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re: First confirmed case of Ebola in US
Posted on 9/30/14 at 7:45 pm to CNB
Posted on 9/30/14 at 7:45 pm to CNB
Its sounded like the CDC isnt really too worried about Ebola's ability to spread in the US in its current form. The fear is it mutates and becomes airborne.
The articles I read is that the interest is in keeping the virus to the lowest amount of cases possible worldwide simply to lower the percentage chances that it mutates. Lower amount of cases. lower chance of pandemic inducing mutation.
The articles I read is that the interest is in keeping the virus to the lowest amount of cases possible worldwide simply to lower the percentage chances that it mutates. Lower amount of cases. lower chance of pandemic inducing mutation.
4
Posted on 9/30/14 at 7:46 pm to kilo
It's like we're in a real life iplague game 
Posted on 9/30/14 at 7:49 pm to kilo
quote:
Its sounded like the CDC isnt really too worried about Ebola's ability to spread in the US in its current form. The fear is it mutates and becomes airborne.
The articles I read is that the interest is in keeping the virus to the lowest amount of cases possible worldwide simply to lower the percentage chances that it mutates. Lower amount of cases. lower chance of pandemic inducing mutation.
Yeah, the worry with ebola is more its mortality rate than its transmission vectors. It's relatively easy to contain that kind of disease with the proper sanitation and health care services in place.
Another thing worth considering is whether the mortality rate in a country with state-of-the-art medical care would even be as high as it is in areas with rudimentary healthcare services, such as central and western Africa.
Posted on 9/30/14 at 7:52 pm to kilo
Airborne mutations are rare as hell though. Literally what makes a virus airborne is its outer casing. Assuming a virus can just change like that isn't very likely. It can happen, but it isn't as likely as one would predict.
I will say this though, shite has to be REALLY bad hygienically in Africa for it to be spreading like it is. Something seems off about this strain and we may not know what it is until all of this is over.
Plus there is this study Airborne Ebola that basically proves that close proximity without direct contact can still transmit the infection, that suggests Ebola can be airborne to some degree.
So the logical assumption is either
A) Ebola is airborne to some degree, but not as much as say the flu
or
B) The hygiene of affected countries is so bad that even hundreds of doctors trained in keeping bodily fluids out of their system are still contracting the disease (I think the number is 300 something doctors)
I will say this though, shite has to be REALLY bad hygienically in Africa for it to be spreading like it is. Something seems off about this strain and we may not know what it is until all of this is over.
Plus there is this study Airborne Ebola that basically proves that close proximity without direct contact can still transmit the infection, that suggests Ebola can be airborne to some degree.
So the logical assumption is either
A) Ebola is airborne to some degree, but not as much as say the flu
or
B) The hygiene of affected countries is so bad that even hundreds of doctors trained in keeping bodily fluids out of their system are still contracting the disease (I think the number is 300 something doctors)
Posted on 9/30/14 at 8:03 pm to kilo
quote:
The fear is it mutates and becomes airborne.
The odds of ebola spontaneously acquiring a mutation which allows for airborne transmission AND that strain successfully replicating are exceedingly small. You're better off worrying about what you'll do with your future lottery winnings.
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