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re: A&M leads for Speedy Noil per LSU recruiting analyst James Smith
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:21 pm to tiggerthetooth
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:21 pm to tiggerthetooth
This post was edited on 7/24/13 at 10:22 pm
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:23 pm to LSUNV
LSU's "Dream team" class has a lot more of a chance to fall short
It will still be a good class, how Miles and staff fills the holes and adds some depth to the roster will determine how effective the class is
That is how you measure a good recruiting staff
It will still be a good class, how Miles and staff fills the holes and adds some depth to the roster will determine how effective the class is
That is how you measure a good recruiting staff
This post was edited on 7/24/13 at 10:25 pm
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:24 pm to LSUNV
quote:
Dey gunna be mad on NS day
Their opinions clearly reveal how little they've followed recruiting for the last decade.
Lump that onto the fact that they've got tunnel vision in regards to their own team and its what you see.
Hopefully they can join the rest of the SEC in a more open recruiting perspective because lots of SEC schools are jarring for the same recruits (At least the top schools), but it's not likely to happen because they aren't going to go into other states of other SEC schools and take serious players often, if at all, and almost all SEC schools take very little from Texas because they don't need Texas as a recruiting base like A&M does and will.
This post was edited on 7/24/13 at 10:26 pm
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:25 pm to BuccWildBammer
quote:
LSU's "Dream team" class has a lot more of a chance to fall short
It will still be a good class, how Miles and staff fills the holes and adds some depth to the roster
That is how you measure a good recruiting staff
Obviously, and he's done very well at that before. I'm sure he's well aware. At the same time, I'm also confident he sees the long term better than anyone here, so the depth in one class isn't entirely indicative of the program depth in years to come.
This post was edited on 7/24/13 at 10:30 pm
Posted on 7/24/13 at 10:29 pm to ShaneTheLegLechler
quote:
can confidently say you spend far too much time worrying and thinking about us
Nah, I would just rather throw out the facts and let you see for yourself as opposed to continuously bantering back and forth. Enjoy.
This post was edited on 7/25/13 at 2:21 am
Posted on 7/25/13 at 12:29 am to tiggerthetooth
Problem with too many LSU folks is they act as though the last decade or so is ALL that matters. They assume things can't change.
It just hasn't always been that way. It certainly wasn't that way when I was in school and back then A&M wasn't nearly as rich and powerful as it is now and it sure as hell wasn't in the SEC. If you don't think those things will factor in over the coming years you have your head in the sand.
LSU will always do great in LA and they will always get a few kids from Texas (esp East Texas and the Golden Triangle). No one is arguing that. The thing is A&M is going to continue to make further strides there as well. A&M has deep connections to LA, a lot of them have just been dormant the last decade with LSU at their peak and A&M at their bottom. LSU has had more success since 2000 than in the previous 100 years of football and by a good margin. A&M has had its longest drought without a conference title in its entire history. If A&M wasn't committed to football success or didn't have the resources that would be one thing but that isn't the case. It can all shift quickly.
It's like Texas folks that said A&M would always get beat by them in recruiting a couple years ago (which had been true for a decade) only to see A&M destroying Texas now in battle after battle.
It is a gradual process but it is happening. Will A&M pull of a Noil or Willis this year? Maybe or maybe not, but A&M is gradually making deeper and deeper inroads back in to LA.
I also know I am longwinded as hell and annoy a lot of you.
I have thought of changing my user name to Tolstoy or maybe making this my new sig:
It just hasn't always been that way. It certainly wasn't that way when I was in school and back then A&M wasn't nearly as rich and powerful as it is now and it sure as hell wasn't in the SEC. If you don't think those things will factor in over the coming years you have your head in the sand.
LSU will always do great in LA and they will always get a few kids from Texas (esp East Texas and the Golden Triangle). No one is arguing that. The thing is A&M is going to continue to make further strides there as well. A&M has deep connections to LA, a lot of them have just been dormant the last decade with LSU at their peak and A&M at their bottom. LSU has had more success since 2000 than in the previous 100 years of football and by a good margin. A&M has had its longest drought without a conference title in its entire history. If A&M wasn't committed to football success or didn't have the resources that would be one thing but that isn't the case. It can all shift quickly.
It's like Texas folks that said A&M would always get beat by them in recruiting a couple years ago (which had been true for a decade) only to see A&M destroying Texas now in battle after battle.
It is a gradual process but it is happening. Will A&M pull of a Noil or Willis this year? Maybe or maybe not, but A&M is gradually making deeper and deeper inroads back in to LA.
I also know I am longwinded as hell and annoy a lot of you.
Posted on 7/25/13 at 2:20 am to aggressor
The difference is that LSU didn't assume the same amount of of success that A&M assumes after 1 solid season.
