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re: Big-Time Recruiting is now controlled by 20 programs

Posted on 1/25/17 at 3:11 pm to
Posted by BowlJackson
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2013
52881 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 3:11 pm to
quote:

You should agree with me seeing as Alabama literally has double the talent Auburn does.


They have arguably the best coach in CFB on the best run in CFB history. It makes sense that more guys want to go there right now. 10 years ago when they hired Saban we had literally double the talent they had. It's a competition. This is how competitive things work. Why would that upset me? You come across like a pussy.

The NFL is a business. They're grown men. There's laws against monopolies. CFB is teenagers deciding where to go to school. They should be free to go where they choose. If you can't see the difference it's because you're being a whiny bitch who chooses not to.

But of course it's the Mississippi State and Mizzou fans arguing for further scholarship limits
85 is a perfectly reasonable number when you consider roster needs throughout the course of a full season and the fact that if there's an injury a CFB can't just go out and sign an adequate replacement from free agency like an NFL team can.
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
88721 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 3:16 pm to
quote:

Unfortunately there really isn't any way to make sure talent gets distributed more evenly


dafuq? Why should it be?

This isn't pro sports where one team can have a massively higher payroll than another team and just buy out all the talent. Kids pick and choose where they want to go of their own free will.

Sorry that more kids want to play for alabama than they do for iowa state. There's nothing that can, or should, be done about that.
Posted by RB10
Member since Nov 2010
47525 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 3:22 pm to
quote:

Promoting an even playing field to improve the sport (a product, not a nation), is good business.


This is true for leagues with less than 40 teams, but even then you have your "winners" and your "losers". You cannot expect parity in college sports though. It's just not feasible.
This post was edited on 1/25/17 at 3:25 pm
Posted by UAtide11
Member since Apr 2014
2190 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 3:51 pm to
quote:

Big-Time Recruiting is now controlled by 20 programs


You make it seem like this is some new development. These same schools have won virtually every single title over the last 50 years. It's kind of the chicken-and-the-egg situation.

The only school that has had sustained national championship level success that isn't in that list is Nebraska.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:14 pm to
quote:

College football is broken, we've known this for several years now.


It's the "Haves" vs. the "Have Nots" nowadays, and quite honestly there are only about 15-20 programs who even have a shot at winning a National Title.

You have to either have (1) a fantastic football tradition, (2) amazing facilities that wow recruits, (3) a location near a fertile recruiting area, and/or (4) a very high-paid quality coaching staff with a gigantic behind-the-scenes support staff. Really it needs to be all 4 or at least a combination of some of those 4.

There are only a handful of programs that have all this:

Florida State and Clemson from the ACC
Texas and Oklahoma from the BIG 12
USC and Oregon from the PAC 12
Ohio State and Michigan from the BIG 10
Notre Dame

... And from the SEC its really just the "Big 6" plus Texas A&M.

Arkansas, Ole Miss, Mississippi State, South Carolina, etc. might be able to come closer if they were in some of these other conferences. But the SEC is so jam-packed, they are never going to rise to the Top over those other 7 for a sustained period of time.

Programs that are close:

Oklahoma State: They have the financial backing and facilities.... not the football tradition.

Miami: They've got the tradition, but lack the financial support and facilities.

Nebraska: They certainly have the tradition, but lack the location to draw top-notch talent

Wisconsin: They are essentially Nebraska except without the tradition

Take a look at every team that has played for a National Title in recent years, and they'll be from that list:

2016: Clemson vs. Alabama
2015: Alabama vs. Clemson
2014: Ohio State vs. Oregon
2013: Florida State vs. Auburn
2012: Alabama vs. Notre Dame
2011: Alabama vs. LSU
2010: Auburn vs. Oregon
2009: Alabama vs. Texas
2008: Florida vs. Oklahoma
2007: LSU vs. Ohio State
2006: Florida vs. Ohio State
2005: Texas vs. USC
2004: USC vs. Oklahoma
2003: LSU vs. Oklahoma

You have to go back to 2002 to find a team not on the list above that played for a National Title: Miami

In 2001, Miami and Nebraska played for it.
In 1999, Virginia Tech played for it.

I honestly believe that sine 2002, the college football arms race kicked into such a gear, that programs like Nebraska and Virginia Tech are no longer capable of making a National Title Game.

Meanwhile a program like Oregon is very capable because of their recruiting and facilities.

It's certainly a new day.
This post was edited on 1/25/17 at 4:15 pm
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:25 pm to
quote:

ou make it seem like this is some new development.


Relatively new, yes.

quote:

These same schools have won virtually every single title over the last 50 years.


Nebraska is no longer capable of winning National Titles.... they won 3 in the 1990s and played for another in 2001.

