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How we have to finish the season.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:09 pm
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:09 pm
Here's what we're probably gonna need to do, to make the NCAA tournament. Our schedule is stronger this year, so that's a huge benefit. The Oklahoma win is fantastic, the Tennessee win is very high quality, as is the Mizzou win. UCONN and Minnesota are still top 100 RPI teams, so that's a big plus. Most Brackets still had us in as a 7,8 or 9 seed before the loss to Florida. Here's how I believe we need to finish the season, in order to remain in the NCAA tourney.
The RPI's are updated as of today 1/18 ours is currently #25
Remaining Schedule
Ole Miss- W (Top 100 RPI)
@Georgia- L (Top 50 RPI)
Oklahoma St.-W (Top 110 RPI)
@ Texas A&M- W (Top 40 RPI)
@LSU- W (Top 80 RPI)
South Carolina- W (Top 50 RPI)
Vanderbilt- W (Top 150 RPI)
@Ole Miss- W (Top 100 RPI)
Texas A&M- L (Top 40 RPI)
Kentucky - L (Currently #12 RPI)
@Alabama - W (Top 30 RPI)
Auburn - L (Currently #9 RPI)
@Mizzou - W (Top 40 RPI)
Luckily our conference is currently loaded with quality teams. That being said, we're gonna need to go on a streak. If we can manage to only have four more loses, it should be just enough to squeak into the tournament. If we can beat Kentucky or Auburn, that would help tremendously. Between Georgia, Alabama, LSU, South Carolina, and both Aggie games, we really should only lose one, but two would be manageable as long as Auburn and Kentucky are our only other loses. Have to sweep Ole Miss, take care of Ok. St, and Vandy. Loses to any of those teams would be detrimental. More than 8 conference loses would be really bad, so we need to beat Mizzou again as well, that's why I'm putting the cap on 4 more conference loses, although if we lose our last game to a good Mizzou team, we could potentially redeem ourselves in the tournament. I'm not a bracketology expert, but going 9-9 in conference is not tournament quality, need to have a winning record in conference play. I know these RPI's are going to change dramatically by the end of the season. As of right now though, this is how I believe we go dancing again.
The RPI's are updated as of today 1/18 ours is currently #25
Remaining Schedule
Ole Miss- W (Top 100 RPI)
@Georgia- L (Top 50 RPI)
Oklahoma St.-W (Top 110 RPI)
@ Texas A&M- W (Top 40 RPI)
@LSU- W (Top 80 RPI)
South Carolina- W (Top 50 RPI)
Vanderbilt- W (Top 150 RPI)
@Ole Miss- W (Top 100 RPI)
Texas A&M- L (Top 40 RPI)
Kentucky - L (Currently #12 RPI)
@Alabama - W (Top 30 RPI)
Auburn - L (Currently #9 RPI)
@Mizzou - W (Top 40 RPI)
Luckily our conference is currently loaded with quality teams. That being said, we're gonna need to go on a streak. If we can manage to only have four more loses, it should be just enough to squeak into the tournament. If we can beat Kentucky or Auburn, that would help tremendously. Between Georgia, Alabama, LSU, South Carolina, and both Aggie games, we really should only lose one, but two would be manageable as long as Auburn and Kentucky are our only other loses. Have to sweep Ole Miss, take care of Ok. St, and Vandy. Loses to any of those teams would be detrimental. More than 8 conference loses would be really bad, so we need to beat Mizzou again as well, that's why I'm putting the cap on 4 more conference loses, although if we lose our last game to a good Mizzou team, we could potentially redeem ourselves in the tournament. I'm not a bracketology expert, but going 9-9 in conference is not tournament quality, need to have a winning record in conference play. I know these RPI's are going to change dramatically by the end of the season. As of right now though, this is how I believe we go dancing again.
This post was edited on 1/18/18 at 12:10 pm
3
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:16 pm to HogFanfromHTown
I think all teams have to finish the season, never heard of a basketball team forfeiting the rest of a season.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:24 pm to Pigfeet
Perhaps our team should think about forfeiting.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:27 pm to HogFanfromHTown
quote:
If we can manage to only have four more loses, it should be just enough to squeak into the tournament.