A&M assumes their rise to an elite program is imminent and certain. LSU at least gave it it several seasons before anointing themselves anything.
I don't mind the optimism, but do not think there is not a possibility of A&M NOT progressing from here as a program is silly because they most certainly can, and all it takes it pointing to their history as evidence to say they won't improve from here. No it doesn't guarantee it, but I'd rather base my judgment of A&M football over the course of a 10 year span than one single season if I had to choose.
Things can change, but you don't leave any doubt that they might not in the way you talk.
Yes, they might change, but they might NOT. You simply pick the side of the coin you like, and the accuse others of picking the other side that you didn't pick.
Likewise here UTx fans should have never assumed that it would without a doubt always be that way. I understand its fun to throw it in their face.
And, A&M is not destroying Texas in recruiting like Texas was destroying A&M in recruiting just 2 years ago. Texas is still recruiting well. Are they getting a class chock full of blue chips? Not completely, but they have a roster of top 10 classes stacked on each other regardless of record which I know you'd love to bring up.
If A&M can say that in 4 years then I think you Aggies would be pretty damn happy.
You forget that Texas only won 1 less game than A&M last season and consistently reports "destroying" Texas at everything now as if Texas is dead and in the water as a program. They are the richest athletic program in America and you're a fool if you think they'll fade in Texas. Do you know any Texas alumni that are okay with their situation? They won't let it last long.
Also, look at the recruiting rankings.....last I checked Texas also had a top 10 class.....that's not entirely a sign of a team fading into mediocrity....
TAMU #6, UTx-#7-247Sports
UTx #5, TAMU #9-Rivals
Texas #7, TAMU #5-Scout
We all know ESPN sucks but....
UTx #6, TAMU #9
In conclusion, by no reputable recruiting service or any recruiting service period is A&M measured as "destroying" Texas.
A&M assumes their rise to an elite program is imminent and certain. LSU at least gave it it several seasons before anointing themselves anything.
I don't mind the optimism, but do not think there is not a possibility of A&M NOT progressing from here as a program is silly because they most certainly can, and all it takes it pointing to their history as evidence to say they won't improve from here. No it doesn't guarantee it, but I'd rather base my judgment of A&M football over the course of a 10 year span than one single season if I had to choose.
quote:
It just hasn't always been that way. It certainly wasn't that way when I was in school and back then A&M wasn't nearly as rich and powerful as it is now and it sure as hell wasn't in the SEC. If you don't think those things will factor in over the coming years you have your head in the sand.
Things can change, but you don't leave any doubt that they might not in the way you talk.
Yes, they might change, but they might NOT. You simply pick the side of the coin you like, and the accuse others of picking the other side that you didn't pick.
quote:
It's like Texas folks that said A&M would always get beat by them in recruiting a couple years ago (which had been true for a decade) only to see A&M destroying Texas now in battle after battle.
Likewise here UTx fans should have never assumed that it would without a doubt always be that way. I understand its fun to throw it in their face.
And, A&M is not destroying Texas in recruiting like Texas was destroying A&M in recruiting just 2 years ago. Texas is still recruiting well. Are they getting a class chock full of blue chips? Not completely, but they have a roster of top 10 classes stacked on each other regardless of record which I know you'd love to bring up.
If A&M can say that in 4 years then I think you Aggies would be pretty damn happy.
You forget that Texas only won 1 less game than A&M last season and consistently reports "destroying" Texas at everything now as if Texas is dead and in the water as a program. They are the richest athletic program in America and you're a fool if you think they'll fade in Texas. Do you know any Texas alumni that are okay with their situation? They won't let it last long.
Also, look at the recruiting rankings.....last I checked Texas also had a top 10 class.....that's not entirely a sign of a team fading into mediocrity....
TAMU #6, UTx-#7-247Sports
UTx #5, TAMU #9-Rivals
Texas #7, TAMU #5-Scout
We all know ESPN sucks but....
UTx #6, TAMU #9
In conclusion, by no reputable recruiting service or any recruiting service period is A&M measured as "destroying" Texas.
This post was edited on 7/25/13 at 2:32 am
Posted on 7/25/13 at 8:51 am to tiggerthetooth
Of course it is possible that A&M could fall back into mediocrity, that can happen anywhere. The reason it is highly unlikely is the commitment level has completely changed from an administrative, financial, and resource perspective. I have been following A&M football closely since the early 80's and the level of commitment now is even stronger than it was when A&M brought in Jackie Sherrill. I also don't think it can be stated strongly enough what a difference having A&M be the only SEC team in Texas makes.
