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re: #1 Alabama vs #18 Mississippi State - Prelim SOG Scoring Predictive Model

Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:12 pm to
Posted by SummerOfGeorge
Member since Jul 2013
102699 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:12 pm to
The biggest thing State does is destroy teams on 3rd and long. If you stay ahead of the chains against them you are going to be ok.

S&P+ Stats
3rd and long Sucess Rate Defense : #4
3rd and medium Success Rate Defense : #38
3rd and short Success Rate Defense : #52

Standard Down Sack Rate : #70
Passing Down Sack Rate : #23

Posted by phil4bama
Emerald Coast of PCB
Member since Jul 2011
11455 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:34 pm to
Yeah if we can keep Tua clean, he should carve them up like a Thanksgiving Turkey.

I hate this game being where it is in the schedule every year. Coming down mentally and physically after the barroom brawl with LSU and we are their Super Bowl Every. Freaking. Year. I would love to swap them for our annual cupcake game but then we look like titty babies like L8U bitching about playing Florida every year.
This post was edited on 11/5/18 at 1:33 pm
Posted by Ghost of Barnwell
central alabama
Member since Dec 2013
1773 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 6:39 pm to
quote:

Looks good on paper, seems like always a let down in this game. Glad it is at home



Not even close....look for the Tide to dust off the “mush rush” Tebow gameplan and keep the state QB in front of them and not rush past him...force him to throw.
Game, set, match.....
Posted by Ghost of Barnwell
central alabama
Member since Dec 2013
1773 posts
Posted on 11/5/18 at 6:41 pm to
Yeah if we can keep Tua clean, he should carve them up like a Thanksgiving Turkey.

Our OL looked pretty darn good Saturday night against a pretty good defense.
Shouldnt be an issue this week....
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