Super Duper SEC Bowl Matchup Breakdown and Predictions

This is using F+ rankings for the overall and special teams and S&P rankings for Offense and Defense rankings. These are efficiency numbers, hence why Auburn and Georgia Tech have such high passing ratings. They don't throw as much as Baylor or Texas A&M but when they do they are more efficient. In addition, these stats are opponenet adjusted. See them all at [link=(www.footballoutsiders.com)]Football Outsiders Advanced Metrics[/link]

INDEPENDENCE BOWL - SOUTH CAROLINA VS MIAMI

Overall
South Carolina - 56
Miami - 24

When South Carolina Has the Ball
South Carolina Run O : 15
Miami Run D : 34

South Carolina Pass O : 21
Miami Pass D : 7

When Miami Has the Ball
Miami Run O : 55
South Carolina Run D : 117

Miami Pass O : 19
South Carolina Pass D : 85

Special Teams
Miami : 87
South Carolina 38

Analysis & Prediction
Miami should not have much problem moving the ball on South Carolina with an above average, balanced offense. South Carolina should move the ball well, but Miami's defense is average-good to go along with an average-good offense. Got to think Miami wins a semi-shootout type game.

Miami 37 - USCe 24



LIBERTY BOWL - TEXAS A&M VS WEST VIRGINIA

Overall
A&M - 53
WVU - 34

When A&M Has the Ball
A&M Run O : 20
WVU Run D : 17

A&M Pass O : 20
WVU Pass D : 14

When West Virginia Has the Ball
WVU Run O : 62
A&M Run D : 110

WVU Pass O : 30
A&M Pass D : 24

Special Teams
WVU : 59
A&M : 32

Analysis & Prediction
The WVU defense has been sneaky good this year. They had poor games against Alabama and Oklahoma early but played well against poorer offenses and well against TCU and Baylor at home (TCU had multiple short fields). The matchup when A&M has the ball is fairly even as is the WVU passing vs A&M pass d matchup. The biggest advantage in this one is WVU's run game with Shell and Co. vs the A&M run D. Turnovers are the wild card.

WVU 35 - A&M 27