia rankings per S&P+ for specific matchup areas. You can see all the stats at the links below.

S&P+ Team Profiles (click on individual team for profile)

This post was edited on 11/27/18 at 1:16 pm
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
21831 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 1:37 pm to
I accidentally clicked on Georgia Southern and thought their rankings were UGA's. That was a letdown...
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 1:37 pm to
LOLOLOL
Posted by FairhopeTider
Fairhope, Alabama
Member since May 2012
21831 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 1:40 pm to
43% win probability for UGA and we're only expected to win by 3? That doesn't make me feel all that great. But then again, I'm pretty spoiled at the moment.
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 2:11 pm to
Yards per play: (2018 season)

1. Oklahoma 8.8ypp
2. Alabama 7.7ypp
3. Clemson 7.3ypp
4. Georgia 7.2ypp

Yards per play: (last 3 games)

Oklahoma 9.1ypp
Alabama 6.4ypp
Clemson 6.8ypp
Georgia 8.7ypp

https://www.teamrankings.com/college-football/stat/yards-per-play

Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 2:22 pm to
Net YPP (O-D)

Last 3 Games
Georgia : +3.7 (8.7-5.0)
Alabama +3.1 (6.4-3.3)

2018 Season
Georgia : +2.4 (7.2-4.8)
Alabama +3.5 (7.7-4.2)
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 2:36 pm to
Thanks. I couldn't remember what that metric was called and had trouble finding it. Went with traditional ypp as it paints the same picture.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 2:37 pm to
Yea, I just netted them together.

Like you said, says the same thing. UGA has played well the last month.
Posted by RolltidePA
North Carolina
Member since Dec 2010
4277 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 4:07 pm to
Georgia looks strong over the last month, although their schedule has been relatively soft, while Bama's schedule difficulty ramped up.

Georgia last four games
vs. Kentucky - 34-17
vs. Auburn - 27-10
vs. Umass - 66-27
vs. GT - 45-21

A little easier path than Bama has had of late. That said, they'll be a really tough matchup.
Posted by Gustave
Member since Nov 2015
3392 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 9:37 pm to


#4 needs to lock it down and have a big game.


Missing Diggs , some of these are a little dated.



This post was edited on 11/27/18 at 9:49 pm
Posted by westide
Bamala
Member since Sep 2014
2882 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:29 pm to
Ga was owned by LSU. That is all I need to know.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
104987 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:31 pm to
quote:

Ga was owned by LSU. That is all I need to know.


2012 Georgia was owned by South Carolina. 2017 Auburn was owned by Clemson.

Some fundamental issues from their LSU loss still exist, but they played 11 other games besides that one.
Posted by prevatt33
Member since Dec 2011
2837 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:35 pm to
quote:

Ga was owned by LSU. That is all I need to know.


That was a long time ago, friend. And I've played enough sports to know that every now and then, the better team gets smoked by a lesser team. It's all in how you play that day.

I guarantee you that the GA team that showed up in death valley will not show up in hotlanta.
Posted by narddogg81
Vancouver
Member since Jan 2012
21259 posts
Posted on 11/27/18 at 10:44 pm to
I have no concern about this game. Bama is going to keep the 20 point streak alive.
Posted by Ol'DirtyCam
Madtown
Member since Jul 2013
1167 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 9:18 am to
If we lose it’s my fault. I am going to the game. I have never been to an SEC championship game.
Posted by RolltidePA
North Carolina
Member since Dec 2010
4277 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 9:36 am to
quote:

Ga was owned by LSU. That is all I need to know.


LSU made plays in that game that they haven't made in any other game of the year. And Georgia made mistakes that they haven't made in any other of the year.

Georgia had a clunker, can't judge them by that game. This will be a very tough game, UGA will be by far the most physical team Bama will play this year.
Posted by Commander Data
Baton Rouge, La
Member since Dec 2016
7291 posts
Posted on 11/28/18 at 10:44 am to
I expect both teams to bring their A game. If that happens, Bama wins comfortably.
Posted by Gustave
Member since Nov 2015
3392 posts
Posted on 11/29/18 at 9:50 pm to





I would expect us to get around LSU and Tenn pressure rate right? 40 looks to be our floor across the board so we will probably be harrassing Fromm. They are going to have problems.


Any tweet had UGA averaging 43% last year , Thia year they have yet to hit that in a single game.
This post was edited on 11/29/18 at 9:55 pm
Posted by paul02085
Shelby, Al (Lay Lake)
Member since Sep 2006
1326 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 5:59 am to
I think Fromm threw left handed against L8U.
Posted by mistaken4193
Member since Jan 2017
28233 posts
Posted on 11/30/18 at 6:59 am to
The Saivion #'s are a little skewed IMO as 2 of those plays were the bomb at Ole Miss and the Stidham desperation heave with the uncalled OPI against Auburn.
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