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ESPN releases their insane SP+ rankings

Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:43 pm
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34134 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:43 pm
Top 3 looks right, then it goes nuts

Top 3:
Georgia
Ohio State
Michigan

No real issues there.

#4 Alabama - Okay, even as a Bama fan, this feels super generous by their computers. I can only presume it's because of the fact that the two losses were on the road on final plays? Anyway, I digress.

#5 Tennessee - The #5 ranking is fine, but being below us once again feels off. Tennessee has the #1 offense, but the #35 defense is definitely an anchor.

It should be noted, in all fairness, that the difference between Georgia (#1) and Alabama (#4) is greater than the difference between TCU (#6) and LSU (#17). For clarification, at least.

Other bouts of insanity:
#8 Texas - I don't have words. Seriously.
#13 Ole Miss - looks perfectly fine, if not for...
#17 LSU - I can only presume that loss to FSU is an albatross around LSU's neck - not like this ranking matters worth a damn anyway, but there you go.
#18 Oklahoma - HOW? WHY?

#28, 29, 30:
Mississippi State, Kentucky, Florida - practically interchangeable

But the main reason I thought it was interesting?

Texas A&M's next opponent:
#131 (Dead Last) - UMass

So, A&M, I think you got this one!

(Seriously, if you lose to UMass, just keep driving towards the Gulf and don't stop).
Posted by Wolfhound45
Member since Nov 2009
125397 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

#17 LSU
Too high.
Posted by The Albatross
Member since Mar 2021
935 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:44 pm to
quote:

I can only presume that loss to FSU is an albatross around LSU's neck


Damn, sorry dudes.
Posted by diddlydawg7
2x Best Poster Elite 8 (2x Sweet 16
Member since Oct 2017
29589 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:44 pm to
looks good to me
Posted by The Albatross
Member since Mar 2021
935 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:46 pm to
Where’s A&M for comparison’s sake for UMass?
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34134 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:46 pm to
quote:

I can only presume that loss to FSU is an albatross around LSU's neck


quote:

The Albatross

quote:

Damn, sorry dudes.




You deserve a toast my friend.



No damn it, this toast!

Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34134 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:48 pm to
quote:

Where’s A&M for comparison’s sake for UMass?


52nd

Which, incidentally, is the second highest ranking for a team with a losing record (Iowa State is 40th) and is the highest ranked team with only 3 wins. They have them above Auburn.

Guess it was that JH magic that got Auburn to eek out a 3 point win over A&M
Posted by Wolfhound45
Member since Nov 2009
125397 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:49 pm to
quote:

The Albatross

quote:

Damn, sorry dudes.

Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105488 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:49 pm to
Connelly needs to take a look at removing some of the recruiting stuff that is still in there late in there. It really makes things look incredibly screwy with some teams that have been horrid all year (per the metrics) and keeps them in the Top 40/50.

quote:

#8 Texas - I don't have words. Seriously.
#13 Ole Miss - looks perfectly fine, if not for...
#17 LSU - I can only presume that loss to FSU is an albatross around LSU's neck - not like this ranking matters worth a damn anyway, but there you go.


These are defensible. Remember, these rankings take the entire season as one big average. LSU was pretty bad early on, hell even through the Auburn game. They were a borderline top 25 team. They played much, much better the next 3 games (Florida, Alabama, LSU) and quite frankly played closer to the earlier games on Saturday against Arkansas (which is understandable, but again his rankings just see that as another game not a hangover game). So LSU is clearly better than that right now and their resume is better than that. But their average 2022 performance is probably right around there.

As for Texas, I figured Saturday night would have dented their metrics some, but they rank highly in basically every offensive and defensive metric and have played a tough schedule. They just can't win close games. Basically, this tells you that just based on their play by play performance, they are a top 10 team. However, they've played 6 close games this year and lost 4 of them....3 of them basically on the last play/drive of the game.
This post was edited on 11/14/22 at 12:51 pm
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34134 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:57 pm to
quote:

As for Texas, I figured Saturday night would have dented their metrics some, but they rank highly in basically every offensive and defensive metric and have played a tough schedule. They just can't win close games. Basically, this tells you that just based on their play by play performance, they are a top 10 team. However, they've played 6 close games this year and lost 4 of them....3 of them basically on the last play/drive of the game.


I guess that logic is what bolsters Alabama as well, considering the two losses are by a combined 4 points, both on the road, and one in OT.
Posted by CatBBN
Member since Jan 2020
2594 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:57 pm to
ESPN rankings are never good. Not sure what their algorithm uses but it’s baseless
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105488 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:58 pm to
quote:

I guess that logic is what bolsters Alabama as well, considering the two losses are by a combined 4 points, both on the road, and one in OT.



Yep - there is absolutely something to the fact that both us as fans and the national media hold Alabama to their own standard, especially now that they are not in the national title discussion. Some have wanted to act as if Alabama isn't a Top 10 team, which is laughably stupid and entirely based on a different expectation level for Alabama than, say, Utah.
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Member since Sep 2012
25414 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:58 pm to
I would assume it was LSU's bad performance against Arkansas that dropped them.
Posted by LSU Coyote
Member since Sep 2007
56154 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 12:59 pm to
That SP+ ranking never makes sense.
Posted by The Albatross
Member since Mar 2021
935 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 1:01 pm to
For 2019, they concluded that LSU was the second best team behind OSU. That’s all I need to know.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105488 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 1:01 pm to
I think that was FPI, right?
Posted by meansonny
ATL
Member since Sep 2012
26028 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 1:02 pm to
quote:

Tennessee has the #1 offense, but the #35 defense is definitely an anchor.


The #1 offense is a bunch of smoke and mirrors.
14 rushing TDs in 3 games (1 FCS and 2 G5 opponents).
Another 12 passing TDs in those same 3 games.

They are down to #5 scoring offense (behind UGA even) when looking at P5.
41ppg

62.3 ppg in those other 3 games.
This post was edited on 11/14/22 at 1:04 pm
Posted by The Albatross
Member since Mar 2021
935 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 1:02 pm to
Maybe Google failed me, but just did a quick search and that’s what it returned. Let me double check.

ETA: Google is still king. SP+ has LSU ranked behind OSU in 2019.
This post was edited on 11/14/22 at 1:04 pm
Posted by skrayper
21-0 Asterisk Drive
Member since Nov 2012
34134 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 1:03 pm to
quote:

Yep - there is absolutely something to the fact that both us as fans and the national media hold Alabama to their own standard, especially now that they are not in the national title discussion. Some have wanted to act as if Alabama isn't a Top 10 team, which is laughably stupid and entirely based on a different expectation level for Alabama than, say, Utah.


I remember a comic book panel that sums up Alabama's experience.

Basically Iron Man says that someone sent a lot of money to someone to do a prison break, and someone asks him "What's a lot of money?"

Tony replies, "To you or to me?"

That's basically Alabama football. A "bad season" at Alabama is considered an AMAZING season at 95% of the other programs.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105488 posts
Posted on 11/14/22 at 1:04 pm to
quote:

Maybe Google failed me, but just did a quick search and that’s what it returned. Let me double check.



Could have been - I remember that one of them had Ohio State #1 after 2019 and how laughable at was, but thought it was FPI. I don't think SP+ was part of ESPN at that point, but it might have been. They are 2 separate rankings, though.
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