Penn State is not currently capable of winning a National Title... not with the way they've recruited over the last decade+... they won 2 National Titles in the 1980s.

BYU won a Title in 1984. They will never win another one.

Georgia Tech and Colorado shared the Title in 1990. They will never win another one.

Washington won a National Title in 1991. They'll likely never win another one.


There you have 6 programs accounting for 9 Titles won in the previous 50 seasons. None of those will likely ever win another title again, barring a Phil Knight type booster dumping hundreds of millions of dollars into their program.
Posted by UAtide11
Member since Apr 2014
2190 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:30 pm to
quote:

Relatively new, yes.


It's not, those 20 teams have dominated for 50 years. If you count the 'split' titles, they've accounted for over 90% of them.

quote:

Washington won a National Title in 1991. They'll likely never win another one.


Washington was literally in the playoff this year.

Boise State came really close a couple times in the past decade or so. Va Tech came close to crashing a couple times in the decade or so prior. You've got to remember that those Colorado and BYU titles were pre-BCS, which would have likely enabled the aforementioned to get a title or two.

It's the same as it has always been, the top 25 or so programs have the best players and win nearly all the championships.
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:45 pm to
quote:

Washington was literally in the playoff this year.


And they were manhandled by Bama, despite Bama playing one of their worst games of the season.

Washington has one of the best head coaches in all of CFB. For that reason, they are very capable of producing Top 5 or Top 10 teams... along with "lesser" programs like Wisconsin, etc... but Washington is not recruiting well enough to win a National Title.

It's one thing to eek your way into a playoff despite losing to USC. But in this day in age, a team like that has got to beat not just one, but TWO quality opponents in the playoff. Washington does not have the talent to make it through that gauntlet.

quote:

Boise State came really close a couple times in the past decade or so.


Boise State played no one in the regular season, so therefore won enough games to be "in the discussion." That does not mean they have the talent to beat two other playoff teams to win a National Title. There is no way.

quote:

Va Tech came close to crashing a couple times in the decade or so prior.


Exactly. Back in the 1990s... as I explained to you, this is a relatively new phenomenon.

Penn State won the Title in 1982
Miami won the Title in 1983
BYU won the Title in 1984
Penn State won the Title in 1986
Miami won the Title in 1987
Miami won the Title in 1989
Georgia Tech won a Title in 1990
Miami won a Title in 1990
Washington won a Title in 1991
Nebraska PLAYED for a Title in 1993
Nebraska won a Title in 1994
Nebraska won a Title in 1995
Nebraska won a Title in 1997
Virginia Tech PLAYED for a Title in 1999
Miami won a National Title in 2001
Nebraska PLAYED for a Title in 2001
Miami PLAYED for a Title in 2002

... and since then none of those programs have really had a chance.

Miami has the tradition and the recruiting territory to get back into the club, but for the past 10 years or so they've not recruited well enough to win a Title. Also, now that the football arms race is such a big deal in recruiting, they are trailing way behind in the facilities category.

So its to be seen whether Richt can get Miami back into the Club... for a decade now though, they have not been there and honestly show no signs of getting there.

Since 2003, only 12 programs have even PLAYED for a National Title in 14 seasons. Twelve of those 14 programs have played for it on multiple occasions.

The Georgia Tech's and BYU's are no longer breaking through. Those days are long gone now. That wasn't the case in the 1980s and 1990s.
This post was edited on 1/25/17 at 4:47 pm
Posted by WG_Dawg
Member since Jun 2004
88721 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

Washington won a National Title in 1991. They'll likely never win another one.


quote:

Washington was literally in the playoff this year.


and didn't win.


I'm not taking anything away from them either, hell of a season, but let's not pretend it wasn't a blip on the radar. They have an extremely good coach that is maxing them out, but the second he's gone do you really think Washington is going to contend year in and year out? Of course they aren't. Teams like bama, ohio state, etc are always going to be up there regardless of who the coach is.
Posted by JamalSanders
On a boat
Member since Jul 2015
12183 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:46 pm to
quote:

I think you could keep everything as is and implement a salary cap.


Title 9 prevents that and will never allow college football players to get paid.
Posted by Frac the world
The Centennial State
Member since Oct 2014
19406 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:50 pm to
quote:

Unfortunately there really isn't any way to make sure talent gets distributed more evenly so this snow ball effect will just continue.


This is the saddest crybaby liberal shitpost I've seen today, did you vote for Bernie?

