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I think some of you have bought the LSU hype a little bit
Posted on 10/31/18 at 7:50 pm
Posted on 10/31/18 at 7:50 pm
I don’t think they hold us under 40. I think our balance is deadly. And I see 50 as a possibility.
I don’t think their fans fully grasp how good Tua is and how devastating his effect can be. And I don’t think some of you fully get it yet either.
I do think they can score some. Perhaps 17. Best case 24.
I think 48-17 is a realistic score. Very worst case 38-24. Best case 56-13 or so. Could even get worse if they totally get demoralized and quit, which is a possibility given how emotional they are likely to start the game.
I just think we are too balanced and do everything well. I think even the best defensive teams collapse under that sort of pressure. You just can’t defend against every contengency... run, pass, short, long ... with every reciever in play.,. with every pass precision.
It’s just going to be a whole lot different this year. And the people expecting the typical LSU Bama slugfest just don’t get it.
I don’t think their fans fully grasp how good Tua is and how devastating his effect can be. And I don’t think some of you fully get it yet either.
I do think they can score some. Perhaps 17. Best case 24.
I think 48-17 is a realistic score. Very worst case 38-24. Best case 56-13 or so. Could even get worse if they totally get demoralized and quit, which is a possibility given how emotional they are likely to start the game.
I just think we are too balanced and do everything well. I think even the best defensive teams collapse under that sort of pressure. You just can’t defend against every contengency... run, pass, short, long ... with every reciever in play.,. with every pass precision.
It’s just going to be a whole lot different this year. And the people expecting the typical LSU Bama slugfest just don’t get it.
This post was edited on 10/31/18 at 8:07 pm
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Posted on 10/31/18 at 7:57 pm to RiverCityTider
Agreed. I used to think an elite defense (and I think LSU falls a little short of elite) could shut down any offense. But things have changed. The new offenses that take advantage of old rules have given the offense the upper hand. Deshaun Watson proved it. I think this offense is better than those Clemson offenses.
This post was edited on 10/31/18 at 7:58 pm
Posted on 10/31/18 at 8:33 pm to RiverCityTider
I don't expect anything. I would like us to jump all over them early. I believe that would basically seal the victory
Posted on 11/1/18 at 12:10 am to RiverCityTider
My disagreement is with them scoring points. They rank dead last in the SEC in ypp. Burrow ranks last in %, 13th in QBR and TDs, and 12th in ypa. Their top 2 backs rank 23rd and 31st in ypc.
I’m trying to find a way they score 20 and I just don’t see it.
I’m trying to find a way they score 20 and I just don’t see it.
Posted on 11/1/18 at 5:08 am to RiverCityTider
Any game can be lost, alot of us felt the same way about Ole Miss in 14.
I think the Tide wins this game by 17+.
I think the Tide wins this game by 17+.
This post was edited on 11/1/18 at 5:09 am
Posted on 11/1/18 at 5:36 am to RiverCityTider
My biggest concern is our LB's covering the TE and RB. I think Lsu uses our game plan from the 2011 rematch and tries to control the clock with short, quick passes. If we have a few drives early that end quick with no points, we are in for a dog fight.
Posted on 11/1/18 at 8:27 am to RiverCityTider
If for no other reason or purpose than to rub shite in the face of the obnoxious, delusional, and downright loathsome portion of their fanbase - I hope we score as many points as we can and Tua stays in at least through the middle of the 4th.
Posted on 11/1/18 at 8:55 am to RiverCityTider
I agree. I know we've historically had very close games with LSU, but we've also never had an offense like this at Alabama in our lifetimes. I think a lot of Bama fans WANT this to be a close game, not only because that makes it more exciting, but also because they can finally say that Tua has really been tested.
I don't see LSU holding us to less than 40. And I don't see LSU scoring more than 20. The least we've scored this season is 39, and that was in the Mizzou game where we lost Tua, Devonta Smith, and Henry Ruggs to injury early in the second half. LSU has a great defense and an outstanding secondary, and they may be able to slow Tua down a bit, but they are not going to be able to stop him. Our defense isn't as great as it has been in previous years, but it's not as bad as a lot of people think either. They fail to realize that a lot of the points Alabama has given up this season has been against the 2nd and 3rd string defense in garbage time when we were already up 30+. Burrow, for all of LSU's hype, is still pretty mediocre. 6 TD passes and 3 interceptions for the season, and ZERO TD passes in the last three games.
