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If UGA were to win out...
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:25 pm
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:25 pm
If UGA wins out (SECCG win as well, trust me I know, comical to imagine) would we by default go to the Sugar Bowl?
Just curious
Just curious
10
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:27 pm to Hullabaloo
Completely depends on how everyone else finishes out. There would still be an outside chance we could make the playoffs, but I think the Sugar Bowl would be more than likely.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:27 pm to Hullabaloo
Assuming we aren't in the top 4, yes Sugar Bowl by default against the B12 I believe.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:28 pm to Dawgsontop34
No chance they leave out the SEC winner
even at 2 losses
even at 2 losses
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:30 pm to AUGDawg
quote:
No chance they leave out the SEC winner
So if Ohio State, Baylor/TCU, Utah, and Clemson all have 0 losses, and hell let's say MSU only has 1 loss to boot...who gets bumped for a 2 loss UGA that lost to tennessee?
This post was edited on 10/21/15 at 12:32 pm
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:34 pm to WG_Dawg
Hell, throw in Utah or Stanford at one loss and I'd still leave UGA out.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:36 pm to Dawgsontop34
Yeah if things play out like they look like they're going to we dont' have a shot.
It would take a 2007-like situation where everyone in the top 5 starts losing every week for us to make it.
It would take a 2007-like situation where everyone in the top 5 starts losing every week for us to make it.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:42 pm to WG_Dawg
I think unless we dominate in the SECCG we don't have a snowballs chance in hell. But I figured it was a topic worth discussing solely because it's a bye week 
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:47 pm to AUGDawg
quote:
No chance they leave out the SEC winner
even at 2 losses
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:47 pm to WG_Dawg
If UGA wins out and beats a 1-loss Bama in the SECCG our resume ends up looking alot different than it does now.
Our only two losses would be against Bama and a close loss in an away game in which our Heisman candidate RB goes down on the first play.
Sure some other things would need to fall into place, but we'd be a relatively strong candidate at that point.
Our only two losses would be against Bama and a close loss in an away game in which our Heisman candidate RB goes down on the first play.
Sure some other things would need to fall into place, but we'd be a relatively strong candidate at that point.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:51 pm to RussIX
quote:
If UGA wins out and beats a 1-loss Bama in the SECCG our resume ends up looking alot different than it does now.
we'd be 1-1 against the best team we played and lost to a team that could finish 6-6.
Of OSU, MSU, Baylor, TCU, Clemson, and Utah...if any 4 of those go undefeated we don't have a remote chance in hell. Even if the 4 conference winners among that group all 4 have a loss, we still would need an absolute miracle.
quote:
we'd be a relatively strong candidate at that point.
Why, because of a win over bama (who we also lost to)?
Ok, what else? A good UF team that will probably be ranked around 15th, ok. Nobody else on our schedule is worth a shite and it's entirely possible none of our other wins would be over ranked teams.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 12:57 pm to WG_Dawg
Yeah, it's not really worth getting our hopes up. I'm still gonna root for teams like Utah to lose this week at USC, because that's the only shot we have, but the chances of that happening are probably below 10%.
Combine that with our chances of winning out we're probably looking at a 2% chance of making the playoff.
Combine that with our chances of winning out we're probably looking at a 2% chance of making the playoff.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:02 pm to Dawgsontop34
After our 2nd loss in 2007, we were ranked 23/24 after week 7 and ended up finishing 2nd, and with another break could have played for it all. It's not IMPOSSIBLE but it's hella unlikely.
Also we still had 3 ranked teams left to play that year, while as of now we only have 1.
Also we still had 3 ranked teams left to play that year, while as of now we only have 1.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:03 pm to Dawgsontop34
quote:
the chances of that happening are probably below 10%.
The chance of what happening? Utah losing this weekend? According to Vegas, they should. USC is favored this weekend.
The odds of Utah winning out are very small.
As is always the case towards the middle of the season, people assume that all the current undefeateds, or most of them, will win out just because they "should" win each game they play. The reality is that very few will end up undefeated - it's usually just 1 or 2. Even though a team should win each of their remaining 6 games, the likelihood of that actually happening is very, very small. Most will slip up along the way.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:04 pm to UGAalum08
quote:
The chance of what happening?
us making the playoff
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:14 pm to Hullabaloo
if we win out including the SECCG, we have to be playing balls to teh wall like the year we played in the Sugar Bowl and destroyed a hapless Hawaii team..and yes we would be in the playoffs. imo our presence, though, would probably eliminate any chance for a second SEC team in the final 4...and that would be SWEET!!
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:16 pm to Leghumper
quote:
if we win out including the SECCG, we have to be playing balls to teh wall like the year we played in the Sugar Bowl and destroyed a hapless Hawaii team..and yes we would be in the playoffs
so what about those potentially 6 undefeated or 1 loss teams ahead of us?
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:32 pm to WG_Dawg
there would have to be a lot of losses..
I think the playoff committee looks at the final rankings like this..
1. P5 Conf Champions
2. Records of those champions
3. Any team with a better record than a champion
So basically, we need the winners of the ACC, B12, BIG, PAC all to have 2 losses, and then we are in the discussion. And I really don't think a team , lets say LSU for example ( loses against Bama) has 1 loss and misses the CCG has any real shot.
Whether fans agree or not , the committee is putting a priority on having P5 conf champions in the playoffs and that trumps all tie breakers.
They would rather have 4 champs and one champ complaining, than 3 champs a non champ and 2 conferences complaining. And just because , we here in SEC country believe that our champion deserves to be in, that's not the feeling around the country. And with losses to Memphis, West Kentucky, Toledo, OT wins against Jax St, 5-7 records in bowls, blowout losses in NY6 bowls; there really isn't room to argue.
I think the playoff committee looks at the final rankings like this..
1. P5 Conf Champions
2. Records of those champions
3. Any team with a better record than a champion
So basically, we need the winners of the ACC, B12, BIG, PAC all to have 2 losses, and then we are in the discussion. And I really don't think a team , lets say LSU for example ( loses against Bama) has 1 loss and misses the CCG has any real shot.
Whether fans agree or not , the committee is putting a priority on having P5 conf champions in the playoffs and that trumps all tie breakers.
They would rather have 4 champs and one champ complaining, than 3 champs a non champ and 2 conferences complaining. And just because , we here in SEC country believe that our champion deserves to be in, that's not the feeling around the country. And with losses to Memphis, West Kentucky, Toledo, OT wins against Jax St, 5-7 records in bowls, blowout losses in NY6 bowls; there really isn't room to argue.
This post was edited on 10/21/15 at 1:34 pm
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:32 pm to Hullabaloo
IF we win out? I am just thinking about how we can avoid the Gayter bowl.
Posted on 10/21/15 at 1:40 pm to Hullabaloo
A lot of factors to consider. Not only would we need to win out but we would probably need other teams to lose and our wins going forward would probably need to be decisive. We won't be able to play crappy football and back into it.
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