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re: 2017 CFP National Championship -- Predictions Thread

Posted on 1/5/18 at 10:35 am to
Posted by smelvis
Member since Nov 2010
2107 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 10:35 am to
Agree with the synopsis. UGA’s rushing defense is by and large a mirage and will have to have safety help to keep Alabama from just playing slam up the middle for 3-4 yards per rush, which’ll turn into 5-6 yards later on. That leaves an obvious problem with Ridley and a talented surrounding cast being manned. Ridley is the best receiver UGA will have seen all year by a wide margin, dude runs NFL caliber routes, and may not be as fast as Cooper but is a superior overall receiver, IMO. He’s a huge mismatch. I think UGA people will be surprised at the amount of offense Alabama puts up and expect a similar performance from Alabama to the 2012 SEC Championship game. Unless your OC dips out.

Against your defense, that DL is ferocious and every position is superior to anything UGA has faced all year. Your backers aren’t as scary as what was there in the past, but I think your secondary is as good as any during the Saban era and I don’t see a single matchup with the UGA receivers that doesn’t favor the Tide. Facing them with a true freshman QB is a formidable task.
Posted by Sandwich
Georgia
Member since Sep 2012
6207 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 10:43 am to
quote:

UGA’s rushing defense is by and large a mirage


Please explain this shite....

The only Reason OU gashed us is because we were so scared we were going to get burned by Mayfield.

Bama has no one even close to Mayfield. OU's offense is I dare say 2X as lethal and explosive as Bamas, maybe 3x. There is reason we had 2 deep safeties that game, to prevent the deep ball. Mayfield caught us in it and killed us with draws and runs.

We don't have to worry abt that vs bama. Lets put it this way, I think we will sell out to stop the run and MAKE Hurts beat us through the air. Can he do it? Maybe, maybe not, but saying our run defense is a mirage is just dumb.
This post was edited on 1/5/18 at 10:44 am
Posted by BigDaddyDawg
Washington D.C.
Member since Sep 2017
1329 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 10:58 am to
24-21 Dawgs on top
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
45731 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 11:12 am to
quote:

He has a better career average, so what makes it ignorant?


This year, it wasn't really that close as to who was the better punter. It's ok to say JK Scott was not better this year.

He's top 5, and better than our guy IMO.
Posted by GurleyGirl
Georgia
Member since Nov 2015
14491 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 11:29 am to
Like most I'm expecting a fairly low scoring game. Something like: 31-27 Dawgs
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
45731 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 12:17 pm to
quote:

fairly low scoring game. Something like: 31-27 Dawgs


Not exactly sure that's low scoring
Posted by Riseupfromtherubble
You'll Never Walk Alone
Member since Jun 2011
39706 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 12:22 pm to
quote:

OU's offense is I dare say 2X as lethal and explosive as Bamas, maybe 3x


Explosive, yes..this might be a little hyperbolic though. They averaged about 5 more feet per play this year than Alabama. What Alabama may lack in the “explosion” department they make up for by not turning the football over, ranking first in that category. Alabama is more boa constrictor than tiger. Scoring a 60 yard touchdown and then turning the ball over at the 40 probably results in a 7-7 stalemate. Scoring on a 60 yard drive and then punting the next 2 possessions to inside the 20 probably results in a 7-0 lead. Alabama has been content for a while with “accruing” points over the course of the game and seeing where the chips fall at the end.

I expect to see single high safety looks from Georgia but I don’t expect them early. I think the ideal strategy for both is going to be two high and let’s see how we stop the run with 7, before risking Ridley or Godwin over the top in the first quarter
Posted by DawgCountry
Great State of GA
Member since Sep 2012
32691 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 12:29 pm to
quote:

31-27


the O/U is 45
Posted by smelvis
Member since Nov 2010
2107 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 12:54 pm to
quote:

Please explain this shite...


Georgia’s giving up 3.65 per rush attempt across the season to good teams and bad. Run take a look at who some of those yards came against and get back to me. Note also that Anderson and company were pretty much good for 5 yards at any time in the second half against Oklahoma. Kind of mind-boggling they didn’t go for it on fourth down in OT actually.

Alabama will have success running the ball.
Posted by DamnGoodDawg11
Ex-Atlanta
Member since Oct 2016
116 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 1:03 pm to
Dawgs win by 3. Vegas seems to think either Bama by 3 or Dawgs win.
Posted by RedPants
GA
Member since Jan 2013
5948 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 1:25 pm to
The more I think about the game the more pessimistic I get. They'll run it slightly better than the good guys.
Bama 24
UGA 14
Posted by GurleyGirl
Georgia
Member since Nov 2015
14491 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 1:33 pm to
quote:

Not exactly sure that's low scoring


I said "fairly Low scoring" which is different from low scoring. To me a low scoring game is something like 3 TD's by the winning team and 2 touchdowns by the loser. A high scoring game is say: 5 or TD's by the winner and 4 or more by the loser. But yea, that's just my perspective.

I'm expecting something more than a low scoring game; as I said, roughly 4 TD's by the winning team and 3 touchdowns by the loser. There will also be some field goals in the game because the defenses will make a few stops in the redzone.
Posted by fibonaccisquared
The mystical waters of the Hooch
Member since Dec 2011
16898 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 1:58 pm to
Team topping 30 points is not "fairly low scoring"... at best, it's an "average scoring game"... and in an SEC matchup, it's relatively high. With that said, in all fairness to you we just played a game where both teams were bumping up against 50 from both sides... granted it was 2OT, but still... In a relative sense, half of that is "fairly low scoring"... but that's probably not the greatest measuring stick.
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
10189 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 2:10 pm to
quote:

hat leaves an obvious problem with Ridley and a talented surrounding cast being manned. Ridley is the best receiver UGA will have seen all year by a wide margin, dude runs NFL caliber routes, and may not be as fast as Cooper but is a superior overall receiver, IMO. He’s a huge mismatch.


You do realize Jalen Hurts is his QB, right? Bama could start prime Jerry Rice and it wouldn't matter if Jalen Hurts is still their quarterback.
Posted by DaWGfan01
PCB FL
Member since Dec 2017
1479 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 2:15 pm to
I'm thinking 31-24 for the good guys (UGA)


Sure fricking hope I'm right!!
Posted by Dawgsontop34
Member since Jun 2014
45731 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 2:17 pm to
I mean, Jalen Hurts isn’t bad. I don’t know why you’re acting like he’s Felipe Franks.
Posted by GeorgiaBoy
Member since Sep 2013
1982 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 2:20 pm to
I don't care if it's 1-0...as long as UGA has 1.
Posted by mmmmmbeeer
ATL
Member since Nov 2014
10189 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 2:24 pm to
He's inconsistent and overrated. There's a reason Bama fans can't wait for him to move on so they can finally start Tua.
Posted by DawgsLife
Ellijay, Ga.
Member since Jun 2013
61922 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 3:00 pm to
quote:

We got a blocked FG for a TD and Murray hit several deep balls that day


We might need the same thing this year. I think it will be a slobberknocker.
















Yep. I said it. Slobberknocker.
Posted by smelvis
Member since Nov 2010
2107 posts
Posted on 1/5/18 at 3:02 pm to
quote:

There's a reason Bama fans can't wait for him to move on so they can finally start Tua.


Any Alabama fan saying they want Hurts gone doesn’t know what they’re talking about. The guy is an absolute gamer and has ridiculous ability to extend plays and turn a missed tackle or a bad angle into a TD.
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