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During the '25 regular season, Georgia's offense was #1 in the SEC in Points Per Drive.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 2:56 pm
Posted on 1/4/26 at 2:56 pm
The #1 job of an offense is to score as many points as possible every time they have the football, as long as the game is in doubt. IMO, the best single statistic to assess how well an offense does that is Brian Fremeau's OPD (Offensive Points per non-garbage Drive). Fremeau calculates OPD as points scored by the offense (not defense or special teams), during regulation play (overtime doesn't count), per non-garbage possession (his definition at bottom if you're interested).
The numbers below are calculated using data found on Fremeau's BCF Toys website, and adapted (by me) to show average OPD for matches between SEC teams during the 2025 regular season. After reading and learning from some experts on this message board, based on the data below I've reached the conclusion that every team in the SEC must fire their offensive coordinators immediately.
Team OPD
GEO --- 3.54
VAN --- 3.43
OLE --- 3.25
TEN --- 3.10
TAM --- 2.83
ARK --- 2.59
ALA --- 2.54
TEX --- 2.43
MST --- 2.01
MZZ --- 1.92
OKL --- 1.69
KEN --- 1.66
LOU --- 1.66
AUB --- 1.58
SCA --- 1.45
FLO --- 1.43
(from the bcftoys.com website)
Garbage vs Non-Garbage Possessions
Unless otherwise noted, all ratings and supporting data on this site are calculated only after first filtering out garbage possessions defined as follows:
An offensive possession of two plays or fewer that runs out the clock to conclude the first half, or that runs out the clock to conclude the second half with the score tied, and does not result in a turnover, score, or field goal attempt.
A possession in the second half of a game in which eight times the number of the losing team's remaining possessions plus one is less than the losing team's scoring deficit at the start of the possession.
An offensive possession of two plays or fewer by the losing team with a score deficit greater than eight points that runs out the clock to conclude the game.
An offensive possession or non-offensive scoring possession by the winning team leading by eight points or fewer at the start of the possession that runs out the clock to conclude the game.
The numbers below are calculated using data found on Fremeau's BCF Toys website, and adapted (by me) to show average OPD for matches between SEC teams during the 2025 regular season. After reading and learning from some experts on this message board, based on the data below I've reached the conclusion that every team in the SEC must fire their offensive coordinators immediately.
Team OPD
GEO --- 3.54
VAN --- 3.43
OLE --- 3.25
TEN --- 3.10
TAM --- 2.83
ARK --- 2.59
ALA --- 2.54
TEX --- 2.43
MST --- 2.01
MZZ --- 1.92
OKL --- 1.69
KEN --- 1.66
LOU --- 1.66
AUB --- 1.58
SCA --- 1.45
FLO --- 1.43
(from the bcftoys.com website)
Garbage vs Non-Garbage Possessions
Unless otherwise noted, all ratings and supporting data on this site are calculated only after first filtering out garbage possessions defined as follows:
An offensive possession of two plays or fewer that runs out the clock to conclude the first half, or that runs out the clock to conclude the second half with the score tied, and does not result in a turnover, score, or field goal attempt.
A possession in the second half of a game in which eight times the number of the losing team's remaining possessions plus one is less than the losing team's scoring deficit at the start of the possession.
An offensive possession of two plays or fewer by the losing team with a score deficit greater than eight points that runs out the clock to conclude the game.
An offensive possession or non-offensive scoring possession by the winning team leading by eight points or fewer at the start of the possession that runs out the clock to conclude the game.
This post was edited on 1/4/26 at 3:15 pm
Posted on 1/4/26 at 3:13 pm to wdhalgren
That was with Drew Bobo in the game. It's obvious what went wrong.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 3:13 pm to wdhalgren
I would actually say the most important job is to get points when they matter. Big-time goal line plays with elimination on the line.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 3:19 pm to lewis and herschel
quote:
I would actually say the most important job is to get points when they matter. Big-time goal line plays with elimination on the line.
Fremeau's data shows a high correlation between OPD, DPD, some associated stats, and team success. Probably because teams that score more points per possession (on average) than their opponents usually end up with more points at the end of the game (when they matter). It's not intended to be a guarantee for any specific possession, game or season outcome. Nothing purports to capture that except the delusion of fools. What it does show is that Georgia's offense operated at a very high level relative to their SEC peers in 2025.
This post was edited on 1/4/26 at 3:39 pm
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:09 pm to wdhalgren
We had the best red zone offense in the country vs. FBS teams, which made the last drive so frustrating and we'll be asking "what if" for a long time.
