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A&M Will Beat SCAR by 10+ points
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:30 am
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:30 am
Edit: here to eat crow. Got dat azz whipped. GG SC
A&M is 9-1 in the last 10 games against SCAR
The only SC win was a 1 score victory against a 5-7 Jimbo team in Williams Brice, and they took the opening kick to the house
Key Stats:
A&M - #1 Rushing offense in conference play 211 yds/gm
A&M - #1 Rushing Defense in conference play - 73 yds/game
SC has 21 sacks in 5 conference games, but has given up 25 sacks - 0.84 ratio
A&M has 16 sacks in conference games, but has only given up 8. - 2.0 ratio
The best way to neutralize a hostile environment is run the ball and have a good defense.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Elko runs out Weigman first and SC has some early success. But I think the A&M rushing attack will grind down the SC defense in 2nd half. SC has great starters but no depth.
I don’t see how SC moves the ball against the A&M defense. They might get a few big plays and get some points, but will struggle to move the ball consistently.
Final Score:
A&M 31
SC 17
A&M is 9-1 in the last 10 games against SCAR
The only SC win was a 1 score victory against a 5-7 Jimbo team in Williams Brice, and they took the opening kick to the house
Key Stats:
A&M - #1 Rushing offense in conference play 211 yds/gm
A&M - #1 Rushing Defense in conference play - 73 yds/game
SC has 21 sacks in 5 conference games, but has given up 25 sacks - 0.84 ratio
A&M has 16 sacks in conference games, but has only given up 8. - 2.0 ratio
The best way to neutralize a hostile environment is run the ball and have a good defense.
I wouldn’t be surprised if Elko runs out Weigman first and SC has some early success. But I think the A&M rushing attack will grind down the SC defense in 2nd half. SC has great starters but no depth.
I don’t see how SC moves the ball against the A&M defense. They might get a few big plays and get some points, but will struggle to move the ball consistently.
Final Score:
A&M 31
SC 17
This post was edited on 11/3/24 at 9:04 am
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Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:31 am to PetroAg
That is doubtful. This game will be close.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:33 am to PetroAg
Trolling aside:
History is irrelevant this season. Ask Alabama.
Yes, we're very good at the run game on both sides of the ball. But is SCar a run-heavy team?
I do think SCar will have a hard time scoring against. Not giving up more than 24 points a game is pretty good.
Turnovers are key. We're +8 so far. We were down 1 at the half against LSU and +2 at the end, and we all saw the result. We've done a good job taking care of the ball so far, and that needs to continue if we're going to come out of a really tough environment with a W.
History is irrelevant this season. Ask Alabama.
Yes, we're very good at the run game on both sides of the ball. But is SCar a run-heavy team?
I do think SCar will have a hard time scoring against. Not giving up more than 24 points a game is pretty good.
Turnovers are key. We're +8 so far. We were down 1 at the half against LSU and +2 at the end, and we all saw the result. We've done a good job taking care of the ball so far, and that needs to continue if we're going to come out of a really tough environment with a W.
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 10:35 am
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:33 am to PetroAg
quote:
Key Stats:
A&M - #1 Rushing offense in conference play 211 yds/gm
A&M - #1 Rushing Defense in conference play - 73 yds/game
And you've played arguable the 4 worst defenses in the league. That is you've gone up against the 13th, 14th, 15th and 16th defenses respectively. Of course your offensive numbers are going to look good.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:35 am to ColoradoAg
i just don’t see a close game here unless Weigman gets us down early with a turnover and the stadium keeps rocking.
I’m ready for the annual A&M letdown but just don’t see it here. Honestly, Auburn is more of a wildcard game IMO.
I’m ready for the annual A&M letdown but just don’t see it here. Honestly, Auburn is more of a wildcard game IMO.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:38 am to PetroAg
aTm is an absolute juggernaut.
Carolina will be lucky to keep it under a 40+ loss.
Carolina will be lucky to keep it under a 40+ loss.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:42 am to PetroAg
I think A&M wins by around 10. The main reason for that is that SC turns the ball over a lot and A&M doesn't.
If the turnover margin is even, I view the game as a pick-em. But I don't think turnovers will be even.
If the turnover margin is even, I view the game as a pick-em. But I don't think turnovers will be even.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:42 am to PetroAg
Seeing this game the same way. Not understanding the general sentiment
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:43 am to PetroAg
A&M should win however highly doubt it will be a blowout. The only blowouts A&M had this year was when it was clear that the other team didn't gameplan for the right QB.
Mizz naturally thought it was going to be Reed, and LSU clearly thought it was going to be Weigman. Neither had a plan for the other guy.
At this point A&M has made clear that if it's not going their way then they will make a QB change so I'd expect SC to prepare properly for both.
Mizz naturally thought it was going to be Reed, and LSU clearly thought it was going to be Weigman. Neither had a plan for the other guy.
At this point A&M has made clear that if it's not going their way then they will make a QB change so I'd expect SC to prepare properly for both.
