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SEC Records thus far

Posted on 12/18/25 at 10:49 am
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3675 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 10:49 am
SEC against the KenPom Top 25: 6-25

2-2 Tennessee
2-3 Alabama
1-2 Arkansas
1-3 Auburn

0-1 Missouri
0-1 Miss State
0-2 Oklahoma
0-2 Florida
0-2 Ole Miss
0-3 Texas
0-4 Kentucky

*Vanderbilt, LSU, Texas A&M, Georgia, and South Carolina are yet to play a Top 25 opponent

SEC against the KenPom Top 50: 17-33

4-0 Vanderbilt
3-3 Alabama
2-2 Tennessee
2-2 Arkansas
2-3 Auburn
1-1 LSU
1-3 Florida
1-3 Texas
1-4 Kentucky

0-1 Georgia
0-1 Missouri
0-1 South Carolina
0-2 Oklahoma
0-2 Texas A&M
0-2 Miss State
0-3 Ole Miss

SEC against the KenPom Top 100: 29-45

5-0 Vanderbilt
5-3 Alabama
3-3 Auburn
3-3 Oklahoma
3-4 Florida
2-1 Georgia
2-2 Arkansas
2-3 Tennessee
1-1 LSU
1-3 Ole Miss
1-4 Texas
1-4 Kentucky

0-2 Missouri
0-3 Texas A&M
0-4 South Carolina
0-5 Miss State

Record Against teams rated 101+ and worse in KenPom: 100-1

Ole Miss’ loss to #130 Utah is the only conference loss outside the Top 100

Overall, the SEC is down from last year. We collectively lack giant wins… we’ve gone 1-15 against the KenPom Top 10 and a dismal 0-14 against the KenPom Top 8…. Which is why our highest rated team is only #10 and I think most anyone would agree their metrics are a bit inflated due to a very comfortable schedule up to this point.

On the flip side, we as a league only have one loss to a team outside the Top 100…. Just two losses to teams ranked #90 and lower, and just 3 losses to teams ranked #80 and lower. That’s fairly strong.

I believe this is a 8-9 bid league this season when we get to the Tournament.
Posted by SEC Doctor
Member since Aug 2024
10553 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 10:50 am to
quote:

Record Against teams rated 101+ and worse in KenPom: 100-1


That's pretty wild.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3675 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 11:08 am to
quote:

That's pretty wild.


Yeah it really is. The fact we’re 0-14 against the Top 8 but also 100-1 against teams 101 and lower tells me we’re about to see some incredible parity in SEC play. I think the SEC champ is going to be 13-5… we’ve not seen that happen since 2018.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3675 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 11:55 am to
Just running through the SEC schedules, it does appear Florida got a VERY favorable schedule. They somehow avoid having to play on the road at Alabama, Tennessee, Auburn, or Arkansas. All of those games are in Gainesville.

Here’s my prediction for the SEC standings. Teams in BOLD are NCAA Tournament teams with their seeding also projected.

14-4 Florida (3-seed)
13-5 Alabama (3-seed)
11-7 Tennessee (5-seed)
11-7 Auburn (6-seed)
11-7 Arkansas (6-seed)
11-7 Vanderbilt (7-seed)
9-9 Kentucky (9-seed)
9-9 Texas (10-seed)
9-9 Oklahoma (11-seed)
8-10 Georgia (first 4 out)
8-10 LSU (first 8 out)
8-10 Missouri
7-11 Texas A&M
6-12 South Carolina
5-13 Ole Miss
4-14 Miss State
This post was edited on 12/18/25 at 11:56 am
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105701 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 12:12 pm to
Would be a bunch of 6-11 seeds (including the possible LSU and Georgia) that a 2-3 seed would not want to see in the 2nd round.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
89583 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 12:13 pm to
quote:

8-10 Georgia (first 4 out)


Posted by Darindawg
Member since May 2022
3890 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 12:15 pm to
This might mean something to me if I had any idea what KenPom meant?
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105701 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 12:17 pm to
Torvik Rankings - No Preseason Input Included

7. Vanderbilt
11. Alabama
12. Tennessee
22. Florida
24. Georgia
25. Arkansas
28. LSU
30. Kentucky
38. Auburn
45. Texas
55. Texas A&M
62. Missouri
79. Oklahoma
81. Ole Miss
101. South Carolina
125. Mississippi State