My point on Texas vs A&M was in head to head recruiting battles, not in rankings. It was very rare A&M could beat out Texas in any head to head battles only 3 years ago. That started to change 2 years ago when A&M got Thomas Johnson to decommit from Texas and got several other commits to make late visits to CS. Last year it picked up more momentum as A&M won the majority of head to heads for the first time in a very long time. For 2014 and 2015 A&M is cleaning up on the head to head battles and getting multiple long time Texas leans to switch almost at will. In 2 years Texas has gone from refusing to even make offers until their first Junior Day to desperately trying to load up on 3 Star level talent Sophomores.
Texas won't stay down forever, that is true. You could argue they haven't fallen that far. The problem for them now though is they are stuck in the Big 12 and A&M is in the SEC. The financial and resource advantage over A&M now is also negligible. Their political power in the State is at an all time low as well. The problem is going to be that the SEC has separated itself from the Big 12 and every other conference by such a wide margin. Texas isn't ever getting in to the SEC and that's going to make it incredibly difficult to dominate the media exposure like they once did in the State. They will be back but they won't be able to dominate like they did in the '00s. In the '00s Texas was not only winning like crazy they dominated the media, they had a massive resource advantage, they had far superior facilities, and the RRS was one of the biggest games in college football every year and almost always a Top 10 or Top 5 matchup that determined the Big 12 Champ. I just don't see how they get back to that place anytime soon. A&M's SEC move puts Texas at a structural disadvantage for the first time ever, no matter how much they spend they can't fix that.
There is also a flip side to the "1 good season" argument. It is true, A&M hasn't really done anything yet. No championships. Yet in spite of that A&M is already competing toe to toe with all of the schools around them that have. LSU can no longer tell Texas kids that if they want to play in the SEC they are the closest option. LA kids don't have to look at going to A&M as having to play a Big 12 schedule with games against far away teams they aren't familiar with. It's just a different playing field now.
What do you think happens if A&M does break through? Last time they did in the mid '80s they took over Texas recruiting and dominated for a decade and we were didn't have half the resources then that we do now. The best comparison to where A&M is right now is Florida right after they hired Spurrier. A sleeping giant with massive resources that has awoken and is focusing on football. The giant could always go back to sleep but that seems very unlikely.
My point on Texas vs A&M was in head to head recruiting battles, not in rankings. It was very rare A&M could beat out Texas in any head to head battles only 3 years ago. That started to change 2 years ago when A&M got Thomas Johnson to decommit from Texas and got several other commits to make late visits to CS. Last year it picked up more momentum as A&M won the majority of head to heads for the first time in a very long time. For 2014 and 2015 A&M is cleaning up on the head to head battles and getting multiple long time Texas leans to switch almost at will. In 2 years Texas has gone from refusing to even make offers until their first Junior Day to desperately trying to load up on 3 Star level talent Sophomores.
Texas won't stay down forever, that is true. You could argue they haven't fallen that far. The problem for them now though is they are stuck in the Big 12 and A&M is in the SEC. The financial and resource advantage over A&M now is also negligible. Their political power in the State is at an all time low as well. The problem is going to be that the SEC has separated itself from the Big 12 and every other conference by such a wide margin. Texas isn't ever getting in to the SEC and that's going to make it incredibly difficult to dominate the media exposure like they once did in the State. They will be back but they won't be able to dominate like they did in the '00s. In the '00s Texas was not only winning like crazy they dominated the media, they had a massive resource advantage, they had far superior facilities, and the RRS was one of the biggest games in college football every year and almost always a Top 10 or Top 5 matchup that determined the Big 12 Champ. I just don't see how they get back to that place anytime soon. A&M's SEC move puts Texas at a structural disadvantage for the first time ever, no matter how much they spend they can't fix that.
There is also a flip side to the "1 good season" argument. It is true, A&M hasn't really done anything yet. No championships. Yet in spite of that A&M is already competing toe to toe with all of the schools around them that have. LSU can no longer tell Texas kids that if they want to play in the SEC they are the closest option. LA kids don't have to look at going to A&M as having to play a Big 12 schedule with games against far away teams they aren't familiar with. It's just a different playing field now.
What do you think happens if A&M does break through? Last time they did in the mid '80s they took over Texas recruiting and dominated for a decade and we were didn't have half the resources then that we do now. The best comparison to where A&M is right now is Florida right after they hired Spurrier. A sleeping giant with massive resources that has awoken and is focusing on football. The giant could always go back to sleep but that seems very unlikely.
Posted on 7/25/13 at 11:02 am to tiggerthetooth
quote:
Also, look at the recruiting rankings.....last I checked Texas also had a top 10 class.....that's not entirely a sign of a team fading into mediocrity....