For Alabama to lose or for LSU to keep it close, one or more of the following things is going to need to happen:
- Joe Burrow has the game of his life and outperforms Tua in a shootout (highly unlikely)
- LSU displays a nearly unstoppable running game (highly unlikely)
- Tua throws three or more interceptions leading to LSU touchdowns (that LSU secondary is great, but I don't think this is very likely either)
Obviously, everything I've said here hinges on Tua playing in the game and staying healthy. If he gets hurt, then disregard all of this, lol. I still think we could win without Tua, but without Tua it's a COMPLETELY different team.
Edit: I also want to say that my claim of Tua dropping 40+ on LSU's defense in four quarters is not a slight on them. They have an outstanding defense. But if Tua had stayed in games for 4 quarters this season, we'd probably be scoring 75-100 points against most of the teams we've played this year. Keeping Alabama in the 40s with Tua playing a full game is respectable, as laughable as I'm sure that would sound to them.
I don't see LSU holding us to less than 40. And I don't see LSU scoring more than 20. The least we've scored this season is 39, and that was in the Mizzou game where we lost Tua, Devonta Smith, and Henry Ruggs to injury early in the second half. LSU has a great defense and an outstanding secondary, and they may be able to slow Tua down a bit, but they are not going to be able to stop him. Our defense isn't as great as it has been in previous years, but it's not as bad as a lot of people think either. They fail to realize that a lot of the points Alabama has given up this season has been against the 2nd and 3rd string defense in garbage time when we were already up 30+. Burrow, for all of LSU's hype, is still pretty mediocre. 6 TD passes and 3 interceptions for the season, and ZERO TD passes in the last three games.
For Alabama to lose or for LSU to keep it close, one or more of the following things is going to need to happen:
- Joe Burrow has the game of his life and outperforms Tua in a shootout (highly unlikely)
- LSU displays a nearly unstoppable running game (highly unlikely)
- Tua throws three or more interceptions leading to LSU touchdowns (that LSU secondary is great, but I don't think this is very likely either)
Obviously, everything I've said here hinges on Tua playing in the game and staying healthy. If he gets hurt, then disregard all of this, lol. I still think we could win without Tua, but without Tua it's a COMPLETELY different team.
Edit: I also want to say that my claim of Tua dropping 40+ on LSU's defense in four quarters is not a slight on them. They have an outstanding defense. But if Tua had stayed in games for 4 quarters this season, we'd probably be scoring 75-100 points against most of the teams we've played this year. Keeping Alabama in the 40s with Tua playing a full game is respectable, as laughable as I'm sure that would sound to them.
This post was edited on 11/1/18 at 9:00 am
Posted on 11/1/18 at 12:28 pm to RiverCityTider
We will score over 40 minimum, and win by no less than 24, and it has the potential to be much worse. It all depends on how bad Saban wants to beat them.
Roll Tide.
Roll Tide.
This post was edited on 11/1/18 at 1:23 pm
Posted on 11/1/18 at 2:39 pm to RiverCityTider
La Tech QB J Smith 27-50 330 yds 3 td 1 int Vs LSU.
Posted on 11/1/18 at 3:49 pm to RiverCityTider
This is a 38-20 game. They'll shave 16 points off our average and be proud of it.
The day after the game, we'll hear what we always hear. "We played you tougher than anybody!!"
They take so much pride in being our best loser. They'll actually crow over it.
It's charming, really it is.
The day after the game, we'll hear what we always hear. "We played you tougher than anybody!!"
They take so much pride in being our best loser. They'll actually crow over it.
It's charming, really it is.
Posted on 11/2/18 at 10:24 am to RiverCityTider
I was really hoping this Alabama offense could give LSU the worst beating that they've ever had at Tiger Stadium.
A little research revealed that in 1977, LSU lost to Rice 77-0 in Baton Rouge. Ouch. Not sure if Alabama can beat that.
Man...I really can't wait for this game. If Alabama wins a close one, then I'm 100% positive that LSU fans will be talking about bad officiating and how they would have won if Devin White had played the first half. But if Alabama can beat them by 3 touchdowns or more...oooooh I can't wait to see what these people have to say after that.
A little research revealed that in 1977, LSU lost to Rice 77-0 in Baton Rouge. Ouch. Not sure if Alabama can beat that.
Man...I really can't wait for this game. If Alabama wins a close one, then I'm 100% positive that LSU fans will be talking about bad officiating and how they would have won if Devin White had played the first half. But if Alabama can beat them by 3 touchdowns or more...oooooh I can't wait to see what these people have to say after that.
This post was edited on 11/2/18 at 11:45 am
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