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:26 pm to wdhalgren
I just finished Uncle Lou's YSIO Video he put out yesterday.
Some pretty incredible stats-
UGA's leading receiver= Zachariah Branch
Who was #2?
Colbie Young?
Oscar Delp?
Noah Thomas?
Lawson Luckie?
Elyass Williams?
Nate Frazier?
Cash Jones. He had more receptions than all three of our tight ends combined. Sure, one of those receptions was a damn good one.
Genius play calling doesn't result in that stat line. I'm sorry.
That's not even to speak to the situational play calling down inside the 5 that's already been beat to death. Or that 4th down WTF play.
Some pretty incredible stats-
UGA's leading receiver= Zachariah Branch
Who was #2?
Colbie Young?
Oscar Delp?
Noah Thomas?
Lawson Luckie?
Elyass Williams?
Nate Frazier?
Cash Jones. He had more receptions than all three of our tight ends combined. Sure, one of those receptions was a damn good one.
Genius play calling doesn't result in that stat line. I'm sorry.
That's not even to speak to the situational play calling down inside the 5 that's already been beat to death. Or that 4th down WTF play.
This post was edited on 1/4/26 at 6:00 pm
Posted on 1/4/26 at 4:54 pm to deeprig9
Sorry, Deeprig, but you're not responding to the OP. What you're saying is that didn't like the game Bobo called in the Sugar Bowl. The point of the OP is that, despite all of the cries that he is a horrible OC, the season data say just the opposite.
So what happened in the Sugar Bowl. Just the normal things that happen all the time. Players were out due to injury, or hurt during the game. Players had a bad game, players on the other team had a good game, mental mistakes were made on the field and the sidelines. Their kicker made some coin-flip kicks and ours missed one. Officials made calls and missed calls, and the football bounced in random directions. None of that means that one game defines Bobo's season as a coach or a playcaller. Even if it did, Kirby Smart would understand that and act on it without needing input from the message boards. Anonymous message boards are not a useful resource for staffing questions.
Edit: and Cash only had two catches. It's not like the game plan was structured around him.
So what happened in the Sugar Bowl. Just the normal things that happen all the time. Players were out due to injury, or hurt during the game. Players had a bad game, players on the other team had a good game, mental mistakes were made on the field and the sidelines. Their kicker made some coin-flip kicks and ours missed one. Officials made calls and missed calls, and the football bounced in random directions. None of that means that one game defines Bobo's season as a coach or a playcaller. Even if it did, Kirby Smart would understand that and act on it without needing input from the message boards. Anonymous message boards are not a useful resource for staffing questions.
Edit: and Cash only had two catches. It's not like the game plan was structured around him.
This post was edited on 1/4/26 at 5:20 pm
Posted on 1/5/26 at 9:56 am to wdhalgren
Wd, these are nice numbers and encouraging to see. That said, it is very difficult to reconcile them with other posts about this year's offense.
There is an excellent recent post on the UGA 24/7 site - lots of data showing this year's team as the 7th-10th best offense in the Kirby era, with a few exceptions like RZ scoring percentage. The conclusion was that 24 & 25 have been our worst offenses in the Kirby era outside of Coley & 2016. I didn't write it or anything, but would encourage anyone here to check it out for some additional perspective.
Imo we were doing great but regressed significantly in the last few games. It's understandable, missing D. Bobo, Gunner taking some huge hits etc. But guys were injured in those other seasons too, and this kind of performance simply won't be good enough to reach our goals
There is an excellent recent post on the UGA 24/7 site - lots of data showing this year's team as the 7th-10th best offense in the Kirby era, with a few exceptions like RZ scoring percentage. The conclusion was that 24 & 25 have been our worst offenses in the Kirby era outside of Coley & 2016. I didn't write it or anything, but would encourage anyone here to check it out for some additional perspective.
Imo we were doing great but regressed significantly in the last few games. It's understandable, missing D. Bobo, Gunner taking some huge hits etc. But guys were injured in those other seasons too, and this kind of performance simply won't be good enough to reach our goals
This post was edited on 1/5/26 at 8:54 pm
Posted on 1/7/26 at 9:38 am to Bigdawgb
Any discussion about offense has to focus on the OL.
I haven’t had the stomach to watch the game but seem to remember or OL getting run past and sending Gunner running for his life multiple times. Tell me how you scheme for that?
Maybe the reason we called the pass on the 4 was we had no faith in sealing either edge?
I haven’t had the stomach to watch the game but seem to remember or OL getting run past and sending Gunner running for his life multiple times. Tell me how you scheme for that?