TAMU #6, UTx-#7-247Sports
UTx #5, TAMU #9-Rivals
Texas #7, TAMU #5-Scout
We all know ESPN sucks but....
UTx #6, TAMU #9
In conclusion, by no reputable recruiting service or any recruiting service period is A&M measured as "destroying" Texas.
If you think a bunch of 2-3 stars and a couple low 4 stars are going to keep them in the top 10 you're dreaming. They have 21 commits right now and are probably barely going to break top 20 at the end of the year whereas A&M has a fantastic shot at top 5; almost certainly top 10.
Posted on 7/25/13 at 12:11 pm to BuccWildBammer
quote:
LSU's "Dream team" class has a lot more of a chance to fall short
Posted on 7/25/13 at 1:00 pm to MMB5DAP
quote:
If you think a bunch of 2-3 stars and a couple low 4 stars are going to keep them in the top 10 you're dreaming. They have 21 commits right now and are probably barely going to break top 20 at the end of the year whereas A&M has a fantastic shot at top 5; almost certainly top 10.
247Sports paints a diff picture....but you can believe in the one site that confirms your bias against Texas if you want to.
LINK
Posted on 7/25/13 at 2:14 pm to tiggerthetooth
They have 21 commits with 9 4 Stars, 11 3 Stars, and 1 2 Star. So they are almost full. Most of their 4 Stars are borderline as well and their highest rated player is Heard that is no where near the QB that Kyle Allen is. A really good QB for sure but not really a headliner. The only big head to head win against A&M of the group is Alaka who said he saw the chance for play time as his deciding factor and didn't like how A&M was already so loaded up at LB in the last 2 classes.
It's a nice class for sure but will likely end up in the Top 15-20ish range. Texas isn't really leading on many big targets, certainly nothing to compare to how A&M is a virtual lock for Myles Garrett and is very much in the mix for at least 5 other Top 100 players. Their average is 87.84 while A&M is at 91.61, so A&M has a higher rating with 7 less commits.
If you look at 2015 they are loading up but most of them are in the back half of the Top 100 in Texas, pure 3 Star territory.
It's a nice class for sure but will likely end up in the Top 15-20ish range. Texas isn't really leading on many big targets, certainly nothing to compare to how A&M is a virtual lock for Myles Garrett and is very much in the mix for at least 5 other Top 100 players. Their average is 87.84 while A&M is at 91.61, so A&M has a higher rating with 7 less commits.
If you look at 2015 they are loading up but most of them are in the back half of the Top 100 in Texas, pure 3 Star territory.
Posted on 7/25/13 at 2:23 pm to PetroAg
Noil is the nephew of Frank Wilson.
Posted on 7/25/13 at 3:06 pm to tiggerthetooth
quote:
quote:
If you think a bunch of 2-3 stars and a couple low 4 stars are going to keep them in the top 10 you're dreaming. They have 21 commits right now and are probably barely going to break top 20 at the end of the year whereas A&M has a fantastic shot at top 5; almost certainly top 10.
247Sports paints a diff picture....but you can believe in the one site that confirms your bias against Texas if you want to.
LINK
247Sports composite has them with 6 4 stars, 14 3 stars and one 2 star recruit...so right in line with what I think their end class ranking will be Feb 2014.
And I gave you an article from Rivals....possibly the most biased Horn recruiting service in the business..that backed up my assessment of their abortion of a class. They are down to their 3rd or lower option on almost every position in a class where they have 30+ available scholarships
Posted on 7/26/13 at 10:18 am to BuccWildBammer
quote:
LSU's "Dream team" class has a lot more of a chance to fall short
I know you're trolling, but in what way?
LSU is more likely to sign all of Noil, Willis, Fournette, Dupre, Brown, Garrett, Jones, Quinn than to miss out on any one of them at this point.
Hell, Robinson is back in play, and most of the recruiting people are saying the ball is in our court for the first time in a long time. I don't really see how it could 'fall short,' unless you consider 'falling short' missing out on 1 or two guys from the list.
Posted on 7/26/13 at 2:22 pm to ProjectP2294
quote:
I've always considered Jimmy Details a joke, going back to when he really posted on this board and would get in e-fights with people that he disagreed with.
What was his user name?
Posted on 7/26/13 at 3:49 pm to brewhan davey
I know little about the numbers historically other than LSU has clearly had more success.
But right now as a WR I would have to think A&M is a better option for the future with our offense certainly looking more productive and pass happy than LSU's.
JFF likely won't ever throw a pass to a 2014 WR but Kyle Allen likely will.
But right now as a WR I would have to think A&M is a better option for the future with our offense certainly looking more productive and pass happy than LSU's.
JFF likely won't ever throw a pass to a 2014 WR but Kyle Allen likely will.
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