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re: Bama by the Numbers - SECCG

Posted on 12/2/25 at 11:49 am to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105640 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 11:49 am to
quote:

I honestly think that Auburn would have beaten them earlier in the season if they had started Daniels instead of Arnold.


Freeze would still have a job and Auburn is likely 8-4 or 7-5 if they had played Daniels and spread things out all year. I get that Arnold was where the money was invested and a lot of Daniels good work is done in unscripted situations that you maybe don't see at practice, but it isn't like they didn't have 3 years of film of him at Stanford to see what he could maybe do.

Wild that Freeze waited THAT long to make the switch.
Posted by bamatide07
Member since Jan 2019
5504 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 11:52 am to
Auburn, for all the grief we give them, is a talented team who is far better than their 5-7 record indicates. They’re more talented than the Georgia Tech team that UGA just beat.
Posted by captainFid
Never apologize to barbarism
Member since Dec 2014
9111 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 12:24 pm to
quote:

Think we really need to reconsider how we're benchmarking Bama considering what they've had to do and where they've had to do it


If someone would have told me before the season started, Bama would finish 10 and 2, top seed for the SECCG, I would have been elated. The way they lost to FSU [again discussed often] had me concerned but this team has a lot of spunk and fight in them.
Posted by CrimsonBoz
Member since Sep 2014
19836 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 12:44 pm to
FYI the nerds picked the following

Daniel 24-20 Bama

Josh 27-24 Bama

LINK


Great write up btw Tide.

Good to see you George.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16126 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 1:27 pm to
quote:

Auburn, for all the grief we give them, is a talented team who is far better than their 5-7 record indicates.


The whole reaction to the iron bowl has been kind of funny to me. I absolutely wanted to see Alabama blow Auburn out, especially after they went up 17 early.

Having said that, the line was Bama by 5 1/2 points and the over under was 46.5. Is it really right to get terribly upset when the game played out exactly as predicted by the people whose job it is to make game predictions?


Posted by Robot Santa
Member since Oct 2009
46009 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 1:35 pm to
quote:

Freeze would still have a job and Auburn is likely 8-4 or 7-5 if they had played Daniels and spread things out all year. I get that Arnold was where the money was invested and a lot of Daniels good work is done in unscripted situations that you maybe don't see at practice, but it isn't like they didn't have 3 years of film of him at Stanford to see what he could maybe do.

Wild that Freeze waited THAT long to make the switch.


Freeze is a mediocre football coach on his best day who got incredibly lucky against Saban two years in row and still couldn't make it to Atlanta. His only real talents are selling snake oil and hookers to teenage boys and using Jesus as a figurative human shield.
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
105640 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 1:47 pm to
quote:

The whole reaction to the iron bowl has been kind of funny to me. I absolutely wanted to see Alabama blow Auburn out, especially after they went up 17 early.

Having said that, the line was Bama by 5 1/2 points and the over under was 46.5. Is it really right to get terribly upset when the game played out exactly as predicted by the people whose job it is to make game predictions?



Half the country was picking them to win straight up. The line was -5.5. They are a Top 25ish team by every advanced metric. The game was on the road at night. They've played every single team close the entire season - including holding 2nd half leads against Georgia, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt and Missouri.

Pretending that winning that game by 7 is some sort of negative indictment is laugh out loud hilarious.
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 1:48 pm
Posted by Diego Ricardo
Alabama
Member since Dec 2020
11275 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 3:20 pm to
I'm very frustrated with Alabama's inability to control a ball game but we've got to acknowledge that Auburn is basically as good as Alabama roster wise other than quarterback. That's the difference between 5-7 and 10-2 in this conference. Arnold had a few games where he was getting beat up behind his bad OL but he never made the half dozen clutch plays Ty did for us. That's the SEC in this era. It's like the NFL now where the margins are so tight because the rosters are more at parity (and generally thinner for the top teams), so it comes down to who has the good quarterback play.
Posted by JustGetItRight
Member since Jan 2012
16126 posts
Posted on 12/2/25 at 3:30 pm to
quote:

Pretending that winning that game by 7 is some sort of negative indictment is laugh out loud hilarious.


Taking that a step further, the last 5 trips to Auburn:

2017 - Undefeated, ranked #1, went on to win the natty. Auburn unranked. Lost by 12.
2019 - Ranked #5, Auburn ranked #15, Lost by 3.
2021 - Ranked #3, lost the national title game, Auburn unranked. Won in 4OT.
2023 - Ranked #8, Won the SECCG and made the playoffs. Auburn unranked. Won by 3 on a miracle 4th and 31 play.

2025 - A 7 point win in a game were Bama never trailed is quite literally the best performance at their place since Jake Coker was handing the ball to Derrick Henry - and even that game was 16-13 Bama going into the 4th.
This post was edited on 12/2/25 at 3:31 pm
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