Started By
Message
#1 Alabama vs #18 Mississippi State - Prelim SOG Scoring Predictive Model
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:15 pm
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:15 pm
#1 Alabama (8-0) vs #18 Mississippi State (6-3)
2:30 PM CST, CBS
Vegas Stats
Alabama : -25.5
O/U : not available
Expected Vegas Score per Odds : note available
STANDARD Prediction
Alabama - 29.8
Miss St - 10.6
Margin - Alabama +19.2
Alabama
Rushing Offense : 179 yards on 4.51 YPA (40 rushes)
Passing Offense : 317 yards on 9.51 YPA (33 passes)
Total Offense : 496 yards on 6.79 YPP (73 plays)
16.64 Yards Per Point
Miss St
Rushing Offense : 129 yards on 3.90 YPA (33 rushes)
Passing Offense : 112 yards on 4.32 YPA (26 passes)
Total Offense : 242 yards on 4.09 YPP (59 plays)
22.86 Yards Per Point
2:30 PM CST, CBS
Vegas Stats
Alabama : -25.5
O/U : not available
Expected Vegas Score per Odds : note available
STANDARD Prediction
Alabama - 29.8
Miss St - 10.6
Margin - Alabama +19.2
Alabama
Rushing Offense : 179 yards on 4.51 YPA (40 rushes)
Passing Offense : 317 yards on 9.51 YPA (33 passes)
Total Offense : 496 yards on 6.79 YPP (73 plays)
16.64 Yards Per Point
Miss St
Rushing Offense : 129 yards on 3.90 YPA (33 rushes)
Passing Offense : 112 yards on 4.32 YPA (26 passes)
Total Offense : 242 yards on 4.09 YPP (59 plays)
22.86 Yards Per Point
This post was edited on 11/4/18 at 8:51 pm
6
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:31 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Looks good on paper, seems like always a let down in this game. Glad it is at home
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:31 pm to SummerOfGeorge
I think this one will be close. We aren't 100% after the LSU game. Tua little dinged up, Ruggs banged up. Plus we never seem to be 100% following the LSU game every year.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:36 pm to Bamafan24
Yea I agree - I expect a Saban rant of epic proportions on Monday or Tuesday in his presser.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:38 pm to SummerOfGeorge
quote:
#1 Alabama vs #18 Mississippi State - Prelim SOG Scoring Predictive Model
quote:
SummerOfGeorge
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:42 pm to Bamafan24
Nah. They're really good on paper but the lack of a consistent passing game is a death sentence against us.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 4:57 pm to Bamafan24
WE are almost always have injuries after LSU game, but I don't think it's serious enough to warrant a close game against MSU. I don't anticpate anyone sitting out a game against MSU.. except for Harris.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 5:07 pm to Panthers4life
Is the freshman running back Ford redshirting?
Posted on 11/4/18 at 5:26 pm to SummerOfGeorge
Alabama 51
MSU 10
MSU 10
Posted on 11/4/18 at 5:30 pm to Sebastian
quote:
Is the freshman running back Ford redshirting?
I know I have seen Ford in at least 2 games this year.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 7:53 pm to UltimaParadox
I like our matchup better against state. Better up front than LSU but worse In the back end. And obviously we don't have the crowd messing us up either.
Posted on 11/4/18 at 8:45 pm to Kcstills17
quote:
I like our matchup better against state. Better up front than LSU but worse In the back end. And obviously we don't have the crowd messing us up either.
I agree with all this but it is balaced by the almost inevitable letdown coming off LSU.
I would be perfectly happy with an injury free 30-10 win.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 7:23 am to SummerOfGeorge
I think this is a worse matchup for us than L8U. Moo State has a very good pass rush.
Yes their offense is pretty one dimensional, but if you don’t hit Fitz square he keeps going.
We are pretty beat up after Sat night, I see this as the closest game we play till the SECCG.
Yes their offense is pretty one dimensional, but if you don’t hit Fitz square he keeps going.
We are pretty beat up after Sat night, I see this as the closest game we play till the SECCG.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 7:47 am to llfshoals
We should troll the hell out of them and everyone bring a cowbell. Hell even pipe that shite in too.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 8:07 am to Gj4Bama
Nah, we should be above trolling Mississippi State.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 8:13 am to Gj4Bama
quote:
We should troll the hell out of them and everyone bring a cowbell. Hell even pipe that shite in too.
Lets just beat their arse
Posted on 11/5/18 at 9:39 am to Bamafan24
quote:
I think this one will be close. We aren't 100% after the LSU game. Tua little dinged up, Ruggs banged up. Plus we never seem to be 100% following the LSU game every year.
Yep, and the MSU defense is really good, and Fitzgerald has been gaining confidence in the passing game. Wouldn't be surprised to see a 27-17 type final.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 11:23 am to SummerOfGeorge
Way more worried about this one than LSU just because of their D line. Gotta keep the Samoan off the turf.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 11:37 am to Bamadiver
quote:
Way more worried about this one than LSU just because of their D line. Gotta keep the Samoan off the turf.
The best passing team they have played so far is either Auburn or Texas A&M.
They gave up 4.3 YPC against Kentucky/Florida/Auburn.
I think we'll have pretty decent success against them. And we will murder their offense.
Posted on 11/5/18 at 12:09 pm to SummerOfGeorge
That's interesting. My initial thought thinking about MSU was that we might have trouble running the ball the way we want to, but that they would be vulnerable int he secondary. Looks like we can run it as much as we want to based on that.
Page 1 of 2
Latest Alabama News
Popular
Back to top
Follow SECRant for SEC Football News