5 Star Offensive Skill Recruits of the Last 10 years vs Production in College

So was bored at work the other day and put this together. It might be incomplete, so don’t quote me on anything I did the runningbacks, will try to do the others later

What are the odds your 5 star offensive skill position will not be a bust? Here is a list of every 5 star skill position from that last 10 years, with any top 5 player notated as well. How well did they perform in college? Were they a bust, role player, or star? More than likely that 5 stars will have a much better probability than lesser, but this basically is using past precedent to garner future expectations

Used 247 composite, when considering category, used only college career, not NFL . Also, when I say “star” I don’t mean best of the best, but a good/top performer

Total
RB’s – 45
QB’s —29
WR/TE’s – 48

Total Top 5 Rank
RB’s—4
QB’s—7
WR/TE-- 7


RB’s
04’
Adrian Peterson –1—Star
Bobby Washington—Bust, transfer
Charlie Jones—Bust, transfer

05’
Jonathan Stewart--Star
Marlon Lucky—Role player/star
Antone Smith—Role Player
Kevin Grady--Bust
Jason Gwaltney—Bust, Criminal
Toney Baker—Bust
Darren McFadden--Star

06’
Beanie Wells--Star
Stafon Johnson—Role Player
Allen Bradford—Switched to LB
CJ Spiller--Star
Demarco Murray--Star
Mike Goodson—Role Player/Star
CJ Gable—Role Player/bust
James Aldridge—Bust/Role Player
LeSean McCoy--Star

07’
Joe Mcknight—1—Star
Marc Taylor—Switched to DB
Noel Devine--Star

08’
Darrell Scott—4--Bust
Jermie Calhoun--Bust
Richard Samuel--Bust

09’
Bryce Brown—2--Bust
Trent Richardson--Star
Christine Michael—Role Player

10’
Mike Dyer—Star/Bust
Marcus Latimore--Star
Lache Seastrunk--Star

11’
Isaiah Crowell—Star/Bust
Brandon Williams--Bust
Malcom Brown—Role Player
DeAnthony Thomas--Star
Savon Huggins--bust

12’
Johnathan Grey-TBD/Role player
Keith Marshall-TBD/Role Player
TJ Yeldon--Star
Rushel Shell—TBD/role player

13’--TBD
Derrick Henry
Thomas Tyner
Kelvin Taylor
Keith Ford
Derrick Green

RB’s
40(with 13’s taken out)

13 stars
2 Stars/Bust(Dyer & Crowell)
2 star/role players

7 Role Players

2 Bust/role Players
12 Busts
2 N/A’s position change

As percentages,
42.5% Player will do something good
17.5% they will be mediocre
40% will bust
Top 5 50/50%