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Bet entire mortgage on LSU Moneyline vs TAMU. Perfect example of profiting off bias.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:13 pm
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:13 pm
Your average college football fan's thought process will be this: "A&M is 7-0. A&M is ranked 3rd. LSU just lost last week and is ranked 20th. That means LSU is going to lose this week."
That's called simpleton thinking. The reality is A&M has played 4 SEC teams that are a combined 1-12 in the SEC I believe. They have struggled against the bottom quartile barrel of the SEC including majority of those being at home. A&M has never won at Tiger Stadium since joining the SEC. LSU's losses were all on the SEC road against Top 10 teams now. Anyone who knows college football in the SEC knows that home field adv at night in the SEC is a 10+ pt swing vs same game on road at night, especially a place like Tiger Stadium.
I do not think A&M wins this game due to A&M hasn't played a college football SEC team with a pulse yet, and struggled at home vs bottom of SEC. And nothing about their game performance makes me think they can go into LSU at night, and beat them. LSU has struggled, but I don't think A&M would win on the road at Ole Miss or Vandy either. I think A&M would be 5-2 with LSU schedule.
This is a perfect opportunity to take advantage of not so smart people who look at solely rankings and record, and don't go in depth past that, nor understand how huge home game at night at LSU is.
That's called simpleton thinking. The reality is A&M has played 4 SEC teams that are a combined 1-12 in the SEC I believe. They have struggled against the bottom quartile barrel of the SEC including majority of those being at home. A&M has never won at Tiger Stadium since joining the SEC. LSU's losses were all on the SEC road against Top 10 teams now. Anyone who knows college football in the SEC knows that home field adv at night in the SEC is a 10+ pt swing vs same game on road at night, especially a place like Tiger Stadium.
I do not think A&M wins this game due to A&M hasn't played a college football SEC team with a pulse yet, and struggled at home vs bottom of SEC. And nothing about their game performance makes me think they can go into LSU at night, and beat them. LSU has struggled, but I don't think A&M would win on the road at Ole Miss or Vandy either. I think A&M would be 5-2 with LSU schedule.
This is a perfect opportunity to take advantage of not so smart people who look at solely rankings and record, and don't go in depth past that, nor understand how huge home game at night at LSU is.
This post was edited on 10/19/25 at 4:15 pm
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Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:14 pm to Footballguy1800
Show us your betting slip
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:15 pm to cubsfan5150
I'm not betting my mortgage haha. I'll put up $300 when Bovada opens it up. It's like LSU +110 ML I think.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:16 pm to Footballguy1800
quote:
This is a perfect opportunity to take advantage of not so smart people who look at solely rankings
Great! So how do I get all these dipshits to bet me?
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:16 pm to Footballguy1800
LSU is too demoralized
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:16 pm to Footballguy1800
You could’ve just said back to back road SEC games are tough, especially with the second game being against a rival in a night game…
Nobody would’ve batted an eye about it
Nobody would’ve batted an eye about it
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:17 pm to Faurot fodder
quote:
Great! So how do I get all these dipshits to bet me?
By betting on a website that offers it? The movement from public moves it towards A&M, and I don't know if Vegas sets the line based on how they think the game will play out, or how they think betters will bet and set a middle mark.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:19 pm to The Baker
quote:
LSU is too demoralized
You spelled SUCKS wrong.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:19 pm to Footballguy1800
Sorry, but other people betting stupidly will not make anyone else rich. So a spread might move a point or two and that is your indicator to bet heavy?
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:22 pm to The Baker
quote:
LSU is too demoralized
As a Tigers fan, I think this is the answer, unfortunately. We're missing leadership. Whit will miss this game also.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:23 pm to AGGIES
quote:
You could’ve just said back to back road SEC games are tough, especially with the second game being against a rival in a night game…
THIS. And his point about trends is pretty irrelevant as well with the portal and NIL entirely changing the game and making said trends a lot less....trendy? Brian Kelly being awful in SEC road games and pretty damn good at home would move the needle for me, but feel free to shoot me in the head if I start risking anything other than fun money on college kids with the attention span of a social media life new cycle.
Should be a good game.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:24 pm to Footballguy1800
I don't have a mortgage
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:28 pm to Footballguy1800
A&M will score 30-40
LSU will score 24 tops
Will be draining savings to put on Aggie -2.5
LSU will score 24 tops
Will be draining savings to put on Aggie -2.5
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:29 pm to Footballguy1800
A gamble is a gamble, no matter how much people try to act like there’s a science to it. Let’s hope for your sake you are mega wealthy and can stand to lose out on a bet like that if things go sideways. I’m waaay too risk averse, not even under a Saban coached team in a championship year would I have been that confident. LOL
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:36 pm to Mizzouligan
quote:
You spelled SUCKS wrong.
They do suck.
Playing to MIZZOU level standards.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:37 pm to Footballguy1800
Impressive. Which psychic hotline do you use?
I’m not much of a bettor. What does Vegas think? I’ll bet they will be pissed you let out that gem of +10 point advantage on the road.
I’m not much of a bettor. What does Vegas think? I’ll bet they will be pissed you let out that gem of +10 point advantage on the road.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:54 pm to DrKnievel
We might make Nuss cry again 
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:55 pm to Footballguy1800
quote:
The reality is A&M has played 4 SEC teams that are a combined 1-12 in the SEC I believe.
Florida by itself is 2-2, so this stat is incorrect
Posted on 10/19/25 at 4:59 pm to The Baker
quote:
You spelled SUCKS wrong.
They do suck.
Playing to MIZZOU level standards.
Keep melting swamprat.
Posted on 10/19/25 at 5:00 pm to Mizzouligan
quote:
Keep melting swamprat.
I will.
Keep being satisfied with whatever mizzou calls "success" year in and year out.
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