That would put us at 10-8 in conference play, we will definitely be in with this. Most projections have us at 9-9 to end the year and still have us at the 8-10 seed range.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:30 pm to rockiee
I see us going 7-6 on the remaining schedule
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:35 pm to Pigfeet
Assuming we hold home court, which is not going to be easy or likely at this point. We would still need to get one road victory to reach 9-9. I really want to say we get above 9 wins but I think that is about right. We will most likely lose one or two home games and win a couple on the road.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:38 pm to rockiee
Would be really nice to get this win against Ole Miss and "steal" one on the road at Georgia before our mini break in conference play. Would get us back to .500 in conference.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:40 pm to rockiee
We need to steal 2 road games. And they can do it.
We need to get above that 7-10 seed bullshite if possible. Win out at home, beat two teams you aren't supposed to beat on the road.
We need to get above that 7-10 seed bullshite if possible. Win out at home, beat two teams you aren't supposed to beat on the road.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:42 pm to BoarEd
quote:
Win out at home, beat two teams you aren't supposed to beat on the road.
We are still not likely to get a 6 seed with that. Probably 7.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:46 pm to rockiee
If that's the case then so be it.
I guess it's better than being in the 12-14 range where you're almost certain to be one and done.
You gotta have a chance to build some momentum once you get to the tournament.
I guess it's better than being in the 12-14 range where you're almost certain to be one and done.
You gotta have a chance to build some momentum once you get to the tournament.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:50 pm to BoarEd
It would be nice to sit here and say that we could get a nice bump with a good sec tourney run but that don't give too much of a shite about that sadly. .
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:52 pm to rockiee
Depends on your number of regular season wins I reckon.
If you get to say, 22 wins, and then somehow win the SEC Tourney that gives you like 25 wins, right?
There won't be but just a few teams in the country that hit the 25 win mark.
If you get to say, 22 wins, and then somehow win the SEC Tourney that gives you like 25 wins, right?
There won't be but just a few teams in the country that hit the 25 win mark.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:54 pm to BoarEd
There's probably a better chance we make the NIT than the dance if you take off the rosy glasses.
I truly do NOT understand the collapse of this team playing together. Maybe it is my fault as we bought 2 tickets to the SEC tourney right after the TN game. Immediately after my CC cleared the team decides to revert to 1-1 jack up a 3 offense and just stop playing any semblance of defense once the ball crosses halfcourt.
Guards drive uncontested for a layup just about anytime they want against our perimeter 'defense'. We take more truly horrible shots than any team I can think of. Those are both directly laid upon coaching and effort.
Tis really sad. We should be a top 20 basketball program every year. We're not.
I truly do NOT understand the collapse of this team playing together. Maybe it is my fault as we bought 2 tickets to the SEC tourney right after the TN game. Immediately after my CC cleared the team decides to revert to 1-1 jack up a 3 offense and just stop playing any semblance of defense once the ball crosses halfcourt.
Guards drive uncontested for a layup just about anytime they want against our perimeter 'defense'. We take more truly horrible shots than any team I can think of. Those are both directly laid upon coaching and effort.
Tis really sad. We should be a top 20 basketball program every year. We're not.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 12:56 pm to BoarEd
quote:
Depends on your number of regular season wins I reckon.
If you get to say, 22 wins, and then somehow win the SEC Tourney that gives you like 25 wins, right?
There won't be but just a few teams in the country that hit the 25 win mark.
It really doesn't though, maybe if the tournament ended on Saturday but they are already pegging the teams in before the game is over that Sunday. You can get a little bump I suppose but it doesn't do that much for you. I think Coach Cal even talked about the tournament should end on Saturday last year because they basically don't look at the championship game unless of course a team that isn't in the field wins it.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 1:25 pm to BoarEd
quote:
beat two teams you aren't supposed to beat on the road.
Missed that boat last night.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 1:36 pm to STLhog
quote:
Missed that boat last night.
Disagree
Posted on 1/18/18 at 2:29 pm to BoarEd
quote:
Disagree
So which ones remain?
We've already blown MSU, Auburn and UF.
A&M? LSU? Ole Miss or Bama?
We're not winning any of those.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 2:31 pm to STLhog
quote:
A&M? LSU? Ole Miss or Bama?
We're not winning any of those.
We will win one of those, the problem is we won't hold home court.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 2:32 pm to rockiee
quote:
We will win one of those, the problem is we won't hold home court.
I don't see a win there.
We generally play awful at the Tad Pad, A&M will shoot lights out, LSU will shut us down defensively and Bama just has some long athletes.
Posted on 1/18/18 at 2:35 pm to STLhog
quote:
I don't see a win there.
I don't either but that really doesn't matter. Just by odds we will pull at least one of those outs.
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