Maybe the reason we called the pass on the 4 was we had no faith in sealing either edge?
Posted on 1/7/26 at 12:02 pm to Bigdawgb
quote:
lots of data showing this year's team as the 7th-10th best offense in the Kirby era
I think that Kirby was reluctant to let Gunner throw down the middle of the field, and I'm sure he had his reasons. When Fromm was quarterback, the playcalling would get in a similar pattern a lot of times. There were games when Fromm might throw 2 or 3 passes a game down the field between the hashmarks.
Kirby tells us that passes over the middle are when bad things happen and that's when turnovers happen.
Posted on 1/7/26 at 12:20 pm to wdhalgren
Sadly, we only could muster up 340 yards of offense in the Sugar Bowl. Thats 100 yards less than did Tulane and Mississippi State in Ole Miss’ previous two games.
Posted on 1/7/26 at 1:11 pm to prouddawg
It wasn’t our defense who couldn’t stop Ole Miss, but is our offense that takes all the blame?
Posted on 1/7/26 at 2:31 pm to Peter Buck
Sadly, the bundled 4,the down and horrible goal line playcalling/time management was the specific reason we lost.
Really boneheaded coaching decisions and yes, making sure your freshman stand in center is an oaches responsibility to make sure he understands not to snap the ball.
Really boneheaded coaching decisions and yes, making sure your freshman stand in center is an oaches responsibility to make sure he understands not to snap the ball.
Posted on 1/7/26 at 2:38 pm to wdhalgren
Red zone TD% is the most important offensive stat in football, IMO. Georgia was #2 in the nation (78%) this season. That is an awesome number. This is also what made the ending to the Ole Miss game so painful. 2nd and goal from the 3 was an automatic TD almost all season.
The biggest flaw for the offense was a lack of explosiveness. They had to be ruthlessly efficient to score points because they rarely threatened anyone downfield. I think this is the thing they need to fix the most going into next season.
The biggest flaw for the offense was a lack of explosiveness. They had to be ruthlessly efficient to score points because they rarely threatened anyone downfield. I think this is the thing they need to fix the most going into next season.
This post was edited on 1/7/26 at 2:47 pm
Posted on 1/7/26 at 2:44 pm to lewis and herschel
quote:
Sadly, the bundled 4,the down and horrible goal line playcalling/time management was the specific reason we lost
It wasn’t a BS targeting call that depleted an already depleted defense? It wasn’t like 8 starters not finishing the game? It wasn’t letting their QB escape sure sacks that turned into big plays? It wasn’t letting them throw the ball into man coverage on 3rd down to get into FG range?
Posted on 1/7/26 at 2:45 pm to Peter Buck
I posted stats, I didn’t ascribe blame to anyone. If you think that was a good or even an adequate offensive performance, that’s your opinion.
This post was edited on 1/7/26 at 2:54 pm
Posted on 1/7/26 at 2:49 pm to Peter Buck
Oh now you are anti Schumann? hahaha. The game was still winnable until we conceded a TD and then totally mishandle the final drive playcalling and time management.. So yes a shite defense for by Kirby's standard is partially to blame but the more direct blame was the goal line helmet fire.
Posted on 1/7/26 at 2:52 pm to prouddawg
You compared stats from 2 different games and made it seem like 340 yards offense was why we lost the game because Tulane had more yards even though they only scored 10 points and got a bunch of cheap yards and scored their first td of the game with 4 minutes left on a 4 play 80 yard drive against the 3rd string. Other than that it is apples/apples…
Posted on 1/7/26 at 2:53 pm to lewis and herschel
quote:
Oh now you are anti Schumann? hahaha. The game was still winnable until we conceded a TD and then totally mishandle the final drive playcalling and time management.. So yes a shite defense for by Kirby's standard is partially to blame but the more direct blame was the goal line helmet fire.
We tied the game.
Posted on 1/7/26 at 2:58 pm to Peter Buck
We had 340 yards offense vs Ole Miss. if you think it was a good offensive showing vs an ole Miss D, more power to you.
Edit:
Tulane had over 200 yards in the first half. They moved it vs the ole miss 1st team .
Edit:
quote:
Tulane had more yards even though they only scored 10 points and got a bunch of cheap yards and scored their first td of the game with 4 minutes left on a 4 play 80 yard drive against the 3rd string. Other than that it is apples/apples…
Tulane had over 200 yards in the first half. They moved it vs the ole miss 1st team .
This post was edited on 1/7/26 at 3:13 pm
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