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There are no 5-star recruits in this 2.2 million square mile area (article)
Posted on 1/20/17 at 3:00 pm
Posted on 1/20/17 at 3:00 pm
quote:
It’s hard to get five stars. The odds of being even a three-star college football recruit are microscopic, and the chances of being a five-star are basically a rounding error. The 2016 class had 33 five-stars out of about 300,000 high school seniors playing the sport.
This year’s got 32 five-star prospects, according to the final 247Sports Composite ratings. And just like they were last year, they’re clustered in a few areas.
For the most part, recruits are in a few states. Six are from Florida, five from California, and four from Texas, the three best recruiting states by far. Tennessee has three five-stars this year, and Georgia has two. A wide swath from the Midwest to the Rockies has none at all. New England also doesn’t have any five-stars, as is common.
This year’s Five-Star Desert, with none of the top 32 recruits in the country anywhere in it, is about 2.2 million square miles. It touches about half of the 50 states.
Even if there’s some evaluator bias that repeatedly boosts their numbers of top-rated prospects, a few big states are blowing everyone else away. The fourth most populous state (Illinois) has one five-star this year. The fifth (Pennsylvania) has none.
College football hasn’t had a national champion located deep within this year’s Five-Star Desert since Oklahoma, which is able to regularly recruit Texas, in 2000. Nothing about that is coincidental. (The Longhorns are technically a bit within this year’s Desert, but have easy access to as many five-stars as anybody.)
Even programs with strong traditions like Wisconsin and Nebraska have to reach way beyond their natural geographic footprints to get the best players. The Alabamas, USCs, and Florida States of the sport do not, and that’s a huge built-in advantage for Southeastern and Western teams.
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Posted on 1/20/17 at 3:08 pm to TideSaint
Doesn't surprise me at all.
Posted on 1/20/17 at 3:08 pm to TideSaint
Doesn't surprise me at all.
Posted on 1/20/17 at 3:33 pm to TideSaint
I think its impressive Tennessee has three 5* players and a population of less than 7 million. Florida's population is 20m, California is around 40m, Texas is around 27m and Georgia is around 10m.
Tennessee - one 5* for every 2.2M
Florida - one 5* for every 3.3M
Georgia - one 5* for every 5M
Texas - one 5* for every 6.75M
California - one 5* for every 8m
Tennessee - one 5* for every 2.2M
Florida - one 5* for every 3.3M
Georgia - one 5* for every 5M
Texas - one 5* for every 6.75M
California - one 5* for every 8m
Posted on 1/20/17 at 4:07 pm to TideSaint
The South runs college football. I'm interested to see the percentages of pro bowlers who are from the South.
Posted on 1/20/17 at 4:25 pm to TideSaint
Very cool to see visually. Thanks TS
Posted on 1/20/17 at 4:58 pm to TideSaint
That is very interesting to say the least, but I'm sure this happens pretty often.
Posted on 1/20/17 at 6:18 pm to TideSaint
Had to zoom a little further west to get this one.
Posted on 1/20/17 at 6:21 pm to TideSaint
Just another hurdle we have to overcome
Posted on 1/20/17 at 8:47 pm to TideSaint
The number from Tenn seems impressive, tbh.
Posted on 1/21/17 at 7:58 pm to TideSaint
Very well done on the map.
Has there ever been a 5-Star recruit from a New England state?
I was wondering about the infamous Aaron Hernandez?
Has there ever been a 5-Star recruit from a New England state?
I was wondering about the infamous Aaron Hernandez?
Posted on 1/22/17 at 10:25 pm to TideSaint
There are several "5* recruits" in that area. They just aren't rated correctly.
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