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re: Win probability via tRant (No FPI, No Metrics, Just you)
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:48 am to TarnishedWisdom90
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:48 am to TarnishedWisdom90
OP asked for win probability and 90% of responses were picks or scores.
3
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:49 am to Cobb Dawg
quote:
I would like for you to post your predictions and scores for each one
I get reading past the title is probably hard for you, so here’s an important bit in OPs original post.
He’s calculating the probability based on our scores and predictions.
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 8:50 am
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:55 am to CNB
I already calculated the percentages and spreads based on posters predictions for these games in a new thread.
I also added in the LSU vs Texas game is why I started a new thread so it would be easier for me to read
I also added in the LSU vs Texas game is why I started a new thread so it would be easier for me to read
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:58 am to TarnishedWisdom90
1. Florida 75%
2. Au 51%
3. Clemson 90%
4. Georgia 90%
2. Au 51%
3. Clemson 90%
4. Georgia 90%
Posted on 8/14/19 at 9:04 am to TarnishedWisdom90
It's gonna be interesting to see how you interpret this data since some people are predicting the score of the game and not win probability pct. 
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 9:05 am
Posted on 8/14/19 at 9:06 am to TarnishedWisdom90
1. Florida 55%
2. Auburn 51%
3. Clemson 85%
4. UGA 80%
2. Auburn 51%
3. Clemson 85%
4. UGA 80%
Posted on 8/14/19 at 9:06 am to koreandawg
If they used percentages I just used the higher percentage as a WIN. When they used scores I calculated them and made a spread based off of those.
It is all in my new thread where I added the LSU vs Texas game
It is all in my new thread where I added the LSU vs Texas game
Posted on 8/14/19 at 9:11 am to koreandawg
Some of you guys couldn’t pour water out of a boot if the instructions were on the heel
Posted on 8/14/19 at 9:18 am to TarnishedWisdom90
quote:60/40 Florida
1. Florida / Miami
quote:70/30 Auburn
2. Auburn / Oregon
quote:65/35 Clemson
3. Texas A&M / Clemson
quote:55/45 Georgia
4. Georgia / Notre Dame
Posted on 8/14/19 at 10:50 am to Cobb Dawg
quote:
OP asked for win probability and 90% of responses were picks or scores.
From the OP:
quote:
I would like for you to post your predictions and scores for each one and I will compile the data in a few days and come up with all of your guesses into a percentage.
Posted on 8/14/19 at 10:58 am to CNB
quote:
quote:
I would like for you to post your predictions and scores for each one
I get reading past the title is probably hard for you, so here’s an important bit in OPs original post.
He’s calculating the probability based on our scores and predictions
You care to explain how that could be achieved, dipshite?
Posted on 8/14/19 at 11:11 am to Cobb Dawg
quote:
This win probability I will put together off of your predictions and we can see what the rant really thinks about these match ups
More from the OP. Did you even read the post?
Posted on 8/14/19 at 11:16 am to TarnishedWisdom90
Florida 41 Miami 13
Florida 75%
Auburn 27 Oregon 23
Auburn 52%
Texas A&M 24 Clemson 34
Clemson 65%
Georgia 28 Notre Dame 17
Georgia 66%
Florida 75%
Auburn 27 Oregon 23
Auburn 52%
Texas A&M 24 Clemson 34
Clemson 65%
Georgia 28 Notre Dame 17
Georgia 66%
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 11:18 am
Posted on 8/14/19 at 11:18 am to Cobb Dawg
quote:
I would like for you to post your predictions and scores for each one and I will compile the data in a few days and come up with all of your guesses into a percentage.
quote:
OP asked for win probability and 90% of responses were picks or scores.
Posted on 8/14/19 at 7:04 pm to CNB
Fair enough. All the extra stuff thrown in the OP threw me off. But I don't really get the exercise honestly.
You can believe Florida has a higher win probability. in the game, but still think Miami will upset the Gators. If you think Miami has the greater win probability, that's not an upset.
Point being, I can say Florida 60% Miami 40%, but still think that the 24th will fall in that 40%.
You can believe Florida has a higher win probability. in the game, but still think Miami will upset the Gators. If you think Miami has the greater win probability, that's not an upset.
Point being, I can say Florida 60% Miami 40%, but still think that the 24th will fall in that 40%.
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:32 pm to Dawgholio
UF 33 Miami 24
Oregon 24 AU 23
Clempson 52 A&M 24
UGA 38 ND 13
Oregon 24 AU 23
Clempson 52 A&M 24
UGA 38 ND 13
This post was edited on 8/14/19 at 8:33 pm
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:34 pm to BobLeeDagger
Notre Dame is going to squeak out a win using a Texas playbook
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:35 pm to TarnishedWisdom90
quote:
1. Florida / Miami
2. Auburn / Oregon
3. Texas A&M / Clemson
4. Georgia / Notre Dame
Florida wins 27-17
Auburn wins 34-24
Clemson wins 28-24
Georgia wins 27-13
Posted on 8/14/19 at 8:36 pm to MOJO_ERASER
quote:
Notre Dame is going to squeak out a win using a Texas playbook
If ND runs their QB 10+ times... he won’t make it to see the 4th Q.
And an oklahoma fan swallowing Texas sperm... gross.
Posted on 8/20/19 at 9:34 pm to Kneehigh
Just saying Notre Dame is 10 times the team Texas was. I mean they did go to the playoffs right ..... and they didn’t lose to Texas in epic fashion.
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