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 10:44 am
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:44 am to aero1126
SC spent the off week preparing for Weigman. They will prepare for Reed this week
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:46 am to PetroAg
This will be a close game, in the 20's. Key for A&M is don't turn the ball over. I think our O is good enough to get to the mid 20s against a good D.
I think our D is good enough to hold a team at home to the low 20s.
Just don't give up the easy short field- that's the key. A&M wears 'em down in the 4th Qtr.
I think our D is good enough to hold a team at home to the low 20s.
Just don't give up the easy short field- that's the key. A&M wears 'em down in the 4th Qtr.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:47 am to PetroAg
A&M is the better team, but SC is so Jekyll and Hyde, it is hard to predict. I wouldn't be shocked if the Aggies won by 20 and I wouldn't be shocked to see SC pull off the upset. SC has a great home crowd. It's tough to win those road games at night in this conference.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:54 am to PetroAg
quote:
Auburn is more of a wildcard game IMO.
Heck no. Their offense is atrocious. Thorne is a turnover machine.
I won't be surprised if we lose tomorrow's game. Maybe this team needs it.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 10:58 am to FootballFrenzy
Auburn has the 6 overall offense (yds/game) in conference play. And the 2 overall defense. They just find stupid ways to lose when they out gain their opponents. If they get it all together all for one game, I could see them pulling an upset.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:00 am to PetroAg
quote:
Auburn has the 6 overall offense (yds/game) in conference play. And the 2 overall defense. They just find stupid ways to lose when they out gain their opponents. If they get it all together all for one game, I could see them pulling an upset
Resume:
18-point loss at Georgia.
4-point loss at Missouri.
6-point loss vs Oklahoma.
10-point loss vs Arkansas.
14-point win at Kentucky.
Georgia's the only good team they've played so far. We have the best defense they'll have faced all season.
This post was edited on 11/1/24 at 11:40 am
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:02 am to SEC Doctor
quote:
SC has a great home crowd. It's tough to win those road games at night in this conference.
Agreed.
It's one of the reasons I think LSU beats Bama by 10 points.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:03 am to FootballFrenzy
If A&M wins this weekend and beats Auburn, it is likely that we get into the playoffs at 10-2 at the worst. Take it week by week …
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:05 am to ColoradoAg
quote:
If A&M wins this weekend and beats Auburn, it is likely that we get into the playoffs at 10-2 at the worst. Take it week by week …
Another big opportunity for Elko to prove himself here. We win and hit the bye week 8-1 (6-0), then get NMSU before Auburn, I really like our season outlook.
I still think we win 10 games this year, counting bowl games, but making it to and potentially winning the SECCG and going to the playoffs in Elko's first year would be awesome.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:14 am to PetroAg
I would be shocked if we don't start Reed, really floored.
If A&M just plays smart football and pounds the rock without turning it over and playing clean ST I see it as about a 10 point win, something like 28-17. I just don't think SC can stop us from driving down the field with a 50 lb per man advantage on the OL vs their DL and I don't think USC is going to have much luck scoring unless we turn the ball over and give them short fields. A&M will take away the run completely from USC and force them to throw, especially if A&M gets up on them. That means lots of long down and distance plays and that's not where you want to be against this team and their DL. Most important thing for USC is they have to find a way to stop A&M from successfully running the ball, a couple 10 play TD drives with 8 of those plays being runs and it's good night. A&M is an incredibly physical team, they just like to beat the crap out of you. USC is more of an athletic D that's smaller and fast, that will wear out if left on the field and forced to hold up against getting hit in the mouth over and over.
A&M tries to win throwing the ball and sitting in the pocket and they are in trouble. They turn the ball over and they are in trouble. They play lazy ST they are in trouble. They don't play disciplined D and they are in trouble. I just don't see any of that as likely.
If A&M just plays smart football and pounds the rock without turning it over and playing clean ST I see it as about a 10 point win, something like 28-17. I just don't think SC can stop us from driving down the field with a 50 lb per man advantage on the OL vs their DL and I don't think USC is going to have much luck scoring unless we turn the ball over and give them short fields. A&M will take away the run completely from USC and force them to throw, especially if A&M gets up on them. That means lots of long down and distance plays and that's not where you want to be against this team and their DL. Most important thing for USC is they have to find a way to stop A&M from successfully running the ball, a couple 10 play TD drives with 8 of those plays being runs and it's good night. A&M is an incredibly physical team, they just like to beat the crap out of you. USC is more of an athletic D that's smaller and fast, that will wear out if left on the field and forced to hold up against getting hit in the mouth over and over.
A&M tries to win throwing the ball and sitting in the pocket and they are in trouble. They turn the ball over and they are in trouble. They play lazy ST they are in trouble. They don't play disciplined D and they are in trouble. I just don't see any of that as likely.
Posted on 11/1/24 at 11:16 am to PetroAg
USC wins 21-20.
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