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re: Why is MI favored over BAMA in Vegas?
Posted on 12/19/23 at 2:07 pm to AwgustaDawg
Posted on 12/19/23 at 2:07 pm to AwgustaDawg
I think it’s a combination of things.
1) UM looks incredible from an advanced analytics perspective and the computer thinks they should beat Bama (+)
2) UM hasn’t played anyone outside of PSU and OSU who haven’t played anyone themselves outside of ND. It makes it impossible to say anything for sure other than UM > OSU > PSU (-)
3) UM hasn’t looked nearly as good offensively since the cheating scandal broke. Very likely they knew when the blitz was coming and now they don’t. (-)
4) Bama spent half the season as next to bad offensively and the 2nd half as elite. The bad half of the season is enough to flip the analytics towards UM hard. (+)
5) UM has to run the ball to win and no one without a mobile QB has run the ball against Bama. (-)
6) No one knows how Milroe will respond if UM can take away the first read and stuff the run. Might be enough to ugly it up and get a win (+)
7) UM hasn’t played a single top tier QB all year, we have no idea if their pass defense is actually elite or just a reflection of playing limited offenses. (-)
Bottom line is there are enough questions to make it a game you could pick either way.
1) UM looks incredible from an advanced analytics perspective and the computer thinks they should beat Bama (+)
2) UM hasn’t played anyone outside of PSU and OSU who haven’t played anyone themselves outside of ND. It makes it impossible to say anything for sure other than UM > OSU > PSU (-)
3) UM hasn’t looked nearly as good offensively since the cheating scandal broke. Very likely they knew when the blitz was coming and now they don’t. (-)
4) Bama spent half the season as next to bad offensively and the 2nd half as elite. The bad half of the season is enough to flip the analytics towards UM hard. (+)
5) UM has to run the ball to win and no one without a mobile QB has run the ball against Bama. (-)
6) No one knows how Milroe will respond if UM can take away the first read and stuff the run. Might be enough to ugly it up and get a win (+)
7) UM hasn’t played a single top tier QB all year, we have no idea if their pass defense is actually elite or just a reflection of playing limited offenses. (-)
Bottom line is there are enough questions to make it a game you could pick either way.
This post was edited on 12/19/23 at 2:18 pm
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Posted on 12/19/23 at 2:10 pm to tide06
Alabama is capable of playing at an extremely high level, they are also capable of playing pretty average.
Michigan has been a more steady team this year. Pretty resilient bunch to not miss a beat vs Ohio State missing your head coach.
Michigan has been a more steady team this year. Pretty resilient bunch to not miss a beat vs Ohio State missing your head coach.
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