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Chips are down: How many SEC teams to the S16?

Posted on 3/16/26 at 8:29 am
Posted by Marcelo Lavanda
Manaus
Member since Oct 2024
193 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 8:29 am
And will any make the F4?

Last year's S16 was unprecedented with how many SEC teams dominated the field in the first 2 rounds.
This post was edited on 3/16/26 at 8:31 am
Posted by tween the hedges
Member since Feb 2012
20614 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 8:57 am to
Florida is a lock and only team with a chance of a F4.

I like Alabama, Arkansas, and Vandy's odds

Tennessee is a maybe
Posted by hawgndodge
Member since Jun 2009
5403 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 9:08 am to
Hogs make a run and win it all! Acuff goes down as the greatest hog ever!
Posted by Marcelo Lavanda
Manaus
Member since Oct 2024
193 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 9:11 am to
quote:

Hogs make a run and win it all! Acuff goes down as the greatest hog ever!



We saw this before with Derrick Rose - I don't think Acuff and the team around him can carry Arkansas all the way
This post was edited on 3/16/26 at 9:12 am
Posted by Frac the world
The Centennial State
Member since Oct 2014
21246 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 9:35 am to
frick the chips
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
35024 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 9:54 am to
quote:

Florida is a lock and only team with a chance of a F4.


I think Arkansas has a puncher's chance. That said, none of the #1 seeds have any glaring flaws.

But yes, Florida has - by far - the best shot at a F4 appearance.

quote:

I like Alabama, Arkansas, and Vandy's odds


Alabama likely plays Texas Tech in Round 2... probably the most dangerous 5 Seed in the tournament (they managed to beat Arizona at Arizona). If we come out against them like we did Ole Miss, we're not winning that game at all.

If we do beat them we run into Michigan. Not going to lie, it'll take a miracle to beat the Wolverines this year. They're REALLY good. So it's hard to imagine making it past the Sweet 16.

I think Vandy being opposite of Nebraska is easier than Alabama being opposite Texas Tech, despite Nebraska being a higher seed. Nebraska's not bad by any stretch though... not an easy out.

That's why I was pissed at how lackadaisical we came out against Ole Miss. The Rebels were there to play, and we just figured we'd show up and win. That loss cost us a 3 seed, and the best shot we would have had to make the Elite 8 IMHO.
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
29561 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 9:59 am to
SEC teams' odds to reach the S16 (just my personal opinion):

--1/2--
Florida
--1/1--
Alabama
Arkansas
Tennessee
Vanderbilt
--3/1--
Kentucky
--10/1--
Georgia
Missouri
Texas A&M
Texas

SEC teams' odds to reach the E8 (just my personal opinion):

--3/2--
Florida
--4/1--
Arkansas
--9/2--
Alabama
Tennessee
Vanderbilt


Anything could happen, these are just best guesses based on what's likely to happen.

For example, it's possible Alabama loses in the first round — depending on the status of JT Toppin, it's more likely they escape Texas Tech in the R32 and get blown the frick out by Michigan in the S16.
Posted by Pimphand
Member since Sep 2021
4766 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 10:10 am to
Have Florida in the FF

Have Arkansas in the E8

Have Vanderbilt rematching Florida in the S16

Erybody else out before then
Posted by paperwasp
2x HRV 2025 Poster of the Year
Member since Sep 2014
29561 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 10:14 am to
quote:

Have Vanderbilt rematching Florida in the S16

In all seriousness, there's a real chance that Vandy may be Florida's toughest matchup in that region.
Posted by dchog
Pea Ridge
Member since Nov 2012
26939 posts
Posted on 3/16/26 at 11:28 am to
They probably make the sweet sixteen but lose to Arizona in a 10 point loss.
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