It's called getting a good coach, put money into your program, develop your players, and get better. You want handouts so you can compete in recruiting? Give me a break, kids wanna go where they wanna go. It's the same thing in every collegiate sport.
Posted by AUCE05
Member since Dec 2009
43826 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:53 pm to
I would like to see a list of schools who invest more in recruiting. I would wager those schools are well represented on the OPs list. Why should we even the playing field for teams who don't care?
Posted by BHMKyle
Birmingham, AL
Member since Feb 2013
5076 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 4:58 pm to
quote:

I'm not taking anything away from them either, hell of a season, but let's not pretend it wasn't a blip on the radar.


Bingo

Since 2003, here is how many times each program has PLAYED for a National Title:

5- Alabama
3- LSU
3- Ohio State
3- Oklahoma
2- Auburn
2- Clemson
2- Florida
2- Oregon
2- Texas
2- USC
1- Florida STate
1- Notre Dame

It's been the same 12 programs occupying all 28 spots in National Title games sine 2003. And in all likelihood, we're going to continue to see some combination of those teams playing for it every single year from this point on.

There are 4 programs right now who I think could be added to those if they get their stuff together:

(1) Georgia
We've recruited well enough. Five of our previous 6 classes were ranked in the Top 8 nationally. We'll likely land the #2 or #3 class this year. We're in a hot-bead of talent, and we have enough tradition that it doesn't hold us back like some other programs who have never won anything or come close. We have excellent facilities that are likely Top 10 nationally. The pieces are all there, we just have to finally get over that hump.

(2) Michigan
Michigan is loaded with tradition. They've got excellent facilities and tons of booster support. They are very close with Harbaugh to playing for National Titles again... might take a few more years though.

(3) Tennessee
Tennessee has plenty of tradition and great facilities. They won a Title as recently as 1998. While the Smokies aren't loaded with talent, they aren't too far from talent in Georgia and the Carolinas.

(4) Texas A&M
Texas A&M has always been a sleeping giant. They have too much money and are located amongst way too much talent not to be better (I know some can say the same thing about Georgia). Before jumping into the SEC, I would not have included them in the group. But their facilities are now arguably the best in the nation. They have the support and are located in an epicenter for talent.

While its impossible to know for sure, I would actually be willing to bet that the 16 programs mentioned above will be the only teams to win a title in the next 25 years. I would be shocked if another team was able to.

Penn State, Miami and maybe a few others are capable of getting back into the Club, but they are not there now and haven't been for quite some time.

Every year or two a program like Washington will make the playoff. And there is a chance that once a decade that type of team will pull a playoff upset and advance to the Title Game. But its asking too much for them to do that twice. They just aren't going to win it all.
This post was edited on 1/25/17 at 5:01 pm
Posted by Reservoir dawg
Member since Oct 2013
14831 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 5:04 pm to
Are you gonna do your homework, or have your mom do it for you? Quit wasting your education spending time on the rant. Ok, man..
Posted by BowlJackson
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2013
52881 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 5:09 pm to
I'm 25 years old bro. Old enough to know that Mississippi State is going to be struggling to get to .500 every year like this season without your GOAT QB. Sorry you're butt hurt that I pointed out that you suck, have always sucked, and will always continue to suck. It's not that "The Man" is out to keep down the little guy, it's literally just that your program is shitty and not capable of winning at a high level. End of story. Deal with it.
Posted by JesusQuintana
St Louis
Member since Oct 2013
33366 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 5:22 pm to
Damn dude...

Chill with the Rant post
Posted by RLDSC FAN
Rancho Cucamonga, CA
Member since Nov 2008
56293 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 5:30 pm to
quote:

Washington was literally in the playoff this year.

And they were manhandled by Bama, despite Bama playing one of their worst games of the season.


Don't you think UWs defense had something to do with that? His point is they're awfully close, so it's not impossible. VTech, with Fuentes, will be another program on the rise. Yes, it's much, much harder for these programs, and they'll never reload the way a Bama or OSU can, but a title can be accomplished from time to time. UW defense was elite, they just didn't have the QB to win it all (Browning is wildly overrated, IMO) Put Darnold or Watson on that team and it's a different story.
Posted by BowlJackson
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2013
52881 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 5:33 pm to
Posted by Reservoir dawg
Member since Oct 2013
14831 posts
Posted on 1/25/17 at 9:29 pm to
So how butthurt, or sick do you get when we beat you in football?

Sick scale 1-10

#1 - mild discomfort w/ or without diarrhea

#10 - unbearable abdominal pain w/ vomiting diarrhea, vomiting bile after meals, fever, skin infections/ulcerations night sweats, tachycardia, sexual dysfunction, and loose stools for > than 1 month.
Posted by BowlJackson
Birmingham, AL
Member since Sep 2013
52881 posts
Posted on 1/26/17 at 1:38 am to
7.3

It's pretty damn embarrassing to lose to a program the caliber of Mississippi State
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