re: John Chavis vs Lane Kiffin

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Why LSU will win against Bama
by longtime DandyDon.com reader, Brad Nolan
As I look toward Alabama, I am striving to find an angle; some view from which I can see us winning this game. So, I took a look at the past 4 games played by both LSU and the #3 ranked Alabama Crimson Tide. They have the advantage in nearly every statistical category. Yet, we have both played 4 games and both lost 1 of those games to a top 5 team. Bama to Ole Miss, who we beat. And, LSU to Auburn, who Bama is yet to play.
So, let me give you the bottom line first.......Over the past 4 weeks both LSU and Bama have played 4 conference games. Amongst those 4 teams, both LSU and Bama have played 1 highly ranked opponent. Both LSU and Bama are 3-1 in those contests. Yet the combined record of the teams LSU has played is currently 21-8 Overall, and 11-8 In-Conference. The combined record of the teams Bama has played is 19-13 Overall and 6-12 In-Conference. Bottom Line, LSU has played better competition over that same time period.
Whether we win or lose has more to do with how well we are playing today, than how we were playing 5 or 6 weeks ago.
Over the past two weeks, LSU has faced KY and Ole Miss who possess a 6-3 combined conference record. LSU's Defense has allowed:
530 Total Yards in those two contests
217 Total Yards Rushing
313 Total Yards Passing
Over the past two weeks, Bama has faced Texas A&M and Tenn, who hold a combined conference record of 2-7. Bama's Defense has allowed:
555 Total Yards in those two contests
172 Total Yard Rushing
383 Total Yards Passing
In Head to Head matches, we only have two common opponents, Florida and Ole Miss. We beat FLA and Ole Miss. Bama literally rolled FLA, I certainly do not want to skirt over that result as if it is equal to our narrow defeat of FLA. But, they lost to Ole Miss. If LSU had not had all of the miscues on Offense and had held on to 1 or 2 of their dropped interception chances, the Tigers may have rolled Ole Miss by 20 points as well. And, Ole Miss is a much better team than FLA.

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LINK

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LSU has given up 10 TD's rushing in 9 games
Bama has given up 2 TD's rushing in 8 games

however, in the last 3 games LSU has played UF, Kentucky, and Ole Miss and has given up:

One rushing TD. To UF.

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The only time Alabama has given up any sort of real rushing totals was last weekend to Tennessee when they sprung a running QB that we hadn't really planned for (still played poorly, though).

West Virginia had no running success (and they've proven to be a decent running team).

Florida had 100 yards
Arkansas had less than 100 yards
A&M had 0 yards

In its last 4 games Bama is giving up an average of 113 yds of rushing!

FL 27 for 107yds
AR 39 for 89 yds
UM 36 for 76 yds
UT 43 for 181 yds

LSU will run the ball against Bama and anyone who doesn't think that needs to take their meds! Bama aint as stacked up front as they usually are and their secondary is very suspect!