Maybe the wildest stat to me is that Mississippi State is #152 in defensive efficiency, #15 out of 16 in the league.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105701 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 12:20 pm to
Torvik Wins Above Bubble (aka Resume Ranking)

8. Vanderbilt (+3.0)
14. Alabama (+2.1)
18. Auburn (+1.5)
20. Arkansas (+1.4)
30. LSU (+1.1)
34. Tennessee (+1.0)
37. Georgia (+0.9)
49. Florida (+0.5)
51. Oklahoma (+0.46)
64. Missouri (+0.01)
72. Kentucky (-0.25)
86. Texas (-0.6)
90. Texas A&M (-0.7)
108. Ole Miss (-1.1)
143. South Carolina (-1.8)
152. Mississippi State (-1.9)
Posted by lsudave1
Baton Metairie
Member since Jan 2005
11566 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

8-10 LSU (first 8 out)


This would be the end of the McTenure. Hopefully we make the big dance this year it’s been too fricking long.
Posted by OU Guy
Member since Feb 2022
24672 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 12:23 pm to
Great post thanks for taking the time. I am still on the fence with OU. Its the best team Moser has had yet I’m still undecided how good they are.

I moss these days. We went on a 18-2 run afterwards lol.

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Posted by morriscat2
tennessee
Member since Jun 2012
2197 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 12:37 pm to
I hope Vandy can do better than 11-7. We shall see.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3675 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 2:52 pm to
quote:

I hope Vandy can do better than 11-7. We shall see.


Vandy just needs to step up and play a great team. The Dores have looked good but they’re beating a bunch of teams who will likely be anywhere from a 9-seed down to the NIT come March. I don’t think they’ve played a single opponent who will be a Top 8 seed in the NCAA Tourney. So it’s really difficult to project how they’ll do in SEC play.
Posted by Rzrbackguy
Apalachicola, FL
Member since Jul 2014
2542 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 3:06 pm to
Hogs get Houston Saturday, so hopefully one more win vs top 10.

If Pringle continues to pick his game up I wouldn’t be shocked to see Arkansas as a 4 seed or better. Way ahead of where they were same time last year.

10RC looks real strong. I’d say lower than a 4 seed should be disappointing for them. Will find out a lot on 1/3 when the Vols visit Bud Walton.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3675 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 3:21 pm to
quote:

10RC looks real strong.


They looked great Tuesday, but other than that they’ve struggled IMO.

Kansas beat Tennessee by 5 points yet they lost to UConn by 5, Duke by 12, and UNC by 13.

Syracuse also beat Tennessee during the ACC Challenge. Syracuse lost to Houston by 4, Kansas by 11, and Iowa State by 31… Hofstra also just beat Syracuse.

Illinois throttled Tennessee by 13 points. Alabama, UConn, and Nebraska all beat the Illini and Texas Tech and Ohio State both played them closer in losses.

I think the jury is still out on whether they can generate enough offense to have a shot at winning the SEC.
Posted by AUTiger789
Birmingham, AL
Member since Apr 2022
3675 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 3:35 pm to
quote:

Torvik Wins Above Bubble (aka Resume Ranking)


Interesting that if you take Torvik’s ratings as well as their WAB rating, 28 teams have a Top 40 ranking in both…. 7 from the SEC.

Vanderbilt (8/8)
Alabama (13/14)
Arkansas (21/20)
Tennessee (12/33)
Auburn (36/18)
LSU (34/29)
Georgia (27/36)

Surprisingly Florida isn’t on that list. Their WAB / resume ranking is just 48th. Kentucky also missed with their WAB all the way down at 72nd.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105701 posts
Posted on 12/18/25 at 4:11 pm to
I think there are a lot of matchup teams in the league this year. The wrong matchup and they can look pretty pedestrian, the right one and they can look very good. Which also plays into not really knowing for sure how good some of the teams who haven’t played any or few top 20-30 teams are.

Also some high variance teams - when they are playing well and in sync they’re scary, when they aren’t they can be really bad.
This post was edited on 12/18/25 at 4:12 pm
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