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re: 2019 Atlanta Braves season long in-game thread

Posted on 7/15/19 at 10:37 pm to
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24814 posts
Posted on 7/15/19 at 10:37 pm to
quote:

I do think it’s time to send some high heat love to one of their rookies. Bean somebody.


Where is this coming from? I must have missed something.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24814 posts
Posted on 7/15/19 at 10:42 pm to
quote:

Braves are now 8-2 in the last 10 and 21 games over 500.

The Dodgers are 6-4 in their last 10 and 20 games over 500.


The Dodgers are 30 games over 500.

Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
5268 posts
Posted on 7/15/19 at 11:45 pm to
You’re right the beers got me.

Point is it’s almost time to start looking up too see if we can earn home field instead of looking down to see if/when we can clinch a division title.
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
28893 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 9:43 am to
They’ve hit Soroka, and they’re throwing way inside on Acuna.

Braves now have two 10 game winners in Fried and Soroka.
Posted by VinegarStrokes
Georgia
Member since Oct 2015
13270 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 9:50 am to
quote:

They’ve hit Soroka, and they’re throwing way inside on Acuna.



Bryse needs to make a statement tonight.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24814 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 10:07 am to
quote:

Point is it’s almost time to start looking up too see if we can earn home field instead of looking down to see if/when we can clinch a division title.




They are, surprisingly, within striking distance.

Realistically though the Dodgers would probably have to play near .500 ball the rest of the way for the Braves to catch them. That would put the Dodgers at 96-66. However their current win projection is 103-59 (based on various analytics) and their current actual rate (based on current win %) is 106-56!! So the Dodgers would have to cool off significantly and the Braves would basically need to stay hot the last 60+ games. I think the Braves can maintain current win pace, but I don't think the Dodgers are going to cool off that much. Not confident the Braves can get to 100 wins which is what it is probably going to take.

Will be fun to see them give it a shot though.
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
28893 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 10:17 am to
It definitely feels like teams are starting go up and in more on our youngsters. There’s no excuse for Soroka getting hit twice already.
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
5268 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 9:19 pm to
Lol Phillies just blew the lead on a 3 run bomb in the top of the 9th.

Hopefully we can get our bats warm tonight.
Posted by elposter
Member since Dec 2010
24814 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 9:26 pm to
quote:

Lol Phillies just blew the lead on a 3 run bomb in the top of the 9th.


As the poster said above, at this point we might should be pulling for the the Dodgers to lose more than the Phillies in the outside chance the Braves could get home field if the Dodgers hit a slump.
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
5268 posts
Posted on 7/16/19 at 10:03 pm to
Well frick. The Phillies came back and scored 3 in the bottom to win.

I’ll pull for the dodgers to lose any other day. I want to see philly burn.
Posted by VinegarStrokes
Georgia
Member since Oct 2015
13270 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 8:00 am to
looking ahead, it looks like we will likely see a rejuvenated Allard pitch this weekend, maybe Saturday.
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
28893 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 8:39 am to
I’d like to see Allard again (I think).

On another note Bryse doesn’t seem to have electric stuff. He’s still young of course, but I don’t see him with many K’s, so maybe he can work on keeping it low in the zone.
Posted by VinegarStrokes
Georgia
Member since Oct 2015
13270 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 9:24 am to
FYI, I said "rejuvenated Allard" because I thought I had heard that he was doing well this year, but then I went and looked at his numbers and came away unimpressed.

I did hear that his fastball was a tick or two faster this year, but who knows...
Posted by BPTiger
Atlanta
Member since Oct 2011
5268 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 3:59 pm to
Man Riley is struggling bad. 5 of 30 in his last 7 games plus today. A .166 avg.

6 of 58 in the last 16.

18 of 112 in the last 31. Of those 18 7 have been homers.

Posted by playmakers in space
Member since Sep 2018
1246 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 4:48 pm to
Riley has a nearly 34% K% against a 5.4% BB%. Almost no one can make that type of profile work long-term in MLB outside of maybe Javier Baez of the Cubs.

His pitch selection and overall plate discipline is pretty terrible. A lot of the time it looks like he makes up his mind to swing before the pitch is thrown. He hits the ever-loving shite out of the ball when he does make contact, but he has to be more selective and start working counts.

The good thing is he did run a decent BB% in the minors and he's super young, so hopefully he'll be able to make the adjustments and get back to mashing. He also tended to struggle at each level of the minors early on before eventually figuring it out, so this current slump isn't terribly surprising. If anything his red-hot start in the majors was pretty unexpected.
This post was edited on 7/17/19 at 4:54 pm
Posted by VinegarStrokes
Georgia
Member since Oct 2015
13270 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 7:11 pm to
Riley is doing exactly what his minor league career indicated he would do. hit a lot of homeruns and strikeout a lot. no real surprise here.
Posted by Rhino5
Atlanta
Member since Nov 2014
28893 posts
Posted on 7/17/19 at 8:02 pm to
Breaking balls are killing him.
Posted by VinegarStrokes
Georgia
Member since Oct 2015
13270 posts
Posted on 7/18/19 at 7:10 am to
somehow the Nats managed to lose to a 29-win Orioles team last night, so we are still up 6.5 lol.

These late season head to head matchups are so ridiculously important. After this one, I don't think we play them again until September where we have a 2 week stretch where we go 4 against the Nats, 4 against the Phils, 3 against the Nats, 3 against the Phils consecutively.

Being up 6.5 right now, here are the possible results from this upcoming 4 game series:

Braves sweep - up 10.5
Nats sweep - up 2.5
Split - up 6.5
Braves win 3 - up 8.5
Nats win 3 - up 4.5

Basically what I'm getting at is we really just need to avoid the sweep. Typically I'd say that it's loser talk to plan ahead on how many losses you can afford to have, and a WS contender shouldn't be thinking that way, but I'm not liking the way the pitching matchups are looking.

Soroka faces Corbin on Friday, which I obviously like, but otherwise we have Teheran/Strasburg, probably Kyle Wright against probably Scherzer, and then probably Gausman against whoever the Nats are running out there.

If we just win the Soroka game, then I'll be disappointed but still feeling ok about the standings.
Posted by VinegarStrokes
Georgia
Member since Oct 2015
13270 posts
Posted on 7/18/19 at 7:30 am to
actually I'm seeing that Wright was scratched from his start last night and might go tonight with Julio/Soroka pushed back a day.
Posted by Eric Nies Grind Time
Atlanta GA - ITP
Member since Sep 2012
24932 posts
Posted on 7/18/19 at 7:58 am to
Yeah I am just hoping for a split against the Nats.
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